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Where’s The Unwind? Fed Actually Adds $15 Billion To Balance Sheet (As “Inflation” Remains Low And Home Prices Soar)

The Federal Reserve has been jawboning their intent to unwind their almost $4.5 trillion balance sheet, nearly all of which is either Treasurys or mortgage-backed securities. The post Where’s The Unwind? Fed Actually Adds $15 Billion To Balance Sheet (As “Inflation” Remains Low And Home Prices Soar) was originally published at The Wall Street Examiner. Follow the money!

Atlanta Fed’s Q3 Real GDP Forecast Dwindles To 2.2% From 3.0% (NY Fed Nowcast Q3 Forecast Plunges To 1.34%)

According to the Atlanta Fed, the GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2017 is 2.2 percent on September 15, down from 3.0 percent on September 8. The post Atlanta Fed’s Q3...Show More Summary

Bitcoin Taxes Will Create Nightmares for Investors – What to Do

The sting of Bitcoin taxes await many a cryptocurrency investor next spring. The post Bitcoin Taxes Will Create Nightmares for Investors – What to Do was originally published at The Wall Street Examiner. Follow the money!

Industrial Production Falls -0.9% MoM In August (Worst Since May 2009), But +1.54% YoY [Hurricane Harvey?]

US Industrial Production fell -0.9% MoM in August, the worst decline since May 2009 during The Great Recession. The Federal Reserve blamed the decline on Hurricane Harvey. The post Industrial Production Falls -0.9% MoM In August (Worst Since May 2009), But +1.54% YoY [Hurricane Harvey?] was originally published at The Wall Street Examiner. Follow the money!

Falling Demand For Treasuries Spells Disaster

While Treasury supply is in the process of turning up after years of decline, Treasury demand continues to decline. Here’s what this means for your money. Treasury Pro Trader subscribers (or Professional Edition), click here to download the report. Show More Summary

How should we encourage exports? (And should we?)

(September 15, 2017 03:31 PM, by Scott Sumner) Lots of non-economists think that economics is just common sense. Not so. It's not common sense that imports help an economy, or that price gouging is good and rent controls are bad. And the field of taxation also produces lots... (0 COMMENTS)

For the Weekend: Stephen Vincent Benet: The Devil and Daniel Webster IV

For the Weekend: Stephen Vincent Benet: The Devil and Daniel Webster IV : "Well, Jabez told his family it was a lawyer, come to see him about a legacy... >...But he knew who it was. He didn't like the looks of the stranger, nor the way he smiled with his teeth. Show More Summary

Lawler: ACS-Based Household Growth Slowed Last Year: Homeownership Rate Estimate Up, But Barely

From housing economist Tom Lawler: ACS-Based Household Growth Slowed Last Year: Homeownership Rate Estimate Up, But BarelyThe Census Bureau released the results of its 2016 American Community Survey, which provides a wide range of estimated statistics about people and housing. Show More Summary

Arshama the Boss from Hell; or, "Questioned Forcefully, and a Severe Sentence Will Be Produced for You..."

And now, moving from the twenty-first century back 2500 years to a much earlier age of information technology: John Ma —much peace and strength attend him!—reminds me of his "accessible edition of some letters of a member of the Achaimenid...Show More Summary

Paul Krugman: Politicians, Promises, and Getting Real

Paul Krugman: Politicians, Promises, and Getting Real, by Paul Krugman, NY Times: On Wednesday Donald Trump demanded that Congress move quickly to enact his tax reform plan. But so far he has not, in fact, offered any such plan... Meanwhile,...

Fed May Have Too Much Faith in Inflation Forecasts

Tim Duy: Fed May Have Too Much Faith in Inflation Forecasts, by Tim Duy: Despite a low unemployment rate, inflation slowed this year, confounding central bankers who set in motion a tightening cycle on the expectation of firming prices. This...

Migration, Wages, and Corner Solutions

I'm trying to get my head straight on something. Macro farmboy lost in Urban Economics again. Read at your own risk. If immigration always increases real wages (or well-being), do we end up in a "corner solution", where everyone bunches...

The psychological biases that leave us unprepared for disaster

This column was written and first published a week before Hurricane Harvey struck the US coast. – TH Who saw the global financial crisis coming, who didn’t and who deserved blame for the forecasting failure? After a decade of debating these questions, I wonder whether we shouldn’t be asking a different one: even if we […]

Do "They" Really Say: "Technological Progress Is Slowing Down"?

Consider the 256 GB memory iPhone X: Implemented in vacuum tubes in 1957, the transistors in an iPhoneX alone would have: cost 150 trillion of today's dollars: one and a half times today's global annual product taken up a hundred-story...Show More Summary

Q3 GDP Forecasts: Moving Down

From Merrill Lynch:The data [today] sliced 0.8pp from 3Q GDP tracking, down to 1.7%. emphasis added From the Altanta Fed: GDPNowThe GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2017 is 2.2 percent on September 15, down from 3.0 percent on September 8. Show More Summary

Buried Inside Bernie Sanders’s Bill: A Fallback Plan

The bill envisions a wholesale transformation of the U.S. health system, but it also considers more modest reforms to smooth the transition.

David Brooks Gets Story on Wage Growth and Productivity Completely Wrong

Yeah, what else is new. After all no thinks that a conservative columnist writing for the country's most important newspaper should have any clue about the topics they cover. Brooks uses his column today to tell us that workers are getting...Show More Summary

BLS: Unemployment Rates Unchanged in 41 states in August, Tennessee at New Series Low

From the BLS: Regional and State Employment and Unemployment SummaryUnemployment rates were higher in August in 8 states, lower in 1 state, and stable in 41 states and the District of Columbia, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Show More Summary

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