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Eurozone money signal still positive

The consensus forecast is for Eurozone GDP growth to slow from 1.5% in 2016 to 1.2% in 2017. Monetary trends suggest that this is too downbeat and GDP will continue to rise at a 1.5-1.75% annual rate – it increased by 1.6% in the year to the second quarter. Such growth would be comfortably above trend economic expansion estimated by international forecasting bodies at about 1% per annum, implying a continued decline in unemployment and – probably – firmer “core” inflation.
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