Blog Profile / Afraid to Trade


URL :http://blog.afraidtotrade.com/
Filed Under:Business & Finance / Investing
Posts on Regator:1929
Posts / Week:5.6
Archived Since:February 23, 2011

Blog Post Archive

Snap Price Action in Gold Oil and the Dollar on the Fed Day

What’s going on behind the scenes of the stock market during today’s Fed Day? I’m so glad you asked!  Here’s a quick snap-grid of our four markets in action today: Our “Quad-Market Grid” shows the following Fed Day activity on the intraday chart: NEUTRAL action at the highs for equities (@ES) A very bullish morning but bearish Fed reaction [...]

A New Bounce off our Emini Fed Day Fibonacci Grid June 14

We use our Fibonacci Grid as target levels to play “toward” and reversal points to play “away from.” That’s true in today’s morning activity, as you’ll see below. Here’s your short-term Emini Fibonacci Retracement Grid and Target Levels: We had a full pullback to our 61.8% short-term Fibonacci Level at 2,417 and buyers stepped in aggressively. From there, price [...]

Back to the Upper Side of our Fibonacci Grid goes the Emini June 13

This Bull Market will NEVER End! That’s not true but it sure feels that way lately.  Here we are back to the highs of our Fibonacci Grid. Here’s your short-term Emini Fibonacci Retracement Grid and Target Levels: We had a full pullback to our 61.8% short-term Fibonacci Level at 2,417 and buyers stepped in aggressively. From there, price closed [...]

Our Emini Fibonacci Range at the Highs June 12

With price in a short-term range at the all-time highs, let’s update our Emini Fibonacci Planning Grid. Here’s your short-term Emini Fibonacci Retracement Grid and Target Levels: Price pulled back violently Friday after achieving a new all-time never-before-seen high. Price collapsed from the 2,445 level all the way back to our confluence target just above 2,415. From there – [...]

Twelve Stocks in Strong Rising Trend Channel Scan June 9

Sometimes the simplest stock scans are the best. As the stock market powers through to all-time highs, let’s highlight twelve uptrending stocks in strong channels, courtesy FinViz Screener: This is just a quick, no-frills scan to identify S&P 500 stocks in strong uptrend channels. We like to buy on pullbacks in rising trends, expecting that “stocks which are [...]

What are Other Markets Doing while Stocks Break to New Highs June 9

Equities continued their non-stop march to new all-time highs. If you’re just watching equities (stocks) right now, you may be curious what other markets are doing right now. I’m so glad you asked! Our “Quad-Market Grid” shows the following activity on the hourly chart: BULLISH Money Flow into Equities and Gold (except the last two days in Gold) BEARISH Money [...]

Bullish Volume and Momentum Coming in for Tesla TSLA

Tesla (TSLA) shares continue to get stronger, especially with today’s bullish upside action above $370. Let’s step beneath the price and uptrend to see what volume and momentum have to say about the future: In general… “Stocks which are strong tend to get stronger” and “Trends – once established – have greater odds of continuing rather than reversing.” Tesla (TSLA) [...]

Emini Still Playing within our Fibonacci Grid at the Highs June 8

Back to the highs we go!  We’ve built a new short-term (intraday only) Fibonacci Grid at the highs. Here’s your short-term Emini Fibonacci Retracement Grid and Target Levels: We “Planned a Pullback in the Emini” last Friday and we did get two days of “pullback” price action. We’re seeing a very short-term support shelf at the 2,430 [...]

On Guard for a Deeper Pullback in Chipotle CMG

Chipotle (CMG) shares had a bumpy ride after collapsing in late 2015. After a year of sideways price action at the low, we’re finally seeing life in the form of a bullish breakout. However, watch what happens next at a critical price level for clues to trading the future of CMG: The spark of life – and early [...]

Updated Emini Fibonacci Grid at the Highs June 7

With our short-term pullback plan in motion, what levels are important and what’s the daily update? Here’s your short-term Emini Fibonacci Retracement Grid and Target Levels: The non-stop bull market hit a snag this yesterday, and we were planning for this as seen in last Friday’s “Planning a Pullback in the Emini.” We’re seeing a very short-term support [...]

Beautiful Color Structure Update of the Current Bull Market

As price (slightly) pulls back from the all-time high, let’s raise our perspective to the current price structure chart of the S&P 500. Here’s our market from a different perspective: Market Structure charts allow us to visualize the swings that build trends – in this case an uptrend. From April to December 2016, price remained in a rising [...]

Revisiting the 21 Posts on Trading Trend Days

With a big day like Thursday behind us, let’s go into the weekend with a clear understanding of what Trend Days are and how we trade them. Here’s an archived post from all the way back to 2009 with education and examples you can study this weekend to get up to speed on how we [...]

Long Term Fibonacci and Bounce Planning for LuluLemon LULU

Lululemon (LULU) shares face a critical “make or break” support reversal test right now. What’s the level – based on price and a Fibonacci Grid – and what’s the plan?  Follow along: We’ll start with the dominant Fibonacci Retracement grid from the 2014 low to the 2016 reversal peak at $80. From there, we see the “Midpoint” at [...]

Bullish Surge Forever June 1 Update

How dare we assume that this bull market will stop. How very dare we. We were correct that a pullback was likely toward the 2,400 level, but now that it’s complete, it’s back on to new highs today and forever and ever. Here’s your short-term Emini Fibonacci Retracement Grid and Target Levels: The non-stop bull market hit a [...]

Four Stock Market Index Checkup on May 31 Pullback

If you’re only looking at one of the four main US Equity Indexes, you might be missing something right now. On the pullback from the all-time highs in the stock market, which index is the weakest right now? Let’s dust off our Quad-Index Grid and take a look: The top left shows the popular @ES or S&P 500 [...]

A Bearish Breakdown Busts the Bullish Reversal in KORS

Bulls (buyers) stepped into a Trap last week as Michael Kors (KORS) broke down from support. Here’s the Trap and a longer-term perspective on how far this once strong stock has fallen: $36.00 per share looked like a promising support level complete with positive divergences. A breakout above the $38.00 level – the falling 50 day EMA – [...]

Our Pullback Plan is in Motion Emini Update May 31

We were planning a pullback and so far, the market is delivering right on schedule. Here’s your short-term Emini Fibonacci Retracement Grid and Target Levels: The non-stop bull market hit a snag this morning, and we were planning for this as seen in last Friday’s “Planning a Pullback in the Emini.” Here it is – at least an [...]

A Strong Four Day Rally to New Highs for Tesla TSLA

Tesla (TSLA) shares surged to fresh new all-time highs today above the $330 per share level. In fact, the last four days have been strong bullish up-days in the context of an ongoing strong uptrend. Here’s the development and what to expect next: At Afraid to Trade, our core swing trading principle is that “stocks that are currently [...]

Updating our Emini Fibonacci Grid to End May

As we close out May 2017 this week, let’s update our short-term/intraday Fibonacci Planning Grid. Here’s your short-term Emini Fibonacci Retracement Grid and Target Levels: The non-stop bull market hit a snag this morning, and we were planning for this as seen in last Friday’s “Planning a Pullback in the Emini.” Here it is – at least an [...]

Planning a Possible Pullback Emini Update May 26

I’d be a total fool for planning a pullback in this non-stop short-squeezed bull market, but humor me and let’s do it anyway just in case the market actually does pull back. Here’s your short-term Emini Fibonacci Retracement Grid and Target Levels: If you’re new to the trading world, you may either be puzzled by this endless [...]

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