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Call for research on California water resources

Patrick Atwater writes: I serve as a project manager of the California Data Collaborative, a coalition of water utilities working together to share data and ensure water reliability. We’ve put together a quick call for ideas on studies into the demand effects of water rates leveraging this unique database. Show More Summary

What makes a mathematical formula beautiful?

Hiro Minato pointed me to this paper (hyped here) by Semir Zeki, John Romaya, Dionigi Benincasa, and Michael Atiyah on “The experience of mathematical beauty and its neural correlates,” who report: We used functional magnetic resonance...Show More Summary

Topological Crystals (Part 2)

Learn about the maximal abelian cover of a graph.

Thanks, eBay!

Our recent Stan short course went very well, and we wanted to thank Julia Neznanova and Paul Burt of eBay NYC for giving us the space where we held the class. The post Thanks, eBay! appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

More evidence that even top researchers routinely misinterpret p-values

Blake McShane writes: I wanted to write to you about something related to your ongoing posts on replication in psychology as well as your recent post the ASA statement on p-values. In addition to the many problems you and others have...Show More Summary

Pokégyms at Dagstuhl

Yes, you read that correctly. The whole of Dagstuhl is now a Pokégym and there are Pokémon wandering the streets of Wadern (conveniently close to the ice cream shop that has excellent ice cream!)Given this latest advancement, I was reminded...Show More Summary

Bayesian Inference with Stan for Pharmacometrics Class

Bob Carpenter, Daniel Lee, and Michael Betancourt will be teaching the 3-day class starting on 19 September in Paris. Following is the outline for the course: Day 1 Introduction to Bayesian statistics Likelihood / sampling distributions...Show More Summary

Carl Zimmer's series on exploring his genome

If you haven't yet read Carl Zimmer's series of articles (one, two, three), you should go out and read it now!Because after all, it's Carl Zimmer, one of the best science writers around, especially when it comes to biology.But even more...Show More Summary

Killer O

Taggert Brooks points to this excellent news article by George Johnson, who reports: Epidemiologists have long been puzzled by a strange pattern in their data: People living at higher altitudes appear less likely to get lung cancer.... Show More Summary

On deck this week

Mon: Killer O Tues: More evidence that even top researchers routinely misinterpret p-values Wed: What makes a mathematical formula beautiful? Thurs: Fish cannot carry p-values Fri: Does Benadryl make you senile? Challenges in research...Show More Summary

“Children seek historical traces of owned objects”

Recently in the sister blog: An object’s mental representation includes not just visible attributes but also its nonvisible history. The present studies tested whether preschoolers seek subtle indicators of an object’s history, such as a mark acquired during its handling. Show More Summary

“The Dark Side of Power Posing”

Shravan points us to this post from Jay Van Bavel a couple years ago. It’s an interesting example because Bavel expresses skepticism about the “power pose” hype but he makes the same general mistake of Carney, Cuddy, Yap, and other researchers...Show More Summary

Topological Crystals (Part 1)

There's a way to get a "topological crystal" from a graph. Learn how it works!

Retirement Calculators, Assumptions and Statistical Methods

Retirement calculators employ different assumptions to help users predict whether their rate of savings will support their current lifestyle after they quit work. Simple calculators used fixed assumptions for variables such as rates of inflation and return on investments. Show More Summary

When do statistical rules affect drug approval?

Someone writes in: I have MS and take a disease-modifying drug called Copaxone. Sandoz developed a generic version? of Copaxone? and filed for FDA approval. Teva, the manufacturer of Copaxone, filed a petition opposing that approval (surprise!). Show More Summary

Ioannidis: “Evidence-Based Medicine Has Been Hijacked”

The celebrated medical-research reformer has a new paper (sent to me by Keith O’Rourke; official published version here), where he writes: As EBM [evidence-based medicine] became more influential, it was also hijacked to serve agendas different from what it originally aimed for. Show More Summary

Going beyond confidence intervals

Anders Lamberg writes: In an article by Tom Sigfried, Science News, July 3 2014, “Scientists’ grasp of confidence intervals doesn’t inspire confidence” you are cited: “Gelman himself makes the point most clearly, though, that a 95 percent...Show More Summary

Bayesian Linear Mixed Models using Stan: A tutorial for psychologists, linguists, and cognitive scientists

This article by Tanner Sorensen, Sven Hohenstein, and Shravan Vasishth might be of interest to some of you. The post Bayesian Linear Mixed Models using Stan: A tutorial for psychologists, linguists, and cognitive scientists appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

No, Google will not “sway the presidential election”

Grrr, this is annoying. A piece of exaggerated science reporting hit PPNAS and was promoted in Politico, then Kaiser Fung and I shot it down (“Could Google Rig the 2016 Election? Don’t Believe the Hype”) in our Daily Beast column last September. Show More Summary

Moving statistical theory from a “discovery” framework to a “measurement” framework

Avi Adler points to this post by Felix Schönbrodt on “What’s the probability that a significant p-value indicates a true effect?” I’m sympathetic to the goal of better understanding what’s in a p-value (see for example my paper withShow More Summary

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