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Stan wins again!

See here. The post Stan wins again! appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

Genius is not enough: The sad story of Peter Hagelstein, living monument to the sunk-cost fallacy

I sometimes pick up various old collections that will be suitable for bathroom reading, and so it was that the other day I was sitting on the throne reading the summer 1985 issue of Granta, entitled Science. Lots of great stuff here,...Show More Summary

Hypothesis Testing is a Bad Idea (my talk at Warwick, England, 2:30pm Thurs 15 Sept)

This is the conference, and here’s my talk (will do Google hangout, just as with my recent talks in Bern, Strasbourg, etc): Hypothesis Testing is a Bad Idea Through a series of examples, we consider problems with classical hypothesis...Show More Summary

Barceló and Carbery on the Magnitude of Odd Balls

Read about Barcel\'o and Carbery's calculation of the magnitude of odd dimensional balls, utilizing the potential theory developed by Meckes.

You may not be interested in peer review, but peer review is interested in you

Here’s an ironic juxtaposition from Tyler Cowen’s blog. On 28 Apr he discusses a paper with a market system for improving peer review and concludes, “Interesting, but the main problem with the idea is simply that no one cares.” The day...Show More Summary

Stan users group hits 2000 registrations

Of course, there are bound to be duplicate emails, dead emails, and people who picked up Stan, joined the list, and never came back. But still, that’s a lot of people who’ve expressed interest! It’s been an amazing ride that’s only going...Show More Summary

Exploration vs. exploitation tradeoff

Alon Levy (link from Palko) looks into “Hyperloop, a loopy intercity rail transit idea proposed by Tesla Motors’ Elon Musk, an entrepreneur who hopes to make a living some day building cars,” and writes: There is a belief within American media that a successful person can succeed at anything. Show More Summary

Hokey mas, indeed

Paul Alper writes: The pictures which often accompany your blog are really “inside baseball” and I frequently fail to see the connection to the accompanying text. For example, when I click on today’s picture, I get: This happens to interest...Show More Summary

Analyzing the challenges posed by Artificial Intelligence at the 4th Heidelberg Laureate Forum

(Heidelberg Laureate Forum Foundation) In recent years, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has established itself at the forefront of technological innovation. That is precisely why AI is the focus of the Hot Topic at the 4th Heidelberg Laureate Forum (HLF), 'AI: From Lofty Dream to Technology Driver', this Sept. 20 at the New University in Heidelberg.

Q: “Is A 50-State Poll As Good As 50 State Polls?” A: Use Mister P.

Jeff Lax points to this post from Nate Silver and asks for my thoughts. In his post, Nate talks about data quality issues of national and state polls. It’s a good discussion, but the one thing he unfortunately doesn’t talk about is multilevel regression and poststratification (or see here for more). Show More Summary

Penn software helps to identify course of cancer metastasis, tumor 'evolution'

(University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine) Tumors also differ among patients with the same type of cancer, so how is a physician able to prescribe a tailored regimen for the patient? Researchers developed Canopy, an approach toShow More Summary

Several postdoc positions in probabilistic modeling and machine learning in Aalto, Helsinki

In addition to the postdoc position I advertised recently, now Aalto University and University of Helsinki have 20 more open postdoc and research fellow positions. Many of the positions are in probabilistic models and machine learning. Show More Summary

It’s not about normality, it’s all about reality

This is just a repost, with a snazzy and appropriate title, of our discussion from a few years ago on the assumptions of linear regression, from section 3.6 of my book with Jennifer. In decreasing order of importance, these assumptions are: 1. Show More Summary

Carnegie Mellon algorithm detects online fraudsters

(Carnegie Mellon University) An algorithm developed at Carnegie Mellon University makes it easier to determine if someone has faked an Amazon or Yelp review or if a politician with a suspiciously large number of Twitter followers might have bought and paid for that popularity.

A Mathematical Birthday Life Hack

Save money and be the life of the next party with this one weird trick -- Read more on

Polling in the 21st century: There ain’t no urn

David Rothschild writes: The Washington Post (WaPo) utilized Survey Monkey (SM) to survey 74,886 registered voters in all 50 states on who they would vote for in the upcoming election. I am very excited about the work, because I am huge...Show More Summary

research-lies-allegations-windpipe update

Paul Alper writes: Found this today in the Washington Post. Recall that at my suggestion you blogged about this affair previously: Damn windpipe surgeons,...Show More Summary

ORNL receives Exascale Computing Project awards to develop next-gen applications

(DOE/Oak Ridge National Laboratory) The Department of Energy's Oak Ridge National Laboratory has received funding from DOE's Exascale Computing Project to develop applications for future exascale systems that will be 50 to 100 times more powerful than today's fastest supercomputers.

The new quantitative journalism

The first of the breed was Bill James. But now we have a bunch: Felix Salmon, Nate Silver, Amanda Cox, Carl Bialik,.... I put them in a different category than traditional science journalists such as Malcolm Gladwell, Gina Kolata, Stephen...Show More Summary

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