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Paul Krugman: The Time-Loop Part

"It feels as if you’ve entered a different intellectual and moral universe": The Time-Loop Part, by Paul Krugman, Commentary, NY Times: By now everyone who follows politics knows about Marco Rubio’s software-glitch performance in Saturday’s Republican debate.... Mr. Rubio’s...

?Where's the love for GM and Ford shares?

Analysts are high on these auto giants as they rack up booming sales and profits, yet investors don't seem to notice

Positive Money in Action

Positive Money boosters have failed to consider (or perhaps have failed to publicize) is that it would necessitate draconian controls to prevent the creation of private credit.

My Talk at the University of Toronto

(February 8, 2016 12:35 AM, by David Henderson) On Monday, February 8, I will be giving a talk at the University of Toronto. Topic: An Economist's Case for a Non-Interventionist Foreign Policy Time: 3:00 p.m. to 5:00 p.m. Location: Croft Chapter House The public is welcome, but you... (0 COMMENTS)

Digitally disrupted GDP

Digital technologies are having dramatic impacts on consumers, businesses, and markets. These developments have reignited the debate over the definition and measurement of common economic statistics such as GDP. This column examines the measurement challenges posed by digital innovation on the economic landscape. Show More Summary

Expecting the unexpected: Why the oil price keeps surprising us

Expectations play a key role in assessing how oil price fluctuations affect the economy. This column explores how consumers, policymakers, financial market participants, and economists form expectations about the price of crude oil,Show More Summary

Falling Treasury Supply Trend That Boosted US Markets Ends Now

The trend of shrinking Treasury supply that has boosted both the bond and stock markets for months is about to come to an end. A tidal wave of new supply is on the way, while at the same time, foreign central banks are in no position to absorb new Treasury paper. Show More Summary

Capital Requirements: Another Odd Attempt to Declare Victory on Dodd-Frank

I suppose we're going to have to deal with half-truths and logical stretches about Dodd-Frank right through until November, but Bernie Sanders' focus on Wall Street has really ramped this up of late. The trajectory appears to be a show...Show More Summary

You Gotta Have Some Heart: Baltic Dry Index

As the global growth prospects are apparently and allegedly improving, and the world is busy printing money left, right, and centre with currency devaluations rounds stimulating the fabled 'competitiveness', the world trade indicators are no longer flashing red. Show More Summary

The Golden Age

There are multiple reasons to consider gold: The post The Golden Age was originally published at The Wall Street Examiner. Follow the money!

A Super Bowl Lesson About Bubble-ized Growth

By one key measure, the nation, according to GDP figures that take the story through the end of 2015, is now considerably more bubble-ized than at the start of the last recession The post A Super Bowl Lesson About Bubble-ized Growth was originally published at The Wall Street Examiner. Follow the money!

Wolf Richter: What the Heck is Going on in the Stock Market?

Even Moody’s which is always late to the party with its warnings – but when it does warn, it’s a good idea to pay attention – finally warned: “Don’t fall into the trap of believing all is well outside of oil & gas.”

Why We Must Try

Instead of “Yes we can,” many Democrats have adopted a new slogan this election year: “We shouldn’t...

Breaking Up the Big Banks is Easy

Steve Eisman, the hedge fund manager of Big Short fame, argued against breaking up the big banks in a NYT column today. His basic argument is that we now have things under control because the regulators have effectively limited the banks’ ability to leverage themselves. Show More Summary

Can universities persuade professors to act like employees? Should they even try?

As university employees, professors have a fiduciary obligation to act in their employer's best interests. The number one interest of a university is financial survival, and the key to survival is reputation, because reputation attracts students, faculty, and donors. A...

I Win My Long-Term Unemployment Bet with Tyler

(February 8, 2016 12:04 AM, by Bryan Caplan) Barely two years ago, Tyler Cowen and I agreed to the following bet:...U.S. unemployment will never fall below 5% during the next twenty years. If the rate falls below 5% before September 1, 2033, he immediately owes me $10. Otherwise,... (0 COMMENTS)

Altruism, No Regard for Some Others, or Belief in the Tooth Fairy

(February 7, 2016 05:55 PM, by David Henderson) I gave a talk yesterday at a Fraser Institute event in Toronto. The luncheon speaker, neuro-economist Paul Zak, did a great job talking about oxytocin and its role in our systems. He started out beautifully, contrasting Thomas Hobbes's view of... (2 COMMENTS)

Sunday Night Futures

Weekend:• Schedule for Week of February 7, 2016• Update: "Scariest jobs chart ever"Monday:• At 10:00 AM ET, the Fed will release the monthly Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI).From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures: currently...Show More Summary

Cycle Screening Measures Lag Market Averages, But Reflect Extreme Bearish Potential

Cycle screening measures weakened on Friday. That weakness was not as pronounced as the weakness in the market averages, but it was sufficient to turn the short term pattern bearish, with the potential for extreme bearish signals. Daily Market Update Pro subscribers (Professional Edition), click here to download complete report in pdf format. Show More Summary

China Foreign-Exchange Reserves Drop as PBOC Supports Yuan (China’s Volatility Scowl)

China’s Central Bank (The People’s Bank of China) has intervened in the market once again and the result is a volatility scowl. (Bloomberg) — China’s foreign-exchange reserves shrank to the smallest since 2012, indicating that the central...Show More Summary

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