Blog Profile / Financial Sense


URL :http://www.financialsense.com/
Filed Under:Business & Finance / Investing
Posts on Regator:8546
Posts / Week:30.3
Archived Since:February 23, 2011

Blog Post Archive

July 26-27 – The Fed Will Put Us on Notice for a September 20-21 Rate Hike

The Fed was cocked and primed to deliver a 25 basis point increase in the federal funds rate on June 15. But on June 3, the BLS announced that nonfarm payrolls increased a paltry 38,000 in May. This monthly random number prompted the Fed...

Sovereign Debt Downgrades Accelerate in 2016

The three main rating agencies—Fitch, Moody’s, and Standard and Poor's—all went on a downgrading spree in the first half of 2016. So far this year, Standard and Poor's has downgraded 16 sovereigns, Moody’s has downgraded 24...

An Upside Down World

Soft helicopter money in Japan, relaxed austerity in Europe, expanded monetary stimulus by the Bank of England in reaction to the Brexit vote, and a US Fed on hold has propelled US markets to record highs. With the S&P 500 moving well past 2,100 and the Dow Jones Industrial...

Oil Rally Hopes Crushed as Inventories Hit All-Time High

Oil prices sank on Thursday following fresh data showing oil and product stocks rising to an all-time high. The EIA released its weekly data on July 20, revealing a slight drawdown in crude oil inventories. Crude oil stocks were dow...

Signs of Excessive Bullish Sentiment

I like to watch the data on the number of shares outstanding in certain select ETFs, and one of the best for this purpose is the biggest one, SPY. It tracks the SP500, and it currently has $196 billion invested in it. So it is a big deal.

The Girl Child Arrives

It was just seven months ago that the strongest El Nino in recorded history was set. The weather folks and their computers were anticipating that the Pacific Ocean would revert to a neutral status (+/- 0.5 degrees Fahrenheit). Now it looks like a full bore La Nina is in the immediate future...

S&P Warns of Rising Global Default Wave

Still stinging from the blame and lawsuits directed its way in the 2008 crisis, S&P Global Ratings is trying to get out in front of the default tsunami now rising in corporate debt markets around the world. Already north of $50 trillion in 2015, corporate debt globally is expected...

Fund Managers at Highest Cash Levels in 14 Years

Since February, US equities have risen nearly 20%. Equities outside the US have risen 12%. A tailwind for this rally has been the bearish positioning of investors, with fund managers' cash in February at the highest level

Gold Investment Slows, Soft Summer 'Risks $1300' But Bond Defaults 'Will Spike' as Japan, Eurozone Deny Fresh Stimulus

Gold investment prices rose from 3-week lows but struggled to hold gains versus major currencies on Thursday as world stock markets retreated from new all-time highs amid news that neither Japan nor the Eurozone plan to add more....

Stoeferle: Helicopter Money Coming and It Will Boost Gold Market to New Highs

Gold is back in a new bull market as governments around the globe have moved to a new stage of desperation by toying with the idea of "helicopter money," Incrementum's Ronald Stoeferle told Financial Sense in today's podcast. Stoeferle co-authors the widely read...

Trump vs Clinton: How Will Energy Fare?

The Republican National Convention is underway and the Democrats will host their version next week. While countless articles have been written about the differences between the two candidates, the Republican and Democratic Parties just...

China Is Building Its Future on Credit

As China tries to overcome slowdowns in its industrial and trade sectors, the country's banks have continued to increase the pace of lending, issuing 1.38 trillion yuan ($205.8 billion) worth of loans in June. The figure confirms some...

Is Kyle Bass Finally Getting His Revenge?

One of America’s most prominent hedge fund managers is betting the farm that China’s economic troubles are far from over. His bet centers around the US dollar and by extension several Asian currencies. What happens to...

Acampora: With Rates at These Levels, Stocks May Have Years Left to Run

With the breakout to new highs in the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, many bears believe this is simply a blow-off top in the stock market with a major crash just waiting around the corner. One well-known technician that does not believe that to...

Dr. Laurence Kotlikoff: Social Security Is a Massive Looming Problem Hiding in Plain Sight

It’s no secret that Social Security is underfunded, but the extent of the problem is glossed over by politicians and the media. This time on Financial Sense, we speak with Dr. Laurence Kotlikoff, William Fairfield Warren professor at Boston University...

Europe’s Impossible Refugee Math: Brexit Was Mathematical Certainty Eventually

In a recent GMO commentary on Immigration and Brexit, founder Jeremy Grantham laid out precise reasons why Brexit was a mathematical certainty eventually. Curiously, Grantham thinks Brexit was a bad idea. On the second sentence...

China Plans Military Exercise in South China Sea

A week after a Hague tribunal ruled against its territorial claims to 80 percent of the South China Sea, Beijing is organizing military exercises in the area. A zone to the southeast of the island of Hainan will be closed until Thursday for the exercises.

"End of the Game" Near as Corporate Defaults Surge Across the Globe, Says Expert

As shown by the chart below, global corporate defaults have spiked to their highest levels since the Great Recession even as stocks hit new record all-time highs. Edward Altman, one of the world's leading authorities on high yield, distressed debt, and credit risk analysis, warns...

The Looming Shortage in Government Bonds

Ever since the 2008 financial crisis, there has been a persistent shortage of high-quality government debt. More than just a safe haven in times of financial stress—the so-called 'flight to quality'—the supply of high-quality sovereign debt has been steadily shrinking. This shortage became acutely apparent with the results...

US Shale Industry Is Painfully Adapting to Low Oil Prices

Low oil prices wreaked havoc with US shale producers, but increasingly the industry appears to be adapting successfully to new market conditions. The rise in oil prices over the past six months has come as a blessing for the battered US...

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