Blog Profile / Afraid to Trade

Filed Under:Business & Finance / Investing
Posts on Regator:1830
Posts / Week:5.6
Archived Since:February 23, 2011

Blog Post Archive

A Bad Day for Wearables GoPro and FitBit GPRO FIT

Popular wearable Fitbit (FIT) and GoPro (GPRO) both plunged over 4% today, continuing their ongoing downtrends to new swing lows. Our foundational principle at Afraid to Trade states “stocks that are weak tend to get weaker” and these two related names show us why we hold this principle and what to expect from “weak stocks getting [...]

Flailing within the Fibs Emini Update March 13

After gapping higher Friday, stocks stalled beneath our key short-term Fibonacci Level. We’re seeing price trade just shy of this level so far today.  What’s the level and what’s the plan? Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: We’re once again focusing on the 2,368 @ES level (highlighted) as a key make-or-break bull/bear pivot. Note the [...]

Big Downside Surprise for Finisar FNSR on Three Push Reversal Pattern

The “Three Push” Reversal pattern is one of my favorite chart patterns and set-ups to trade. When it works, it can produce explosive gains quickly – often overnight. Finisar (FNSR) gives us the most recent example of the Three Push Pattern on Negative Divergences via today’s collapse from the high instantly to a new chart low. Let’s see [...]

Playing the Jobs Report Fibonacci Bounce March 10

A slightly better than expected morning Jobs Report sent shares surging on Wall Street, gapping the market up. Notice that we’re playing right now back into our key 2,368 Fibonacci Level which we’ll use as today’s plan. Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: Yesterday’s breakdown sent shares tumbling toward the 2,350 level and a [...]

Emini Crashing Down to the Lower Fibonacci Target March 9

Well folks, here we are, crashing through the “First Fib” down to the official 38.2% Fibonacci Target. After a series of tiny “stabs” through our 2,368 level, the @ES finally collapsed lower just now to our target. Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: Strangely enough, this is how Fibonacci is “supposed” to work. Price reached [...]

Crude Oil USO Finally Does Something Interesting Again March 8

I’ll be honest – I stopped caring about Crude Oil for most of 2017 because it’s been in a flat, sideways trading range. However, that all changed today with a big breakout and spike in volatility! Let’s chart it and see what might be next from this boring-to-exciting market: In our weekly member strategy report, we were anxiously [...]

Emini Building Rally off Make or Break Support March 8

It was so nice the market did it twice! And today makes three times the market tested our key support level. Price is “trying to” build a rally up away from this pivot but if buyers don’t step in, we have clear downside targets. Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: Here we are! Achieving [...]

Gold Also Tumbles to Key Fibonacci Level

Like the S&P 500, Gold pulled back to a key Fibonacci and price overlap target. If you’re trading Gold, frame your trades in terms of the departure “away from” this area. But first, let’s chart the development and pinpoint this key pivot: We’re seeing @GC (Gold) on the Hourly Chart with a short-term Fibonacci Grid from low to [...]

Straight Back to our Emini Fibonacci Target We Go March 7

It was so nice the market did it twice! Today we’re seeing a Repeat Day of yesterday’s pullback and rally up away from our key 2,368 @ES Target. Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: Here we are! Achieving the 2,368 “First Fibonacci” target (23.6%) once again (it’s also a price pivot) Monday and today gave [...]

Top Ten Put and Call Option Volume and Activity March 6

File this under “interesting reference post” – as these are the top ten stocks and ETFs that traded the most Put and Call Option volume (and activity) today. Is your favorite name on this list? Is there anything surprising to you? While it’s logical to see the SPY, QQQ, and even the IWM on the list, [...]

A Quick Collapse toward Support Target in Advance Micro AMD

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) more than doubled since last November. However, March has not been a kind month so far for this uptrending stock. Like the market itself, AMD pulled back to a key support level from negative divergences. Let’s plot this development and plan what’s next for traders: We saw a breakout on high volume and momentum in [...]

Bam Goes the Emini Fibonacci Reversal at Target March 6

Did you think it was impossible for the market to pull back to the first Fibonacci Target? I admit, it’s a little surprising, but it happened just as anticipated. We’ve been eyeing the 2,368 level on the open blog and of course membership site and today it happened. Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: Here [...]

Planning Gold as it Declines from Swing High March 3

Gold rallied strongly from the $1,120 low to the recent price target near $1,260. What’s the game plan now that we’re seeing a logical pullback within key levels? We had a reversal buy signal – positive divergences + reversal candles at support – in December. From there, price rallied as expected toward the prior price low and pivot [...]

The Plot Thickens as the Emini Decline Deeper March 3

Do not adjust your computer monitor – you’re actually seeing the Emini pull back from the 2,400 all-time high. Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: With the two-day pullback down away from 2,400 @ES, we continue using our Fibonacci Grid as seen yesterday. Here’s the strategy planning quote from our prior Member Strategy Plan [...]

An Actual Emini Pullback from 2400 March 2

Do my eyes deceive me or is that an actual authentic pullback in the @ES? Our thesis for today was to trade the departure away from 2,400’s critical pivot and so far that’s worked well. Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: With today’s pullback down away from 2,400 @ES, we do have a newly [...]

Apple AAPL Accelerates Trendline Rage through 140

Apple (AAPL) shares raged higher today with an acceleration gap through the $140 per share level. After the break beyond the $127.50 target, buyers rapidly accelerated their activities, as we’ll see shortly. Generally speaking, price...Show More Summary

Are You Watching the Huge Breakouts in Financials XLF FAS FAZ

Financials! We’re seeing financial stocks – seen fastest by the XLF Sector EFT – surge today on a breakout. Let’s plot the ETF breakout and then compare that quickly with the more aggressive leveraged FAS and FAZ. As we saw in this morning’s update post, the market surged to new highs again on another big breakout. I’m highlighting [...]

Just Showing the Pure Price Emini Breakout Today March 1

The market is surging this morning, extending the bull market with a short-squeezed bullish breakout. Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: As usual, there are no Fibonacci Pullback Levels to consider when price is surging to new highs. A Fibonacci Grid requires a swing high – which isn’t yet in place – and a [...]

Defensive Gold and Treasuries Bullishly Break Resistance

File this under “very interesting” – defensive markets Gold and Treasuries just reversed higher. If this continues, we could see a bearish development for the US Stock Market (money flow). Let’s take a look and see if the breakout holds: For some perspective, see our featured post “How Other Markets Behaved while Stocks Surged.” In it, you’ll see a [...]

Sharp Down but Fast Up Emini Pullback Update Feb 24

And the plot thickens! Stocks pulled back for a second time this morning, gapping lower but then recovering the gap within the first hour. Not only was this similar to yesterday’s session but it’s somewhat similar again to February 16th’s pullback. Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: Here’s our key planning quote from last night’s [...]

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