Blog Profile / Financial Sense

Filed Under:Business & Finance / Investing
Posts on Regator:7594
Posts / Week:33.4
Archived Since:February 23, 2011

Blog Post Archive

Now’s Really Not the Time for a Liquidity Crisis

Liquidity risk in the global bond markets is peaking at the worst possible time. It’s not simply an inconvenience for Greek bank customers emptying ATMs; a number of other trends have been building for a while that have bond investors worried.

Greece Deal, ADP Cheer Markets

Markets appear in a cheery mood on renewed hopes of a Greek deal following fresh proposals from the Greek government. The Greek headlines dominate while a strong ADP (ADP) jobs report this morning adds to...

Deadlines Come and Go, Markets Endure

Greece has formally fallen into arrears with the IMF, and the second aid package has expired. The markets have taken it in stride. The euro was briefly pushed below $1.1100 but snapped back quickly amid reports that Greece is...

NYSE Margin Debt: A 1.6% Decline From Last Month's Record High

The New York Stock Exchange publishes end-of-month data for margin debt on the NYXdata website, where we can also find historical data back to 1959. Let's examine the numbers and study the relationship between...

Current Oil Price Slump Far From Over

The oil price collapse of 2014-2015 began one year ago this month (Figure 1). The world crossed a boundary in which prices are not only lower now but will probably remain lower for some time. It represents a phase...

A Look at Greek Contagion Risk

Talks between Greece and its creditors broke down over the weekend and Greece’s banks and stock market were closed Monday and will likely remain closed all week. A brief overview of the Greek situation is provided...

Deadlines, Deals, and Defaults

Greece has defaulted on its loan to the IMF, but hopes of a last-minute deal remain alive. And it is these hopes and rumors of a potential deal that appear to be giving markets a lift today. It isn’t easy to fully decipher...

Events Continue to Conspire Against The Fed

Federal Reserve policymakers just can't catch a break lately. Riding on the back of strong data in the second half of last year, they were positioning themselves to declare victory and begin the process of policy normalization...

Recession vs. Wealth Inequality

The economy contracted 0.2% in the first quarter, based on the latest revision released last Wednesday. But as we know, a number of temporary factors including another harsh winter, the west coast port strike...

Barry Bannister on Greece

A sharp note this morning by Barry Bannister (STIFEL) is worth sharing. We thank Barry for giving us permission. Despite all this posturing over Greece and “Grexit” risk, I doubt Greece will be allowed to leave the eurozone.

Earnings Preview - Second Quarter 2015

With the second quarter coming to an end, that means another earnings reporting period is right around the corner. Clearly, the market isn't expecting the results of the coming reporting period to be as dour as...

Have the Saudis Miscalculated the Impact of Lower Crude Prices on US Production?

In 2014 the Saudis could no longer accept the loss of crude oil market share as the North American production levels shot up sharply over a three-year period.

Australia’s Housing Bubble: Myth, or Ticking Time Bomb?

The potential ‘housing bubble’ in the real estate market in Australia is an economically and politically charged issue, both domestically and internationally. However, there is still no clear consensus on whether or...

Bull Market Pause or Top? Clues from the Credit Markets

When the outlook appears cloudy, a weight-of-the-evidence approach is usually best. In that light, the first place to examine is the credit markets, which often give an early warning of coming trouble. So, let's take a look...

When Pigs Can No Longer Fly, It's a Big Deal

Overnight markets were mixed, with China losing about 7%. The Shanghai Composite Index has now lost about 20% in the last nine sessions, though it is still 30% higher on the year (some of the other indices there are up even more).

BitGold Now Available in US! Why BitGold?

Unlike other cards that sell gold at a premium then issue a debit card, BitGold is a gold-based settlement system in real time. It is also the first gold-based card of any kind available in the US.

A Beginning but No End

Let's see. Do we start with the 7.4% decline in China's Shanghai Composite on Friday or with the news that there is still no definitive news on a deal between Greece and its creditors? We'll go with the former since the latter has been a broken record all week.

Nature Rebounds

The common meme in today’s world is that we are slowly (or perhaps even rapidly in some instances) destroying our global environment. Not just by way of global warming, but pollution, over-farming, water usage...

First-Time Homebuyers Are Jumping Back in the Market

In April, first-time homebuyers made up nearly 40 percent of home purchases, marking a new high since a special tax credit for first-time buyers expired in 2010. First-time buyers represent one of the real signs of housing-market health, since...

Why Buffett Bet A Billion On Solar

During the late innings of the ICE-age (as in the Internal Combustion Engine age) it has become clear that feeding gasoline and diesel to the next billion new cars is not going to be easy, or cheap. In China alone, 500 million...

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