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Blog Profile / CalculatedRisk


URL :http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/
Filed Under:Business & Finance / Economics
Posts on Regator:11298
Posts / Week:43.7
Archived Since:June 7, 2008

Blog Post Archive

Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 9.3% year-over-year in February

S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for February ("February" is a 3 month average of December, January and February). This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, and two composite indices (for 10 cities...Show More Summary

Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Chicago PMI, Consumer Confidence

Earlier today from LPS: U.S. Home Prices Up 1.0 Percent for the Month; Up 7.3 Percent Year-Over-Year. LPS reported their House Price Index increased to $210,000 in February, up from $208,000 or 1.0% from January - and up from $196,000 or 7.3% from February 2012. Show More Summary

Q1 2012 GDP Details: Single Family investment increases, Commercial Investment very Low

The BEA released the underlying details for the Q1 advance GDP report today. The first graph is for Residential investment (RI) components as a percent of GDP. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, RI includes new single family...Show More Summary

Existing Home Inventory is up 12.1% year-to-date on April 29th

Weekly Update: One of key questions for 2013 is Will Housing inventory bottom this year?. Since this is a very important question, I'm tracking inventory weekly this year. In normal times, there is a clear seasonal pattern for inventory,...Show More Summary

Dallas Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "stalls" in April

This is the last of the regional manufacturing surveys for April. From the Dallas Fed: Growth in Texas Manufacturing Activity Stalls Texas factory activity was flat in April, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. Show More Summary

Pending Home Sales index increases in March

From the NAR: March Pending Home Sales Improve but Overall Pace Leveling The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contract signings, rose 1.5 percent to 105.7 in March from a downwardly revised 104.1 in February, and is 7.0 percent above March 2012 when it was 98.8. Show More Summary

Personal Income increased 0.2% in March, Core PCE prices up 1.1% year-over-year

The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for March: Personal income increased $30.9 billion, or 0.2 percent... in March, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $21.0...Show More Summary

Monday: Personal Income and Outlays, Pending Home Sales

First a couple of articles... From Jon Hilsenrath at the WSJ: Tame Inflation to Keep Fed on Course With inflation now lower than the Fed wants, officials are likely to conclude their policies show no sign of overheating the economy.Show More Summary

FOMC Preview: Inflation Watch

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, with the FOMC statement expected to be released at 2:00 PM ET on Wednesday. Expectations are the FOMC will take no action at this meeting (the FOMC will probably...Show More Summary

Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Bush and Obama

With public sector jobs down over the last several years (Federal, State and local layoffs), several readers have asked if I could update the graphs comparing public and private sector job losses (or added) for President George W. Bush's...Show More Summary

Schedule for Week of April 28th

This will be a very busy week for economic data. The key report week is the April employment report on Friday. Other key reports include the Case-Shiller house price index on Tuesday, the ISM manufacturing index on Wednesday, vehicle...Show More Summary

Summary for Week ending April 26th

There was some disappointing data released last week. First quarter real GDP only increased at a 2.5% annual rate, durable goods orders fell more than expected, and most of the manufacturing data (regional surveys, flash PMI) were weak. However, some of the underlying GDP details were decent (but not great). Show More Summary

Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 775 Institutions

This is an unofficial list of Problem Banks compiled only from public sources. Here is the unofficial problem bank list for Apr 26, 2013. Changes and comments from surferdude808: The FDIC, as anticipated, released its enforcement actions through March 2013 and closed a couple banks this week. Show More Summary

The HARP Success Story

From E. Scott Reckard at the LA Times: Federal refi program for underwater homeowners hits its stride Nearly 1.1 million homeowners with little or no equity were able to refinance last year under HARP, which assists borrowers who are current on their monthly payments. Show More Summary

Bank Failures #9 & 10 in 2013: North Carolina and Georgia

From the FDIC: CertusBank, National Association, Easley, South Carolina, Assumes All of the Deposits of Parkway Bank, Lenoir, North Carolina As of December 31, 2012, Parkway Bank had approximately $108.6 million in total assets and $103.7 million in total deposits.... Show More Summary

Lawler: Selected Results (and Comments) from Large Publicly-Traded Builders for Last Quarter

From economist Tom Lawler: Selected Results (and Comments) from Large Publicly-Traded Builders for Last Quarter; Consensus is Strong Spring Selling Season, Increased Pricing Power, Though Big Differences in Net Order Growth across Builders Below...Show More Summary

Q1 GDP and Investment

Final demand increased in Q1 as personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased at a 3.2% annual rate (up from 1.8% in Q4 2012), and residential investment (RI) increased at a 12.6% annual rate (down from 17.6% in Q4). This was the...Show More Summary

Final April Consumer Sentiment increases to 76.4

Click on graph for larger image. The final Reuters / University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for April increased to 76.4 from the preliminary reading of 72.3, but down from the March reading of 78.6. This was above the consensus forecast of 73.0, but still fairly low. Show More Summary

Real GDP increased 2.5% Annualized in Q1

From the BEA: Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 2.5 percent in the first quarter of 2013 (that is, from the fourth quarter to the first quarter), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Show More Summary

Friday: Q1 GDP

An interesting piece from Michelle Meyer at Merrill Lynch: Housing watch: Who are the buyers? One of the common misconceptions is that the gain in housing demand owes primarily to investors and international buyers. In Q1, investors made up about 22% of sales, which is close to the average since mid-2010. Show More Summary

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