Blog Profile / Financial Sense

Filed Under:Business & Finance / Investing
Posts on Regator:7683
Posts / Week:36.6
Archived Since:February 23, 2011

Blog Post Archive

The Psychology of a Sideways Trend

A fascinating study is the psychology that accompanies a prolonged sideways market trend. It also holds insights into what the future likely holds for stock prices. When equities get stuck in a sideways trend for several months...

ADP Stronger, but Still Weak

This morning’s ADP (ADP) jobs report is in line with the recent trend of weakening economic momentum — the data is still strong, but it is nevertheless a tad bit on the weak side. The ADP read came in slightly...

Fearing the Machine: AI vs. Cybernetics

Elon Musk, Steven Hawking, and a long list of scientists believe artificial intelligence is no longer science-fiction and may one day present a danger to society. Musk has likened super-intelligent machines to nuclear bombs and fears we may be...

The Eurozone: On the Road to Recovery With a Lingering Risk

Back in September the idea that the Eurozone's economy could potentially undergo a recovery (see post) was met with some skepticism. And yet here we are. The EuroStoxx50 index is up 14% for the year while...

Could Oil Prices Plummet a Second Time?

Are oil prices heading for a double dip? The surge in shale production has produced a temporary glut in supplies causing oil prices to experience a massive bust. After tanking to a low of $44 per barrel in January...

Does the Fed Have a Currency Problem?

The Fed could be headed for a very uncomfortable place. The dollar is rising, tightening financial conditions and placing downward pressure on inflation. At the same time, interest rates remain low while equities...

Global Oil Glut Could Further Depress Oil Prices

With the global oil supply expected to outpace demand in 2015 and 2016, there is a growing risk from an oil glut that might further slash oil prices. The 50 percent fall in oil prices continues to rattle energy markets...

Don’t Sweat Nasdaq 5000

On March 10, 2000 — at the height of the dot-com bubble, the Nasdaq closed at 5048.62. During intraday trading today, the Nasdaq traded past the 5,000 mark for the first time in 15 years. The Nasdaq approaching...

We Have Nothing to Fear but a Lack of Fear Itself

The S&P 500 had its first monthly close above 2100 in February, the Dow closed over 18,000 and the NASDAQ currently rests a mere 3% below its 2000 bubble peak of 5132.52. Why is the stock market heading higher when incoming economic data is surprising to the downside?

Jim Puplava on U.S. Recession, Fed Rate Hikes, and Short-Term Correction

The S&P 500 has been up double-digits for the past three years. Although we don't expect to see a recession or negative returns this year, right now we think stock prices have gotten ahead of fundamentals...

U.S. Equity Valuations: To Be Dismissed?

History shows that valuations don’t matter until they do. The challenge is gauging what will cause investors to balk at current multiples, which have vaulted to elevated levels.

ISM Manufacturing Index: Slowest Growth in Thirteen Months

Today the Institute for Supply Management published its monthly Manufacturing Report for February. The latest headline PMI was 52.9 percent, a decline from the previous month's 53.5 percent and below...

A Savings Problem

Isn't it great that gas prices have come down? That means consumers will have more money to SPEND, SPEND, SPEND. You got a raise? Great! Now you have more money to SPEND, SPEND, SPEND.

China’s Rate Cut Insufficient: Investors Expect More PBoC Stimulus and Yuan Devaluation

China's central bank followed up with a second rate cut this year. While many believe this is a step in the right direction, the move alone will do little to reduce high real rates and tight effective monetary policy.

Bottom in Oil and Energy Stocks Looks Suspicious

Richard Dickson of Lowry Research says that they still aren't seeing any of the characteristic signs associated with major peaks and that it's way too early to start worrying about a Dow Theory sell signal with the divergence between the Dow Jones...

Push Back: Impacts of a Rising Dollar on Corporate Earnings

The discussion of the dollar's impact on overseas corporate earnings is often cast in narrow terms: locally incurred costs are not included, hedging strategies are not examined, and savings from borrowing in foreign currencies are.....

NYSE Margin Debt Declined in January

The New York Stock Exchange publishes end-of-month data for margin debt on the NYXdata website, where we can also find historical data back to 1959. Let's examine the numbers and study the relationship between...

How Much Crude Oil Do You Consume on a Daily Basis?

Oil. The commodity. We know what it’s worth – at least we thought we did – but what does a barrel of the black stuff get you in real life? Before we get theoretical, let’s first consider how much oil you use.

GDP Gives Market No Tail-Wind

The GDP report doesn’t give stocks enough reason to build on their recent gains. That’s particularly the case after a very strong month for stocks that has pushed the broad indexes into record territory, with even...

2-Year T-Note Shows Path for FOMC

To review briefly, this week’s chart shows a comparison between the 2-year Treasury Note yield and the target rate for Fed Funds, which is set by the FOMC. The NY Fed is then tasked with adding or withdrawing...

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