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The 2016 Race: Prediction Markets Score the Debate a Rout: Clinton Over Trump

Hillary Clinton’s odds of winning the election rose from around 63 percent in the minutes before the debate started to 69 percent by the end.
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Hillary Clinton gets a bump on the prediction market

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HILLARY CLINTON was the clear winner at the first Democratic debate on October 13th, tackling Bernie Sanders—her main rival for the party’s presidential nomination—head on. After the debate her chances of winning the race rose sharp...

Nate Silver Predicts Hillary Clinton to Easily Win White House

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Famed statistician Nate Silver predicts Hillary Clinton will win the presidential election, in a forecast that estimates her to have a 79 percent chance of taking the White House—dwarfing Donald Trump’s predicted 20 percent chance o...

"This morning... FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver predicted that Hillary Clinton will win the general election against Donald Trump."

US Politics / Conservative : Althouse

"Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the election, compared to Trump's 20 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight’s forecast."And here's Nate Silver's piece from May 18th, "How I Acted Like A Pundit And Screwed Up On Donald Tru...

Clinton Maintains National Lead

Politics / US Politics : Taegan Goddard's Political Wire

A new CBS News poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump nationally in the presidential race, 43% to 37%. Interesting: “Fifty-one percent expect Hillary Clinton to finally win the 2016 presidential election, compared to just 3...

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The Western primaries got off to a predictable start, with several outlets projecting that Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton will win in Arizona. With 46 percent of precincts reporting in the Republican race, Trump has 47 percent, fo...

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