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Some people are so easy to contact and some people aren’t.

I was reading Cowboys Full, James McManus’s entertaining history of poker (but way too much on the so-called World Series of Poker), and I skimmed the index to look up some of my favorite poker writers. Frank Wallace and David Spanier...Show More Summary

Opportunity for publishing preregistered analyses of the 2016 American National Election Study

Brendan Nyhan writes: Have you heard about the Election Research Preacceptance Competition that Skip Lupia and I are organizing to promote preaccepted articles? Details here: A number of top journals have agreed to consider preaccepted articles that include data from the ANES. Show More Summary

“Marginally Significant Effects as Evidence for Hypotheses: Changing Attitudes Over Four Decades”

Kevin Lewis sends along this article by Laura Pritschet, Derek Powell, and Zachary Horne, who write: Some effects are statistically significant. Other effects do not reach the threshold of statistical significance and are sometimes described...Show More Summary

Gitte solo in Ghent

Gitte shows hundreds of stills from her animation projects. She has a laborious working method: for every motion she needs about 30 aquarel paintings which she then scans and turns into an animation movie. Here’s the result of all that work: Space Communication Previously she made oil paintings on a glass plate and turned photographs... Continue reading ?

Is it fair to use Bayesian reasoning to convict someone of a crime?

Ethan Bolker sends along this news article from the Boston Globe: If it doesn’t acquit, it must fit Judges and juries are only human, and as such, their brains tend to see patterns, even if the evidence isn’t all there. In a new study,...Show More Summary

Tenure Track Professor in Machine Learning, Aalto University, Finland

Posted by Aki. I promise that next time I’ll post something else than a job advertisement, but before that here’s another great opportunity to join Aalto Univeristy where I work, too. “We are looking for a professor to either further...Show More Summary

Yes, you can play this game at home: Applying the “If there’s no report you can read, there’s no study” principle in real time

So, I was on the website of the New York Times and came across this story by Donna de la Cruz: Opioids May Interfere With Parenting Instincts, Study Finds... Researchers at the Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania...Show More Summary

No GPS, no problem: Next-generation navigation

(University of California - Riverside) Researchers at the University of California, Riverside have developed a highly reliable and accurate navigation system that exploits existing environmental signals such as cellular and Wi-Fi, rather than the Global Positioning System (GPS). Show More Summary

UA uses big data to solve bus woes in Brazil

(University of Arizona) Fortaleza, Brazil's fifth-largest city, struggles with bus delays and overcrowding. The city's mayor, a University of Arizona alumnus, turned to big-data experts at his alma mater for help.

International genetics expert, researcher to open Louisiana Tech University lecture series

(Louisiana Tech University) Dr. Claude Bouchard, the John W. Barton Sr. Professor and Chair in Genetics and Nutrition at Pennington Biomedical Research Center in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, will visit Louisiana Tech University on Oct. 24 to present his research as part of the New Frontiers in Biomedical Research lecture series.

Stan case studies!

In the spirit of reproducible research, we (that is, Bob) set up this beautiful page of Stan case studies. Check it out. The post Stan case studies! appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

Transparency, replications, and publication

Bob Reed responded to my recent Retraction Watch article (where I argued that corrections and retractions are not a feasible solution to the problem of flawed science, because there are so many fatally flawed papers out there and retraction...Show More Summary

Scientists simplify model for human behavior in automation

(Chinese Association of Automation) Human unpredictability is a problem in the increasingly automated systems people use every day. Scientists from Nanjing Institute of Technology's School of Automation in China and the University of California, Merced's School of Engineering partnered to find a programming solution for erratic human behavior. Show More Summary

Mister P can solve problems with survey weighting

It’s tough being a blogger who’s expected to respond immediately to topics in his area of expertise. For example, here’s Scott “fraac” Adams posting on 8 Oct 2016, post titled “Why Does This Happen on My Vacation? (The Trump Tapes).”...Show More Summary

Hasse = “le P. Adique, de l’Ordre des Diophantiens”

It contains this, seemingly opaque, paragraph: It was pretty easy to decode the date of the wedding “3 Cartember, year VI” to be June 3rd, 1939, and (a bit more difficult) the wedding place “the Principal Cohomology of the Universal Variety” as the l’église royale Notre-Dame du Val-de-Grâce in Paris. The identity of the celebrating... Continue reading ?

Should you abandon that low-salt diet? (uh oh, it’s the Lancet!)

Russ Lyons sends along this news article by Ian Johnston, who writes: The prestigious medical journal The Lancet has been attacked for publishing an academic paper that claimed eating too little salt could increase the chance of dying from a heart attack or stroke. Show More Summary

Strathclyde plays role in tackling toxic threat on US Pacific coast

(University of Strathclyde) A toxic threat to the seafood industry and recreational shellfishing in the Pacific Northwest of the USA is to be tackled in a project involving the University of Strathclyde.

Math 246A, Notes 4: singularities of holomorphic functions

In the previous set of notes we saw that functions that were holomorphic on an open set enjoyed a large number of useful properties, particularly if the domain was simply connected. In many situations, though, we need to consider functions that are only holomorphic (or even well-defined) on most of a domain, thus they […]

Public interest in plane crashes only predicted 'if death toll is 50 or higher'

(University of Oxford) Researchers analyzed Wikipedia articles about 1,500 plane crashes around the world to discover that a death toll of around 50 is the minimum threshold for predicting significant levels of public interest. The location of the airline companies trumps death tolls if they are based in North American or Latin American countries.

Temporary extinction reprieve for some frogs

(University of Adelaide) Australian scientists have good news for frog conservation -- there may be longer than expected time to intervene before climate change causes extinction of some species.

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