Blog Profile / CalculatedRisk


URL :http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/
Filed Under:Business & Finance / Economics
Posts on Regator:9505
Posts / Week:22.4
Archived Since:June 7, 2008

Blog Post Archive

Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rates declined in May

Freddie Mac reported that the Single-Family serious delinquency rate decreased in May to 1.11% from 1.15% in April. Freddie's rate is down from 1.58% in May 2015.This is the lowest rate since August 2008.Freddie's serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 4.20%. Show More Summary

NAR: Pending Home Sales Index decreased 3.7% in May, down 0.2% year-over-year

From the NAR: Pending Home Sales Skid in MayAfter steadily increasing for three straight months, pending home sales letup in May and declined year-over-year for the first time in almost two years, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Show More Summary

Personal Income increased 0.2% in May, Spending increased 0.4%

The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for May: Personal income increased $37.1 billion, or 0.2 percent... according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $53.5 billion,...Show More Summary

MBA: "Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey"

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly SurveyMortgage applications decreased 2.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 24, 2016....The Refinance Index decreased 2 percent from the previous week. Show More Summary

Wednesday: Personal Income and Outlays, Pending Home Sales

NOTE: Fed Chair Yellen was scheduled to participate in a "Policy Panel" at the ECB Forum on Central Banking in Portugal on Wednesday. She has cancelled. Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England and Chairman of the G20's Financial...Show More Summary

Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in May

Fannie Mae reported today that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency rate declined in May to 1.38%, down from 1.40% in April. The serious delinquency rate is down from 1.70% in May 2015.These are mortgage loans that are "three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure". Show More Summary

Earlier from Richmond Fed: Manufacturing Activity Declined in June

Earlier from the Richmond Fed: Manufacturing Sector Activity Declined; New Orders Decreased, Firms Continued to Increase WagesFifth District manufacturing activity weakened in June, according to the most recent survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Show More Summary

Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in April

Here is the earlier post on Case-Shiller: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 5.0% year-over-year in AprilThe year-over-year increase in prices is mostly moving sideways now around 5%. In April, the index was up 5.0% YoY.In...Show More Summary

Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 5.0% year-over-year in April

S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for April ("April" is a 3 month average of February, March and April prices).This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, two composite indices (for 10 cities and 20Show More Summary

Q1 GDP Revised Up to 1.1% Annual Rate

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product: First Quarter 2015 (Third Estimate)Real gross domestic product -- the value of the goods and services produced by the nation’s economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production,...Show More Summary

Tuesday: GDP, Case-Shiller House Prices

NOTE: Fed Chair Yellen was scheduled to participate in a "Policy Panel" at the ECB Forum on Central Banking in Portugal on Wednesday. She has cancelled. Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England and Chairman of the G20's Financial...Show More Summary

ATA Trucking Index increased in May

From the ATA: ATA Truck Tonnage Index Increased 2.7% in MayAmerican Trucking Associations’ advanced seasonally adjusted (SA) For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index increased 2.7% in May, following a revised 1.7% drop during April. In May, the index equaled 139 (2000=100), up from 135.3 in April. Show More Summary

U.S. Demographics: Ten most common ages in 2010, 2015, 2020, and 2030

The Census Bureau has released the population estimates for 2015.Using that data, on Sunday I posted a table ranking the largest 5-year cohorts in 2010, 2015, 2020, and 2030: Largest 5-year Population Cohorts are now "20 to 24" and "25 to 29"Using the same data, Jed Kolko tweeted the ten most common ages in the U.S. Show More Summary

Dallas Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity declined again in June

From the Dallas Fed: Texas Manufacturing Activity Declines AgainTexas factory activity declined again in June, according to business executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The production index, a key measure...Show More Summary

Black Knight: House Price Index up 1.0% in April, Up 5.4% year-over-year

Note: I follow several house price indexes (Case-Shiller, CoreLogic, Black Knight, Zillow, FHFA, FNC and more). Note: Black Knight uses the current month closings only (not a three month average like Case-Shiller or a weighted average...Show More Summary

Sunday Night Futures

From Goldman Sachs economist Jan Hatzius and Sven Jari Stehn: After the Brexit Shock Following the UK referendum, we have downgraded our global growth forecast, sharply in the UK and more modestly elsewhere. Increased uncertainty and...Show More Summary

Largest 5-year Population Cohorts are now "20 to 24" and "25 to 29"

Two years ago, I wrote: Census Bureau: Largest 5-year Population Cohort is now the "20 to 24" Age Group. The Census Bureau has just released the population estimates for 2015, and I've updated the table from the previous post (replacing...Show More Summary

Schedule for Week of June 26, 2016

The key economic reports this week are the third estimate of Q1 GDP, May personal income and outlays, June vehicle sales, the June ISM manufacturing, and Case-Shiller House prices. ----- Monday, June 27th ----- 10:30 AM ET: Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for June. Show More Summary

June 2016: Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 203 Institutions, Q2 2016 Transition Matrix

This is an unofficial list of Problem Banks compiled only from public sources.Here is the unofficial problem bank list for June 2016. Changes and comments from surferdude808: Update on the Unofficial Problem Bank List for June 2016. During the month, the list fell from 206 institutions to 203 after four removals and one addition. Show More Summary

Mortgage Rates Near Record Lows

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Single Best Day For Mortgage Rates in More Than a YearFrom yesterday's most prevalent conventional 30yr fixed quote of 3.625%, we're now easily down to 3.5% for most lenders. A few of the most aggressive lenders are already down to 3.375% on top tier scenarios. Show More Summary

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