Blog Profile / Financial Sense


URL :http://www.financialsense.com/
Filed Under:Business & Finance / Investing
Posts on Regator:7412
Posts / Week:33.9
Archived Since:February 23, 2011

Blog Post Archive

Biggest Inflection Point for 2015 Happening Right Now

The two biggest topics I wrote about in the first quarter of the year was to expect a correction in the USD and a trough in global economic growth this spring, both of which are occurring right now. The three main points for why...

Key Signals That Oil Prices Are on the Up

Oil prices are showing some signs of life as key indicators start pointing in a bullish direction. One of the big indicators to watch that will determine which way oil prices are heading is the rate at which oil producers are storing oil.

Obama’s 2nd Term Much Like 1st for Stock Market

We are now in the second term of President Obama’s term in office. While the Presidential Cycle Pattern shows similarities among all presidential terms in the stock market’s behavior, it is poorly appreciated how the 2nd term is often different from the first in its character.

Ahoy, Polloi

Back in the early days of my investing career in the late ’90s, I used to have pretty much all my money in index funds. When I started working on Wall Street, I had a separate pile that I used to speculate on individual stocks...

China: Lender of First (and Last) Resort

China’s role in the global financial system has recently caught the media’s attention more than usual, as Beijing’s financial aspirations create significant diplomatic tensions among Western countries.

Will China Launch QE?

Press reports suggest that the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) is considering unconventional monetary policies, including direct purchases of local government bonds and/or some sort of long-term refinancing operation (LTRO) using...

GDP Weaker Than Expected

The soft GDP read this morning sets the stage for the Fed announcement later this afternoon, with investors trying to handicap whether the Central Bank will start the tightening cycle in September or delay it further.

The Third and Final Transformation of Monetary Policy

The law of unintended consequences is becoming ever more prominent in the economic sphere, as the world becomes exponentially more complex with every passing year. Just as a network grows in complexity and value as...

No Steep Decline in U.S Oil Production Expected Anytime Soon

Increased oil output in the US has kept World oil output from declining over the past few years and a major question is how long this can continue. Poor estimates by both the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) and...

Robert Rapier: Oil to Remain in $50-$70 Range Over Next Year or Two

Energy analyst Robert Rapier tells Financial Sense Newshour that OPEC is likely to announce production cuts this June but that he doesn't expect prices to rise much higher than $70 over the next year or two. He also says it may be time to lighten up on some smaller oil...

Markets Waiting for Bad 1st Quarter GDP

Multi-month sideways trends in currencies, oil, stock indices and many commodity markets are destined to continue for another couple days as we await Wednesday (29th) for 1st quarter GDP results. Consensus for the US...

Tesla Could Be Changing the Dynamics of Global Energy

Tesla’s announcement last week about creating a new line of batteries for use by businesses, consumers, and the electrical grid at large is a game-changer for the industry. Currently, when individuals or companies need...

A Surprising Decline in Consumer Confidence

The Latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index was released this morning based on data collected through April 17. The headline number of 95.2 was a substantial drop from the revised March final reading of 101.4...

Prelude to a Japanese Revival

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has arrived in Washington, the third stop on his maiden voyage to the United States since assuming office in 2012. Over the next two days, he will hold a summit with U.S. President Barack Obama on....

Two Observations on US Corporate Earnings

The US corporate earnings season is almost half over. Fears that the US S&P 500 would report the first decline in income since 2009 have eased. One of the key reasons is that operating margins appear to have improved more...

Stop Worrying About the Fed

Last week was relatively light in terms of economic data. We learned that home prices are still rising at a modest pace of 5.4%, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency, and we saw a minor tick upward in the pace of...

Robin Griffiths: US to Have Another Run Before Final Crash in 2016 or 2017

US markets are expensive and well into bubble territory, says well-known technician Robin Griffiths. Though before a likely crash sometime around 2016-2017, he sees another breakout run in the second half of this year...

Being There

Spring has definitely sprung here in Florida as pollen is in the air and raindrops fall on my tin roof with the sound of golf balls. “Tra la! It's May! The lusty month of May! That lovely month when ev'ryone goes blissfully astray.....

Weekday Wrap-Up: Mixed Warning Signals, Grid Defection, and the Repricing of US Debt

This month a number of commentators grew quite alarmed by disturbing data coming from the National Association of Credit Management (NACM) showing that the US economy may be facing a credit crunch as businesses find it very hard to get loans...

Volume Data Have Eased One Concern

We focus a lot on the Advance-Decline (A-D) data, which is the basis for the McClellan Oscillator and Summation Index plus other indicators. But we also like to watch what the Up Volume (UV) and Down Volume (DV) numbers are doing.

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