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“So Just Who Are These Undecided Voters?”

Lynn Vavreck for NYT’s The UpShot: These descriptive differences are negligible compared with differences relating to politics and policy. The YouGov data reveal that undecided voters are much less likely to have positions on issues driving the campaign. On the … Continue reading ?
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Meet The Split-Ticket Voters

Politics : The Daily Dish By Andrew Sullivan

Lynn Vavreck reveals who they are: While you’re more likely to be a ticket-splitter if you are a moderate or independent, the single best predictor of cross-party voting is still how much you know about politics: the less you know, ...

“Yes, Political Ads Are Still Important, Even for Donald Trump”

Academics / Political Science : Election Law

Lynn Vavreck for NYT’s The Upshot: The evidence suggests that campaign ads have small effects that decay rapidly — very rapidly — but just enough of the impact accumulates to make running more advertising than your opponent seem a n...

“Why Fund-Raising Is Important, Even if You Are Trump”

Academics / Political Science : Election Law

Smart Lynn Vavreck NYT Upshot column: Mr. Trump may continue to eschew money from lobbyists and special interests and condemn those candidates who take it, but a closer look at the F.E.C. fund-raising numbers reveals an interesting ...

“Donald Trump Is Also an Outlier in Political Science”

Academics / Political Science : Election Law

Lynn Vavreck at NYT’s The Upshot: Donald Trump has confounded politicians, pundits and political scientists as he runs a most unconventional — and so far successful — campaign to win the Republican presidential nomination. Here’s th...

Trump Voters, the South, and Slavery

Academics / Political Science : Election Law

Lynn Vavreck for NYT’s The UpShot: According to P.P.P., 70 percent of Mr. Trump’s voters in South Carolina wish the Confederate battle flag were still flying on their statehouse grounds. (It was removed last summer less than a month...

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