In the past we have repeatedly observed that in order to get an instantaneous appreciation of which direction all too critical Greek bank deposits held by the public are headed (hint: out), instead of waiting for delayed NBG data, one needs to only look at the EURCHF. As the chart below shows, the correlation between the two is essentially one. Which means that should this pair continue dropping to parity, in addition to making life for Swiss exporters a living hell and for Hungarian mortgage holders unbearable, that Greek banks will literally become hollow shells whose only lifeblood - depositor cash - is no longer there.
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While it is no surprise that Greek bank deposits are rapidly fleeing both the country's banking system, and the country, following September's record outflow of €5.5 billion, the situation just got far worse, after October data reve... Read Post
It's official: all those rumors of unprecedented deposit withdrawals in May as Greece was heading into one then another parliamentary election were true. According to just released NBG data, May deposit outflows were €8.5 billion, o... Read Post
Who could have possibly imagined that in the month of June, Greek banks would see yet another major deposit outflow. Alas, according to just released NBG data, June deposit outflows by households and corporates amounted to €3.8 bill... Read Post