Post Profile






Don’t forget about those black swans

Matt Yglesias is back from his honeymoon, and better than ever.  But I’m not completely sold on this argument: Here’s a fun Intrade price anomaly that showed up this morning. The markets indicate that there’s more than a 3 percent chance that neither Barack Obama nor Mitt Romney will win the presidential election. That’s [...]
read more

share

Related Posts


This Lady Killed A Black Swan This Week

Business & Finance : Business Insider: Money Game

Forget Ben Bernanke and Mario Draghi, writes Jefferies economist David Zervos in a note this morning. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Janet Yellen just killed the most important black swan right now, proving the Fed will intercede if the...

Seriously People, It's Time To Stop Talking About Black Swans

Business & Finance : Business Insider: Money Game

It has become highly fashionable to talk about “black swans” since the crisis began in 2008 and now even Scott Sumner has talked about it in his recent post “Don’t forget about those black swans.” Scott's headline reminded me how mu...

Morning Must Reads: Mr. Black Swan's Black Swan, A Stock Market Fix?

Business & Finance : The Curious Capitalist

---WSJ has perhaps the definitive story on what caused the market crash last Thursday. So who is to blame? Nassim Taleb, Mr. Black Swan himself. Felix Salmon, Reuters' uber blogger, thinks pinning the drop on Taleb is poppycock.   I...

The Black Swan Of Super Bowls: "Ticket Prices Are Being Manipulated To The Extreme"

Business & Finance : Zero Hedge

Super Bowl ticket prices continue to soar. With the game now just a day away, prices have exceeded the $10,500 average and get-in price is just over $9,000 but, as TiqIQ's CEO reports, the ticket market’s "Black Swan" moment will le...

Matt Yglesias is wrong: It’s way better to be hot than cold

Business & Finance : Ezra Klein

Over at Slate, Matt Yglesias argues that "as unpleasant as extreme cold can be, it is much much much less bothersome than extreme heat." His argument? That you can manage the cold by putting on more clothes. But you quickly run out ...

Comments



Copyright © 2015 Regator, LLC