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Boris Johnson to be re-elected, but Brian Coleman, Richard Barnes and Kit Malthouse at risk: new poll

We have a poll in tomorrow’s paper from Survation, a member of the British Polling Council. Like today’s ComRes, it shows Boris Johnson in an eight-point lead, 54-46, to retain the mayoralty. That’s the good news for Boris. The bad news is (a) the fieldwork was done before the economy went into double-dip recession and [...]
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Boris Johnson: how he could lose

Politics / UK Politics : Politics Blog (3 years ago)

There’s more good news for Boris today in the latest mayoral opinion poll – the first public one in almost six months – which shows him maintaining his big lead over Ken Livingstone. He is ahead by eight points – 48 per cent to 40 –... Read Post

Here’s a funny thing. Polls that carry out fieldwork online are 3-9 points more favourable to the “big 2? than phone surveys

Politics / UK Politics : (13 hours ago)

The big methodology difference is in sampling. The phone firms used randomised dialling and theoretically anybody with a landline, and now mobile, can be included. Online polls are generally carried out amongst members of a polling ... Read Post

Boris' poll lead evaporates

Politics / UK Politics : The Coffee House (3 years ago)

It looks like the May's election for Mayor of London will be a close run thing. A new poll today from YouGov has Ken Livingstone two points ahead of Boris Johnson – a big turnaround from the eight point lead Boris had in June: Ken s... Read Post

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