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Blog Profile / Afraid to Trade


URL :http://blog.afraidtotrade.com/
Filed Under:Business & Finance / Investing
Posts on Regator:914
Posts / Week:4.5
Archived Since:February 23, 2011

Blog Post Archive

Fun Facts from 2014 About Up and Down Days in the Market

Like any year, 2014 has seen its share of ups and downs in the market (more ups than downs, actually), so I thought it’d be interesting to compare the up and down days for the S&P 500 so far in 2014. If anything, it’s a different way to see price and study the character of the [...]

Stepping Inside Sector Strength During the October Rally

When we see large price movements in the market – like our recent strong rally over the last week – we can break down the picture into smaller pieces by looking at “Sector Strength.” We can study which sectors were strongest, which lagged behind, and what this may suggest for the broader market. Let’s take a look [...]

Join John Person’s Trader Tools that are Working Right Now Webinar Thursday

I wanted to call your attention to a special live educational webinar taking place Thursday, October 23rd at 4:30pm EST from my colleague and friend John Person. Entitled “Best Tools for Traders Working Today,” John will discuss the top tools for traders as adapted to today’s new markets. I’ve worked with John for many years and highly [...]

Reversal Intraday Market Update and Stock Scan for Oct 22

And now for something completely different (than this creeper trend we’ve seen)! Here’s our S&P 500 update and trending stock scan for the day: Price crept advanced with “Creeper” Trend Days into today’s session high of 1,950. Note the...Show More Summary

The Rectangle Range Continues for Apple AAPL Trade Planning

After a mini-bear trap, Apple (AAPL) shares continued trading within a well-defined Rectangle Range Pattern. Let’s update our Apple chart and note potential breakout trades – or “Range Fades” – that may trigger soon. After a breakout (gap) into trend movement from May to August, shares have traded within a triangle and now rectangle price pattern on [...]

Updating the Best and Worst Days of 2014 for the SP500

Pop Quiz:  Without peeking, can you identify which month had the best day for the S&P 500 in 2014 and then which month had the worst day so far? How about if I said TODAY was the best day of 2014 for the S&P 500?  That’s actually true. If the best day for 2014 happened in October, [...]

Up Up and Away Market Update and Stock Scan for Oct 21

Just like the prior times when buyers intervened to force a short-squeeze, we’re seeing the same breakout into shot-squeeze outcome this time above 1,900. Here’s our S&P 500 update and trending stock scan for the day: After the recent V-Spike Intervention at the lows, we’ve seen the market creep like a serpent ever higher into the first [...]

Bouncing Range Market Update and Scan for Oct 20

With a narrow bounce continuing to drive the market into a known resistance cluster, let’s view the key levels, highlight the trending stock candidates, and update our S&P 500 chart as we start the week of October 20th. Here’s our S&P 500 update and trending stock scan for the day: Again we watch the 1,900 confluence which [...]

Netflix NFLX Pushing into Gap after Big Drop

Netflix shares (NFLX) suffered a large news-based drop last week that took price all the way down to a key monthly support target. Let’s take a look at a potential buy opportunity as shares push into the gap or “open air” created from the plunge. From last week, we saw a gap down into the $330 level [...]

Support Bounce Market Update and Stock Scan for Oct 14

The question today remains “Will we see an actual bounce or will we see yet another repeat of the end-of-day collapse outcome?” We’ll start with our chart of the S&P 500 for key clues: The pattern has shown us intraday bounces or rallies up off the falling trendline, only to be met with selling pressure into the [...]

Market Struggles Desperately to Rally off Weekly Target

After failing at two key support levels very recently, the S&P 500 and broader US Equity Markets have one more major support test and potential bounce as another downside target is fully achieved. Let’s see the support target and note the positive divergences developing into this level: We’ll quickly note that the 1,925 price confluence (rectangle) then [...]

New Lows into Support Market Update and Stock Scan Oct 13

At the halfway point today, we’re balancing the odds of another bullish reversal off support against the possibility of a continuation of the persistent selling pressure we’ve seen lately. We’ll start with our chart of the S&P 500 for...Show More Summary

Planning Another October Intraday Reversal from Positive Divergences

Let’s take a moment to view a “Big Three” Market Internal Chart of the S&P 500 to note yet another positive divergence and possible “intraday reversal” outcome. Here’s the current picture and price pathway: First, take a look at my intraday update post (just like this one) from October 8th which showed a near-identical pattern. Mid-day October 8th, [...]

Bounce or Breakdown Market Update for Oct 10

Price continues to trade within an intraday downtrend as the sell-phase continues. There’s a clear pathway developing, but no guarantee price will follow it. Let’s chart the pathway and highlight the top trending stocks of the session: Today we saw a (near) test of the 200 day SMA as I highlighted in this morning’s update. Beyond that, we’re still [...]

Support Bounce or Breakdown Planning for the SP500 and Dow

Both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Indexes are challenging major support levels that demand our attention. Let’s quickly assess the situation, highlight the inflection points, and adapt our strategies accordingly. The chart above shows the S&P 500 retracing strongly – similar to January 2014 – toward the rising 200 day SMA target (1,900/1,905 confluence). We’ll focus all [...]

Big Bear October 9 Market Update and Trending Stock Scan

One thing’s for sure – the market always keeps us on our toes! The intervention rally yesterday was short-lived as bears once again took a swipe at the market to create today’s intraday reversal (bearish) session. Let’s see what happened, where we’re going, and which stocks may be the best candidates: The same divergences that correctly forecast yesterday’s [...]

Learn How to Trade Three Important Price Patterns – Thursday Webinar

I’m excited to be teaching a new webinar with TraderKingdom and ICE this Thursday, October 9th (3:30 CST) and I wanted to extend a special invitation for you to join us! Entitled “Insiders Tips to Trading Three Classic Price Patterns,” you will learn how to recognize a specific price pattern, enter a trade and set targets, [...]

Key Divergences Suggesting Intraday SP500 Reversal

A quick look at our “Big Three Market Internal” Chart of the S&P 500 on the intraday basis suggests another reversal up off support. We’re seeing that at the moment, but the question is “how far will the reversal take price?” Let’s study the situation and plan accordingly: We’re seeing the S&P 500 Chart above with Breadth (Advancing [...]

October 7 Stock Scanning and Market Update

Price continues its range between key boundary levels, making for relatively low volatility session into support. Let’s start with our S&P 500 Chart then highlight the top trending stocks of the day: Sellers ruled the immediate open this morning but buyers rushed to support the market and prevent a further sell-off by holding price up at the [...]

Stalking an October Reversal Play in Bitcoin

Might Bitcoin be setting up a spike-reversal from an arc trendline pattern into support? There’s no guarantee but let’s study the pattern and note the key levels to watch for a possible breakout here. The chart above shows the Bitcoin/US Dollar pair and notes the stratospheric, emotional rise from the 100 level to the late 2013 peak [...]

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