Blog Profile / Afraid to Trade


URL :http://blog.afraidtotrade.com/
Filed Under:Business & Finance / Investing
Posts on Regator:1639
Posts / Week:5.4
Archived Since:February 23, 2011

Blog Post Archive

The Bounce after the Crash Fib Grid Planning Sept 12

After crashing Friday from a Bearish Rising Wedge, price is now logically bouncing up from a larger 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement. Let’s pinpoint this retracement and draw a shorter-term bounce Fibonacci Grid for this week. Here’s today’s updated Fibonacci and Emini (@ES) trading levels for your plans and trades: Here’s a reference guide of how to use and trade [...]

Our Absolutely Correct Call on the Bearish Rising Wedge and Breakdown

In the September 8th Idealized Trades Report, I detailed the likely bearish pathway ahead with a discussion on a “Bearish Rising Wedge” pattern, the trigger, the target, and how to trade it – all for our members. I wanted to highlight the analysis and outcome both from a teaching moment (pattern and outcome) and to show [...]

Another Three Push to a Reversal Example with Dollar General DG

I love spotting and trading a “Three Push” Pattern on a Daily Chart. Why? It’s an easy-to-see pattern that develops over time and gives a high probability of a big win with minimal risk. I posted last week about the “Three Push Pattern in Lululemon LULU” and the outcome. Here’s another great example for you to study [...]

September 8 Pullback Plan for Emini Fib Grid

How low will our current pullback (retracement) go?  Let’s see! Here’s today’s updated Fibonacci and Emini (@ES) trading levels for your plans and trades: Here’s a reference guide of how to use and trade from these morning updates. In last night’s report I discussed for members the Bearish Rising Wedge – and we’re seeing the initial trigger break [...]

Emini Pullback Planning Fib Grid Update Sept 6

We’re still trading within a short-term range with tiny probes outside the key boundaries. Here’s today’s updated Fibonacci and Emini (@ES) trading levels for your plans and trades: Here’s a reference guide of how to use and trade from these morning updates. In simplest terms, we’re focusing on the 2,180 level and the 2,172 level. Right now, these are [...]

Three Push Pattern to a Reversal in Lululemon LULU

The “Three Push” Pattern is one of my absolute favorite price patterns to play. Lululemon (LULU) – fresh off a bearish earnings surprise – gives us the most recent example of this larger pattern and teh powerful reversals that can “surprise” traders not aware of the bearish reversal pattern. Let’s see it and study it: The “Three Push” [...]

Jobs Report Blows Market through Fibonacci Grid Sept 2

Oh my gosh it’s time to rush out and buy all the stocks because the Jobs Report was weaker than expected and the Unemployment Rate ticked up! Sarcasm aside, that’s exactly what happened as economic weakness decreases the odds that the Fed will raise rates, which is bullish. If it doesn’t make sense to you, welcome to [...]

Tesla TSLA Follows our Bearish Rounded Arc as Expected

Tesla (TSLA) shares are precisely following our analysis that a sell-swing is coming, via the beginning of a Rounded Arc pattern. What was the original analysis? See the prior post entitled: “Beginning a Bearish Arc Lower for Tesla TSLA” and compare that with today’s collapse. It’s exactly what should have happened: On the Daily Chart we’re seeing the [...]

Emini Breaking Through our Fibonacci Grid Update

We’re still within the trading range and price is still reacting to our short-term @ES Fibonacci Grid. Here’s today’s updated Fibonacci and Emini (@ES) trading levels for your plans and trades: Here’s a reference guide of how to use and trade from these morning updates. Here’s a direct quote from last night’s short-term strategy planning for members: It’s possible [...]

Financial Stocks Liking the Prospect of Higher Fed Rates XLF FAS

The Financial and Bank stocks are loving the prospect of higher rates from the Federal Reserve. How do we know? We’re seeing a high volume price breakout to a new swing high in leading ETFs. Let’s start with the broader Financial ETF Sector SPDR – symbol XLF: From February, bank/financial share prices in the ETF surged from the [...]

Beginning a Bearish Arc Lower for Tesla TSLA

Is Tesla (TSLA) about to fall off the cliff and plunge lower, completing another “Arc” Pattern? It sure looks that way today. Let’s chart the pattern and plan the price pathways if this pattern succeeds or fails (with a trap). Let’s start with the March to May period of 2016. Price rallied higher from $150 to $270, enriching shareholders [...]

Rush to the Highs Emini Fibonacci Bounce Update Aug 29

Back toward the highs we go!  It’s almost as if Chair Yellen said nothing that surprised the market (hint – she did). Here’s today’s updated Fibonacci and Emini (@ES) trading levels for your plans and trades: Here’s a reference guide of how to use and trade from these morning updates. The suggestion that the Fed will raise rates [...]

Thanks Yellen Emini Fibonacci Grid Update August 26

Well THAT got interesting fast! Chair Yellen strongly hinted that conditions allow for a near-term future rate hike, and that sent the market lurching up and down. However, our Fibonacci Levels held!  So far. Here’s today’s updated Fibonacci and Emini (@ES) trading levels for your plans and trades: Here’s a reference guide of how to use and trade from [...]

Gold’s Collapse into Key Support Target August 25

Gold completed a Triangle and Price Projection Target toward the prior low which sets up a possible short-term support-bounce rally. Let’s pinpoint the pattern and plan for a possible bounce. I’ve gone into more detail and trade planning with our members, but wanted to highlight this possible pivot. A quick glance shows our Successful Symmetrical Triangle (Midpoint near [...]

Bouncing Market Emini Fibonacci Grid Update August 25

After harshly joking about it Tuesday, we actually did get our expected pullback to a key target in the market. Here’s today’s updated Fibonacci and Emini (@ES) trading levels for your plans and trades: Here’s a reference guide of how to use and trade from these morning updates. In the membership we’ve been highlighting the “Repeat Range” pattern. The [...]

Parabolic Arc and Big Rally for Novatel MIFI Analysis

Parabolic Arc, textbook Elliott third wave, to-the-penny 50% Fibonacci. These are just some of the factors at work for Novatel Wireless (MIFI) on the recent surge from $1.00 to $4.00 – a stellar move. Let’s peel back the price and learn some lessons while we plan the next possible swing. I’m highlighting the earlier simple Elliott Wave count [...]

Never a Pullback Emini Fibonacci Grid Aug 23

Beuller? Beuller? Beuller? Pullback? Pullback? Pullback? Here’s today’s updated Fibonacci and Emini (@ES) trading levels for your plans and trades: Here’s a reference guide of how to use and trade from these morning updates. In the membership...Show More Summary

A Play for Whole Foods WFM Off Critical Support

Is it time to buy Whole Foods stock (WFM) for a rapid bounce swing trade? Let’s see if that might indeed be the case: Just based on a quick glance at the Daily Chart, we’re seeing a potential repeat-bounce higher. The $30.00 per share level is an Aust support point and a June reversal point for price. Thursday and [...]

Year to Date Sector Rotation Insights August 2016

Bull?  Bear?  Top forming?  What’s the message from the Sector Rotation Model at the moment? Here we go! Under the Sector Rotation Model, we compare and contrast money flow – via relative strength – between the Offensive Groups (green above) and the Defensive Groups (red). In general, if insiders and large funds are bullish or optimistic about the [...]

Range Continues for Emini Fibonacci Intraday Update Aug 22

One day we’ll get a breakout from this repeating range in the S&P 500 – and that day may be today – but so far it clearly isn’t the case. Here’s today’s updated Fibonacci and Emini (@ES) trading levels for your plans and trades: Here’s a reference guide of how to use and trade from these morning [...]

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