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Trump’s Tax Cuts Are “Hiding” This Critical Stock Prediction

Federal tax collections data gives us a leg up on the market, because it tells us what to expect when the lagging economic data indicators are released later. That puts us ahead of the crowd, which is waiting for biased Wall Street pundits to interpret already stale, manipulated data, when it's finally released. Show More Summary

Daily Swing Trades List for Friday, February 22

I have added no longs and no shorts to the list for Friday. After closed trades there will be 7 longs and 10 shorts on the list. I have tightened stops on the longs as key support levels and inflection points become apparent. I beenShow More Summary

Treasury Seven-Year Sale Caps $258 Billion Week of Higher Yields (Git-R-Done!)

Both Larry the Cable Guy and Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin would be proud of this week’s Treasury auctions. The post Treasury Seven-Year Sale Caps $258 Billion Week of Higher Yields (Git-R-Done!) was originally published at The Wall Street Examiner. Follow the money!

Big TBAC LOL is No Joke – Treasury Supply Will Be A Long Running Disaster

The TBAC has told us to pay no attention to its quarterly supply schedule forecasts. No wonder. They just underestimated February supply by over $100 billion. And the numbers for the rest of the first quarter and the second quarter are so scary, they don’t want us to look. Show More Summary

Duy's Fed Watch: "Fedspeak Reiterates Gradual Path"

From Professor Tim Duy at Fed Watch: Fedspeak Reiterates Gradual Path Fed speakers continue to reiterate that policy remains on a gradual path of tightening. So far, the inflation data and brightening economy has more emboldened their commitment to gradual rate hikes than a faster pace of hikes. Show More Summary

Fedspeak and the January FOMC Minutes

Tim Duy: Fedspeak Reiterates Gradual Path: Fed speakers continue to reiterate that policy remains on a gradual path of tightening. So far, the inflation data and brightening economy has more emboldened their commitment to gradual rate hikes than a faster...

Hunger Games (Maduro-Style)! Venezuela Devalues Bolivar More Than 80% in Currency Auction (UPDATE) As Oil Workers Starve and Production Falls

Venezuela must be taking the books/movies “The Hunger Games” literally. The post Hunger Games (Maduro-Style)! Venezuela Devalues Bolivar More Than 80% in Currency Auction (UPDATE) As Oil Workers Starve and Production Falls was originally published at The Wall Street Examiner. Follow the money!

Will US Treasury 10Y Yield Stop At 3%?

To paraphrase Chubby Checker, “How High Will It Go?& The post Will US Treasury 10Y Yield Stop At 3%? was originally published at The Wall Street Examiner. Follow the money!

US: $0.100B TIPSPurchase 2018-02-22 NYFed permanent open market operations

Monetary policy can be implemented through outright purchases or sales of securities, which permanently changes the size of the Federal Reserve's System Open Market Account (SOMA) portfolio. The post US: $0.100B TIPSPurchase 2018-02-22 NYFed permanent open market operations was originally published at The Wall Street Examiner. Follow the money!

Why the Common Good Disappeared (And How We Get it Back)In 1963...

Why the Common Good Disappeared (And How We Get it Back) In 1963 over 70 percent of Americans trusted government to do the right thing all or most of he time; nowadays only 16 percent do.  There has been a similar decline in rust for corporations. Show More Summary

How Universal Catastrophic Care Could Ease Class Tensions

I have written frequently about universal catastrophic coverage (UCC) as a possible healthcare reform compromise. Under such a program, the government would provide health insurance with a deductible scaled to household income. [1] [2][3] The UCC policy would protect people against financial ruin caused by healthcare costs. Show More Summary

Aguanomics: Optimal regulation

David Zetland: Back in Nov 2016 (!), I was giving a lecture on institutions and regulation, and I wanted students to understand how (sometimes) markets or other negotiations are more efficient in resolving disputes over damages (from pollution or offense) between the offending and offended parties. I made the following...

2:00PM Water Cooler 2/22/2018

By Lambert Strether of Corrente. More tranches to come! –Lambert Politics 2020 “A company run by Keith Schiller, who was one of President Trump’s closest associates when he abruptly left his job as director of Oval Office operations in September, has received $75,000 from the Republican National Committee under a contract to assess security at […]

Hotels: Solid Start for Occupancy Rate in 2018

From HotelNewsNow.com: STR: US hotel results for week ending 17 FebruaryThe U.S. hotel industry reported positive year-over-year results in the three key performance metrics during the week of 11-17 February 2018, according to data from...Show More Summary

The Double Whammy of Uselessness

(February 22, 2018 01:32 PM, by Bryan Caplan) While promoting my new book, I've repeatedly argued that foreign language requirements in U.S. schools are absurd and should be abolished. For two distinct reasons.Reason #1: Americans almost never use their knowledge of foreign languages (unless they speak it in... (0 COMMENTS)

Show us your target

John Taylor has been pressing the Fed to move toward a more rules-based approach.  I think Taylor is right on the big issue, although I don’t share his preference for using interest rates as a policy instrument. I’ve always believed that the first step toward a rules-based approach is to clearly spell out the goal […]

You get what you pay for

(February 22, 2018 12:57 PM, by Scott Sumner) This tweet caught my attention: Jeff Bezos possesses $121.3 billion dollars. There are about 550,000 homeless people in America. If Jeff Bezos gave every homeless person in America $100,000, he would still have $66.3 Billion Dollars! Let that sink in...... (0 COMMENTS)

Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "Continued Solid Growth" in February

From the Kansas City Fed: Tenth District Manufacturing Posted Continued Solid GrowthThe Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City released the February Manufacturing Survey today. According to Chad Wilkerson, vice president and economist at...Show More Summary

Stable exploitation

Was Kaldor right after all, at least for the UK? This is one question posed by today’s GDP data. Kaldor proposed as a “stylized fact” that the shares of wages and profits in GDP are roughly stable over time. Today’s...

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