Blog Profile / Financial Sense

Filed Under:Business & Finance / Investing
Posts on Regator:7484
Posts / Week:33.8
Archived Since:February 23, 2011

Blog Post Archive

Don Coxe: Bull Market in Bonds Now Ending - Investors Beware

Don Coxe, Chairman of Coxe Advisors, called the dawn of the bull market in bonds in 1981. Now, 34 years later, he sees the bull market ending as it enters a final mania phase marked by negative interest rates. Don discusses this historic period we are now in and both the risks and opportunities he sees ahead.

Is Greece Still a Country if Someone Else Owns Its Assets?

This story isn’t actually about Greece, but it begins there. After the country went functionally bankrupt a few years ago, the solutions proposed by its creditors (mostly European banks and governments) included the impoverishment o...

Secular Versus Cyclical: Notes From SIC 2015

The consensus I’m hearing and reading from the 500+ attendees at the recent Strategic Investment Conference is that this was the best ever. It was certainly intense, with more divergent views presented this year than at previous conferences.

Conference Board Leading Economic Index Increased Again in April

The Latest Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for April is now available. The index rose 0.7 percent, which follows a 0.4 percent March increase (an upward revision from 0.2 percent). The latest number came in...

Investor Opinions Have Become Extremely Uniform, and That's Not Good

Last week, the number of investment advisors who are bullish US equities dropped below 50%. For many, this was seen as sign of bearishness. Indeed, relative to the past 16 months, investment advisors were relatively bearish...

The Future Is Served: Meet Morley the Robot Master Chef

Want Lobster bisque? Morley, the robot master chef can cook that up for you in about 30 minutes. If you want new recipes, just team up Morley with IBM's Watson, the computer that trounced everyone at the game of Jeopardy.

Goldman Sachs Predicting $45 Oil by October

Could oil prices be in for yet another decline? Oil prices have rebounded with surprising speed in recent weeks, with WTI prices bouncing by more than a third from March lows. There are good reasons for this. Rig counts are...

ABC's of the AIIB

The 57 founding members of the China-sponsored Asian Investment Bank are meeting in Singapore. Many countries rushed to join the new development bank before the March 31 deadline even though key rules had not been decided.

Japan Pleases Markets With Surprise Growth

It’s been a long time since Japan’s economy has produced the type of growth it did in 2015 Q1, with GDP growth coming in at a better than expected +2.4% vs. an upwardly revised growth pace of +1.1% in...

Secular Trends in New Residential Building Permits and Housing Starts

Yesterday we reported separately on the latest residential building permits and housing starts in the government's report for April data, courtesy of the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

Sell in May and Go Away?

The theme of “bad news is good news” continues as several economic reports weighed on investor sentiment. Recent reports have been disappointing, but this has also served to bolster investors’ belief that the Fed will respond to the weak data by passing on an interest rate increase.

Housing Data Rebounds; Walmart Disappoints

Today’s Housing Starts and Permits data for April came in better than expected, which followed soft housing readings in the preceding two months. Importantly, Starts went back above the one-million unit mark after staying below...

This Innovation Will Help U.S. Companies Win the Oil Price War

Although some US oil companies are struggling with low oil prices, a new wave of innovation is hitting the oil patch, allowing for a significant reduction in drilling costs. A variety of different improvements in production are starting to...

A Net Assessment of the World

A pretentious title requires a modest beginning. The world has increasingly destabilized and it is necessary to try to state, as clearly as possible, what has happened and why. This is not because the world is uniquely disorderly...

Bonds - Managing Duration and Interest Rate Risk

If you own any bonds, or have exposure to bond funds, perhaps through a retirement account, it’s a good idea to understand how the value of those bonds will react to changes in interest rates. Recall that owning bonds, or being...

Crescendo or Consolidation?

The S&P 500 (SPX/2122.73) has basically been locked in a trading range between 2040 and 2100 since early February of this year. Some technical analysts term the subsequent chart pattern a wedge and others call it a rising wedge.

Is the Smart Money Running for Cover?

Markets are always reassessing the balance between bullish information and bearish information. If concerns about anything, including Greece, were significant relative to bullish information, we would expect to see...

Time to Sell Junk Bonds? Maybe Not

Jeff Gundlach is the new Bond King. Last year, when the consensus overwhelmingly expected US 10 year yields to rise over 3%, he said they would instead fall under 2%. In the event, they fell to 1.65%.

Argentina’s Growing Dependency on Beijing

Cash-strapped Argentina relies on China for everything from currency swaps to investments in nuclear infrastructure. Moreover, Argentina’s primary exports and sources of state funding are and will stay bound to the Chinese demand.

I Don't Know. Third Base!

In the history of comedy routines, Abbott & Costello's "Who's on First?" routine ranks among the best. Why? Well, he's in left field but forget about him for now. The reason the "Who's on First?" routine is comic genius lies in the comedians...

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