Blog Profile / Mercenary Trader

Filed Under:Business & Finance / Investing
Posts on Regator:861
Posts / Week:3.4
Archived Since:August 23, 2010

Blog Post Archive

Unstoppable Force of Eurozone Policy Contends With an Immovable Truth: The Euro Cannot Work

Eurozone politicians are forced to move heaven and earth to keep the euro viable because, in the long run, the euro is not viable at all.

Markets Oddly Calm on Greece — Russia, China, Even USA and Saudis Still in Play

The calm before the storm? Showdown in Europe, and an international chess game with Greece as pawn...

In Europe’s Three-Way Poker Hand, Greek Weakness is Actually Strength

There is a giant three-way poker hand playing out in Europe... and stakes are high.

Wary of Gold Bugs, Bullish on Gold

We now set out to unpack the rationale for doing a 180 on gold...

Australia Joins the Currency Wars, as US Equity Bulls Intercept Bears on the One-Yard Line

Aussie Aussie Oi Oi! The Australian dollar plummeted overnight on a central bank rate cut. And the bulls can’t be counted out until you hit them over the head with a sledgehammer.

The Dollar is Starting to Hurt Multinationals, and the Market’s Response to the Fed Was Ominous

We have said repeatedly these past few months – in both the Strategic Intelligence Report and the Live Feed – that outlier strength in the mighty US dollar could be a bull market killer.

Germany is Delusional to the Point of Insanity (and We’re Getting More Shorts On)

Deflation — or rather the extreme results of such, in the aftermath of harsh slowdown — brought us the Nazis in the 1930s...

Baby Got Black (Swan)

I like... fat... tails and I cannot lie... you vol sellers can't deny...

SpaceX Shows How Failure Creates Success

Here is what winners understand, deep down in their gut, that the mediocre masses don't: Failure paves the road to success.

Never Trust a Central Banker…

The first lesson might be "Never trust a central banker." The second lesson might be "Never bet the farm on a sure thing" -- or better yet, "If you're going to bet the farm, have two farms."

Yes the Dollar is a “Crowded Trade” — But Not In the Manner Most Think

The US dollar (aka USD, aka greenback) is a “crowded trade” — and everybody knows it...

An Illustrated Metaphorical Difference Between Skilled Traders and Mutual Fund Managers

In metaphorical terms — if the typical mutual fund is a lumbering city bus, the capital deployment of a truly skilled trader is more akin to this...

Dip Buyers Have Another Chance to Be Reckless, and the Fed Gives a Not-So-Subtle Warning To Europe

The automatic dip buyers have bought, like Pavlov’s Dog, every single time the indices have threatened to fail these past two years... Ignoring risk is a game that gets you killed in the end.

Buy and Hold Complacency Has Peaked, the Saudis Still Aren’t Kidding, and Europe is a Disaster Zone

The deep structure of markets is mean reverting and cyclical. Given the passage of time, the pendulum always swings.

German Delusion Could Lead to Acropolis Now Redux, and a Major Inflection Point Looms for the Euro and European Equities

Europe is staring into a deflationary abyss. And yet Germany is delusional, determined to hang on to austerity measures no matter what.

Investors always get killed at cycle tops, small caps look like a trap, and it’s way too early to buy energy stocks

Investors always lose their shirts at the top of market cycles. This is a combination of greed, impatience, and FOMO, aka “fear of missing out.”

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