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Blog Profile / Afraid to Trade

Filed Under:Business & Finance / Investing
Posts on Regator:892
Posts / Week:4.4
Archived Since:February 23, 2011

Blog Post Archive

Join Corey Monday for a Panel Discussion Forecasting the SP500

I’m excited about a special opportunity Monday afternoon to join a panel and discuss the current market and potential opportunities (and direction!) of the S&P 500. The panel is hosted by David Kosmider of and we’ll be joined by Sean McKisson of This is a free and open event for all and will take place [...]

Quick Fibonacci Retracement Guide for Current Market Levels

I wanted to provide a quick Fibonacci Retracement reference guide for short-term levels in the Big Three US Equity Indexes (Dow, S&P 500, and NASDAQ). Without further delay, let’s focus on the key Fibonacci Levels we can incorporate into our trading and analysis: I’ll simply refer to the reference levels in this post – be sure to [...]

Big Bullish Reversal Intraday Update and Stock Scan Oct 3

Finally the bulls made their strike – they were ready to pounce after a series of sell-days struck the market. Today’s session was a powerful reversal with bullish action virtually across the board. Let’s start with our S&P 500 Chart and highlight the top trending stocks of the day: Before we discuss today’s session, let’s take a quick [...]

Compression Continues as Breakout Beckons in Apple AAPL

Apple shares (AAPL) continue their triangle or “EMA Compression” pattern as we await an official breakout trade entry trigger. Let’s update our “Triangle Trade” chart from last week and focus on the key trigger-entry levels along with the potential targets to paly for should an actual breakout occur soon. We’ll start with the daily chart: Again, see last [...]

October 2 VSpike Reversal Intraday Update and Scan

Retracement or V-Spike Reversal? So far, buyers aggressively defended the 1,930 index level and now short-sellers may be on the run after an impressive victory – at least for today. Let’s update our S&P 500 chart, note Sector Breadth, and focus on the top trending stocks of the session: Price plunged down away from the 1,970 after yesterday’s [...]

What Breadth Reveals about a Possible Market Reversal

When assessing the probability of a retracement (meaning the trend will continue) or larger reversal (meaning we’ll see a steep retracement or possible trend reversal), it’s often helpful to look at Market Breadth and other internals. Let’s update our Market Breadth Charts for the entirety of 2014 and note a clear warning sign from NYSE Breadth. We’re [...]

Breakdown Intraday Update and Stock Scanning to Start October

Today certainly won’t be remembered as an ordinary, average day! At mid-day, stock prices are collapsing in a liquidation swing as sellers broke price under a key support level (opening the bearish pathway we see now). Let’s update our S&P 500 chart and highlight the top trending stocks of the day as usual: We saw a Fibonacci Retracement [...]

Fast Fall for Ford Shares into Key Target

Ford shares (F) broke a critical support level and collapsed instantly toward the current key level where we’ll be watching for a reaction. We can study this textbook example (of a sudden yet telegraphed market reversal) as we focus on the current pivot support. Here’s the Daily Chart with breakdown: Shares rallied most of 2014 from the $14.25 [...]

Tight Range Compression Continues and Breakout Awaits for Chipotle CMG

For those awaiting a breakout in Chipotle shares (CMG), the wait may be coming to an end. Shares currently remain compressed between the 20 and 50 EMAs as traders await a range (and EMA) breakout. Let’s update our charts and plot the “Breakout Pathways” for trading this stock: I initially highlighted this “EMA Compression” last week and wanted [...]

Reversal Intraday Update and Stock Scan for Sept 29

New low?  Reversal?  Retracement? Let’s take a look at our intraday S&P 500 for today’s update and highlight the up and down trending stocks of the session for possible opportunities to trade into the close. We’re taking a broader perspective of the intraday chart to highlight the current (short-term) Fibonacci Retracement levels as drawn. We note the 38.2% [...]

Studying the Stealthily Strong Trender Disney DIS

You may not be aware that Disney (DIS) is one of the strongest trending stocks in the Dow Jones and S&P 500 right now and has been since its breakout in mid-2012. Let’s start with the Monthly Chart (where the magic is) and study this stock from there: I wanted to focus this post on the purity [...]

EMA Compression Breakout Trade Forming in Chipotle CMG

Chipotle shares (CMG) are forming an “EMA Compression” trade set-up which is a specific type of breakout pattern. Let’s see the chart, note the trigger levels, and plan a strategy for those interested in this high-priced stock. A few things jump off the chart at us at first glance. First, there’s the price pivot point at the $600 [...]

Weekly Pullback Planning for SP500 and Dow Jones

Following up from the prior “Pullback Planning Update,” let’s take a quick look at the broader S&P 500 and Dow Jones to note the logical pullback (retracement) toward the rising weekly targets. Let’s start with the S&P 500: Focus our attention on the price, upper Bollinger Band, and rising 20 week EMA (green). I highlighted each time recently [...]

Bearish Breadth and Price Collapse Stock Scan and Update for Sept 25

Look out below!  Price broke support and collapsed in a liquidation event today where the selling has (so far) been relentless. We recorded perhaps our most bearish breadth chart since I’ve been keeping record of intraday sector breadth on the open blog. Let’s see the current S&P 500, note ultra-bearish breadth, and then highlight our weakest stocks [...]

Support Range Bouncing for the SP500

Despite the lengthy uptrend, the shorter-term S&P 500 has devolved into a sideways trading range with clear boundaries. Let’s take a look at these boundaries, chart the current rally, and plan the near-term future for the market. We’re using the @ES futures chart to highlight the recent trading range and the visual divergences that have taken place [...]

Bouncing Market Update and Trending Stock Scan for Sept 24

Right on schedule, price rallied up from a known support target level and we have yet another Trend Day in motion. Start with this morning’s S&P 500 Support Bounce Rally post and let’s now take a look at our intraday update. Let’s jump into today’s update with an update on the S&P 500: Take a close look at [...]

Creeper Trend Continues Intraday Update and Stock Scan Sept 23

Here we go again!  The market continued its slide lower – as was widely expected – and so far is creating another trend day lower. However, not all is bearish in the market, as seen from our intraday stock scan. Let’s jump into today’s update with an update on the S&P 500: I expanded more detail Monday’s “Planning [...]

Decision Time for Netflix NFLX at Key Price Level

Netflix (NFLX) shares face an important turning point at a key support (pivot) level. Let’s plot this level – see why it’s important – and design a trading strategy around it. Focus on the rising 20 week EMA (price so far reversed up off this level): The rising 20 week EMA rests at the $440 per share level [...]

Triangle Trade Setting Up in Apple AAPL

With all the attention focused on the iPhone 6 this weekend, traders may be missing an iTriangle Pattern forming on the stock chart of Apple (AAPL) shares. Let’s take a look at the Classic Chart pattern, note the boundaries, and trading tactics we may use as this pattern develops. Shares continue a strong bullish uptrend as evidenced [...]

Steep Retracement Midday Update and Trending Stock Scan Sept 22

Well this is fun, isn’t it?  The market actually traded lower after many days of straight-up price action. It’s almost like the law of gravity actually applies again to the stock market! That being said, let’s take a look at our S&P 500 intraday chart, note a stunning signal from Breadth, and then chart our top-trending stocks [...]

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