|Posts on Regator:||1978|
|Posts / Week:||6.3|
|Archived Since:||April 18, 2011|
BACKERS of Marine Le Pen were shy, supporters of Emmanuel Macron voters were soft, and timid pollsters were herding. And who trusts polls anymore anyway, following the surprise victories for Brexit and Donald Trump?
BACKERS of Marine Le Pen were shy, supporters for Emmanuel Macron voters were soft, and timid pollsters were herding. And who trusts polls anymore anyway, following the surprise victories of Brexit and Donald Trump?
”EURASIA GROUP and The Economist are frequently sympatico,” says Ian Bremmer, “but not on the French elections.” Mr Bremmer is the president of Eurasia Group, a risk consultancy. He recently took us to task on Twitter regarding our statistical forecast for France’s upcoming election.
PIG is big in China. As the country’s economy has grown, so too has its consumption of pork. The average Chinese person today pigs out on 40kg (88lbs) of pork a year, up from 12kg in 1980. Although China constitutes just one-fifth of the world’s population, it consumes 50% of the pork.
EVERY three years the OECD, a club of mostly rich countries, tests hundreds of thousands of high-school pupils across the world on maths, reading and science.
THE first rule of polling analysis is to take outlier results with a liberal helping of salt.
ON APRIL 18th Donald Trump is expected to sign an executive order that will tighten the screws on legal immigration. During his presidential campaign, he vowed to end the H-1B visa programme, which grants 85,000 skilled foreigners a year the right to live and work in the United States, and opens up a path to citizenship.
THE debate over fats is larded with controversy. For years doctors argued that they should be expunged from diets entirely. Saturated fats, they reckoned, were especially harmful. As a result, consumers increasingly turned to margarine and demand for butter melted away. The vegetable-based spread remained dominant for decades.
NEARLY 2,000 years ago today, according to the Bible, Jesus of Nazareth was crucified for “subverting” the people of Judea. Even after two millennia, humanity has still not managed to eliminate religious persecution. In fact, one index published on April 11th suggests that freedom of worship is actually declining.
WHEN gunshots make the headlines, it is never a joking matter. But when an employee of the National Rifle Association (NRA) shot and wounded himself during a firearms training session on April 8th, few could resist pointing out the irony.
TRACKING the use of the death penalty is not easy. In some countries, information about its use is a state secret. Elsewhere, as in Iran, the government’s official figures are considerably lower than those reported by the media.
GETTING “bumped” from a flight took on a whole new meaning on April 9th, when United Airlines summoned aviation-security officers to drag a passenger off a plane kicking and screaming—literally.
THE French presidential campaign is in full swing, with the first round scheduled for April 23rd and a likely run-off between the top two finishers on May 7th. The election has received an unusual amount of international attention because Marine Le Pen, the National Front candidate, has consistently led the polls.
FRANCE will hold the first round of its presidential election on April 23rd, with the top two finishers advancing to a run-off on May 7th assuming that no candidate captures an outright majority. On every day until the campaign concludes, we will publish an updated analysis of each candidate’s probability of victory.
THE scientific evidence that smoking kills was first made public in the 1960s. Yet people continue to light up—even if fewer do so than before.
HANAMI, the Japanese custom of contemplating the impermanence of life by gazing at the fleeting beauty of blossoming flowers, goes back a long way. “The Tale of Genji”, a tenth-century masterpiece that is perhaps the world’s first novel, devotes a chapter to the cherry-blossom festival staged in the emperor’s great hall.
MOST EU member states believe that Britain’s withdrawal from the bloc must be costly, and that any future trade arrangement must offer the departing country worse terms than full membership did.
GUN violence gets most of the attention, but shootings are not the most common non-natural cause of death in the United States. Cars are. Around 40,000 people a year die on American roads, more than all fatalities caused by firearms (of which two-thirds are suicides, not homicides).
SEPARATING fact from fiction used to be a relatively straightforward task. Then came “fake news”. In recent years the advent of social media has made it far easier to spread lies about current events online, benefiting both shadowy political actors advancing agendas and unscrupulous entrepreneurs hoping to reap advertising revenues.
COCAINE is grown primarily in South America, and trafficked to the world’s biggest market, the United States, via Central America and the Caribbean. The land routes originate mainly in Colombia, and pass through the small nations of El Salvador, Honduras and Guatemala before traversing Mexico.