Blog Profile / Afraid to Trade


URL :http://blog.afraidtotrade.com/
Filed Under:Business & Finance / Investing
Posts on Regator:1728
Posts / Week:5.5
Archived Since:February 23, 2011

Blog Post Archive

Buyers Bullishly Break Emini Higher Dec 9 Update

Buyers continued their relentless campaign of accumulating stocks as the S&P 5oo broke to new lifetime highs. Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: I’ll update the Emini Fibonacci Grid once price actually starts to pull back (retrace) from the squeeze to new highs. Until then, our goal should be trading in the direction of [...]

US Dollar Index Bounces from Our Fibonacci Target

The US Dollar Index caught a strong bullish bid this morning, surging up away from our known Fibonacci Confluence target. What was it and what should we be watching now? Let’s see clearly: First, take a moment to read our prior post “Dollar Drops to Fibonacci Target.” I highlighted the confluence of the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement with [...]

Triple Stock Index Check on Breakouts to New Highs

Bullish repbalancing plus a powerful short-squeeze is boosting the US Equity Market to all-time highs at the beginning of December. Let’s get a quick check on the S&P 500, Dow Jones,  and the NASDAQ to see which levels are key now: The S&P 500 isn’t the strongest market right now; it’s actually the Dow Jones. However, our focal [...]

Dragging the Emini Fibonacci Grid to New Highs Dec 7

Buyers continued their relentless campaign of accumulating stocks as the S&P 5oo broke to new lifetime highs. Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: After a pullback took the market toward our 23.6% Fibonacci Level last week, buyers aggressively intervened on the Double Bottom with Divergence pattern I highlighted Friday: In a bull market, prices [...]

Emini Keeps the Bull Market Going Dec 6 Update

Today keep the bullish pressure going – so far – on the bounce up away from our Emini Fibonacci Level. Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: After a pullback took the market toward our 23.6% Fibonacci Level last week, buyers aggressively intervened on the Double Bottom with Divergence pattern I highlighted Friday: The confluence [...]

Down Drops the Dollar on Divergences into Fibonacci Target

The S&P 500 isn’t the only market you can track using intraday charts and Fibonacci Levels. Let’s carry forward the same logic to the intraday @DX US Dollar Index and plan the next swing from here. We see the US Dollar Index on the 30-min chart on a rally from 97.00 to 102.00. Note the progression of strong, [...]

New Lows after Surge for Nat Gas 3x DGAZ

Triple-Leveraged ETFs are the wild-west of the short-term trading landscape. You can triple your gains if you’re right or triple your losses if you’re wrong. Here’s a good example of a boom-to-bust quick-cycle in Natural Gas 3x inverse (short) ETN DGAZ: I’m a huge proponent that 3x inverse ETFs should be used ONLY by day-traders or extremely short-term [...]

Rally off Fibonacci Grid Support Emini Update Dec 5

It’s always exciting when price does exactly what it should! Here we’re seeing a rally up away from our Fibonacci Retracement level after Friday’s positive divergence and ‘double bottom’ short-term reversal price pattern. Here’s today’s...Show More Summary

December 2 Emini Fibonacci Retracement Grid Update

After an initial bounce just above our official Emini Fibonacci Target, price appears to be trading back toward our target level. Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: Traditional odds strongly favored a pullback and that’s precisely what we’re seeing. The initial target is the 2,182 pivot and if the retracement picks up steam from [...]

December Downward Emini Retracement Takes Over

I’m thrilled to know that logic prevails and price is doing what it “should” at the moment. Odds overwhelmingly favored a pullback/retracement toward lower Fibonacci Retracement levels for the @ES and right now – as we start December – that’s exactly what we’re seeing. Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: As traders, we can’t [...]

Three Steps to a Trade a Collapse Lesson from Dryships DRYS and Qualcomm QCOM

I’m still surprised with how quickly Dryships (DRYS) surged from $5.00 to $100.00 but even more impressed with the even faster speed it collapsed from $100.00 back to $5.00. Dryships (DRYS) serves as a perfect example of a euphoria pattern shows up on a stock’s chart when fear/greed (in this case extreme versions of both) capture [...]

Our Make or Break Emini Level Update Nov 30

I’m not sure the buyers (bulls) know the meaning of a “pullback” but here we are, near the highs again. All joking aside, Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: Buyers aren’t willing to let this November rally die.  They’re aggressively stepping in on tiny pullbacks. This shouldn’t frustrate us because we continue to balance [...]

Microsoft MSFT Gently Nudges to New High

Software giant Microsoft (MSFT) continue to be a “strong stock getting stronger” as evidenced by today’s new high. Let’s chart this bullish candidate and plan key levels on which to focus for any trades: On the Daily Chart, we can see short-term pivot support/resistance levels at $56.00 and $58.00. We’re also seeing a new short-term resistance level at [...]

Resilient Bulls Emini Fibonacci Grid Update Nov 29

I’m not sure the buyers (bulls) know the meaning of a “pullback” but here we are, near the highs again. All joking aside, Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: There’s no major update today other than the smaller “abc” pullback toward the 2,200 target. Buyers stepped in once again, not patient enough to let [...]

QuadMarket Holiday Trend Update Nov 28

We’ve seen all markets trend strongly after the US Election and Thanksgiving holiday November events. Let’s first take a look at these stellar, persistent intraday trends and then balance the odds of future short-term reversals: Here we see the “Quad-Market” or Intermarket Grid I use in my more detailed/lengthy Intermarket Reports. The main idea here is to track [...]

Back to a Key Pivot Point for Swing Trading Apple AAPL Nov 28

Does Apple (AAPL) go higher or lower from $110?  Build your next swing trade off this logic: Apple shares logically tumbled from the $118.00 level on dual negative volume and momentum divergences. Price extended itself away from the 200 day SMA (red line) and then collapsed back toward it in November. At the moment, we’re seeing a rally [...]

Finally Pulling Back from the Highs Emini Update Nov 28

Wait, the market can actually go DOWN? I had no idea! If you started your trading career in November 2016, I can see how you could think stock prices can’t go down. Hint – they can and do!  And you can make money when they do by short-selling the market (or buying inverse ETFs)! All joking aside, [...]

The Emini Holiday Creep Continues Nov 23

Breakout? Pullback? Extended Uptrend getting more extended? Divergent Reversal? Let’s plan! Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: We have a new Fibonacci Grid for the moment that will remain active on an eventual retracement from the high. We’ll keep extending it higher – from the earlier low – until we do get [...]

US Steel X Surges through Breakout Highs Nov 22

Expectations for future “stimulus” and transportation/spending projects from the new Republican administration sent raw materials stocks – and futures contracts – surging after the US Election. Here’s the quick update – after a stellar breakout – for US Steel (X) by request: On the Daily Chart above we see a positive momentum divergence in October – ahead [...]

Emini Breaks on Through to the Other Side Nov 21

Breakout?  Pullback? Extended Uptrend getting more extended?  Let’s plan! Here’s today’s updated Emini (@ES) trading levels for your trades: We have a new Fibonacci Grid for the moment that will remain active IF price does retrace from the high. We’ll keep extending it higher – from the earlier low – until we do get that deeper-than-one-hour pullback. For now, [...]

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