Blog Profile / CalculatedRisk

Filed Under:Business & Finance / Economics
Posts on Regator:8626
Posts / Week:22.1
Archived Since:June 7, 2008

Blog Post Archive

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 276,000

The DOL reported:In the week ending October 31, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 276,000, an increase of 16,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 260,000. The 4-week moving average was 262,750, an increase of 3,500 from the previous week's unrevised average of 259,250. Show More Summary

FOMC's Yellen, Dudley: December Meeting is "Live"

Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, the initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 262 thousand initial claims, up from 260 thousand the previous week.From Binyamin Appelbaum at the NY Times: Yellen Signals a Fed Tilt Toward December Rate Increase“At this point, I see the U.S. Show More Summary

Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates up to 4%

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Back to 4 Percent After YellenMortgage rates maintained their upward momentum today, rising to the highest levels since late September after Janet Yellen confirmed the Fed's rate hike outlook. Show More Summary

Preview: Employment Report for October

On Friday at 8:30 AM ET, the BLS will release the employment report for October. The consensus, according to Bloomberg, is for an increase of 190,000 non-farm payroll jobs in October (with a range of estimates between 150,000 to 240,000),...Show More Summary

ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 59.1% in October

The October ISM Non-manufacturing index was at 59.1%, up from 56.9% in September. The employment index increased in October to 59.2%, up from 58.3% in September. Note: Above 50 indicates expansion, below 50 contraction. From the Institute...Show More Summary

Trade Deficit decreased in September to $40.8 Billion

The Department of Commerce reported:The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was was $40.8 billion in September, down $7.2 billion from $48.0 billion in August, revised. Show More Summary

ADP: Private Employment increased 182,000 in October

From ADP: Private sector employment increased by 182,000 jobs from September to October according to the October ADP National Employment Report®.... The report, which is derived from ADP’s actual payroll data, measures the change inShow More Summary

MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease Slightly in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Applications up 20% YoY

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Slightly Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 0.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending October 30, 2015...The Refinance Index decreased 1 percent from the previous week. Show More Summary

Wednesday: Trade Deficit, ADP Employment, ISM Non-Mfg Index

Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.• At 8:15 AM, the ADP Employment Report for October. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). Show More Summary

U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 18.1 million annual rate in October

Based on a WardsAuto estimate, light vehicle sales were at a 18.13 million SAAR in October. That is up almost 10% from October 2014, and up slightly from the 18.1 million annual sales rate last month.This was the second consecutive month over 18 million. Show More Summary

Freddie: REO inventory declined in Q3, Down 31% Year-over-year

Note: Fannie Mae is scheduled to report on Thursday.From Freddie Mac:Freddie Mac today reported a net loss of $475 million for the third quarter of 2015, compared to net income of $4.2 billion for the second quarter of 2015. The company...Show More Summary

CoreLogic: House Prices up 6.4% Year-over-year in September

Notes: This CoreLogic House Price Index report is for September. The recent Case-Shiller index release was for August. The CoreLogic HPI is a three month weighted average and is not seasonally adjusted (NSA).From CoreLogic: CoreLogic...Show More Summary

Tuesday: Auto Sales

An excerpt from a research piece by Goldman Sachs economist Alec Phillips on the impact of the budget deal: • The budget deal that the President signed into law today allows for greater federal spending in 2016. Along with a slightly...Show More Summary

Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in September, Lowest since August 2008

Fannie Mae reported today that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency rate declined in September to 1.59% from 1.62% in August. The serious delinquency rate is down from 1.96% in September 2014, and this is the lowest level since August 2008. Show More Summary

Fed Survey: Banks reports stronger demand for CRE loans

From the Federal Reserve: The October 2015 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending PracticesRegarding loans to businesses, the October survey results indicated that, on balance, banks reported little change in their standards on commercial and industrial (C&I) loans in the third quarter of 2015. Show More Summary

Construction Spending increased 0.6% in September, Up 14.1% YoY

The Census Bureau reported that overall construction spending increased in September:The U.S. Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that construction spending during September 2015 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,094.2 billion, 0.6 percent above the revised August estimate of $1,087.5 billion. Show More Summary

ISM Manufacturing index decreased to 50.1 in October

The ISM manufacturing index barely suggested expansion in October. The PMI was at 50.1% in October, down from 50.2% in September. The employment index was at 47.6%, down from 50.5% in September, and the new orders index was at 52.9%,...Show More Summary

Black Knight September Mortgage Monitor

Black Knight Financial Services (BKFS) released their Mortgage Monitor report for September today. According to BKFS, 4.87% of mortgages were delinquent in September, down from 4.79% in August. BKFS reported that 1.46% of mortgages were...Show More Summary

Monday: ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending

From the WSJ: Retailers Work Harder to Lure Holiday EmployeesRetailers are facing a shrinking pool of workers as they staff up for the holidays, prompting some to offer more hours or higher pay to make sure they have enough cashiersShow More Summary

Hotel Occupancy: 2015 on pace for Best Year Ever

From STR: US results for week ending 24 OctoberThe U.S. hotel industry recorded positive results in the three key performance measurements during the week of 18-24 October 2015, according to data from STR, Inc.In year-over-year measurements, the industry’s occupancy increased 1.7% to 70.6%. Show More Summary

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