Post Profile

NATE SILVER: With Gary Johnson polling at 24% in New Mexico, a crazy election outcome is 'plausible'

Renowned statistician Nate Silver said on Sunday that a new poll showing Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson with 24% of support in his home state of New Mexico made the chances of an Electoral College deadlock “plausible.” Silver wrote on his FiveThirtyEight website that Johnson had a 2% or 3% chance of winning the Land of Enchantment state. If that were to happen, and Trump and Clinton were to split on key swing states, neither of the candidates could reach the necessary 270 votes needed to secure the presidency.
read more


Related Posts

Too Tough to Forecast?

Politics / US Politics : Taegan Goddard's Political Wire

Nate Silver: "If the current polls hold, predicting the election outcome will boil down to making a series of educated guesses about the relationship between state and national polls, and between the Electoral College and the popula...

Pollsters are beginning to notice that Gary Johnson's numbers are not fading . . .

US Politics / Libertarian : Delaware Libertarian

... the way that most third-party candidate support evaporates as we get closer to election day: During the past week, new polling results for Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson have come from Colorado, Montana, New Mexico, Ohio, and ...

Gary Johnson running strong in bid for crucial New Mexico electoral votes

Politics / US Politics : Washington Watch

Gary Johnson could make a big difference in his home state of New Mexico, a state with five electoral votes, according to a new Albuquerque Journal poll. Johnson, the Libertarian … Click to Continue »

NATE SILVER: Clinton would have a staggering 93% chance of winning the election if it were held today

Politics : Business Insider: Politix

Renowned statistician Nate Silver gave Hillary Clinton a nearly 93% chance of winning the general election if it were held Friday, less than two weeks after the same projection showed Donald Trump with a roughly 55% chance of taking...

NATE SILVER: Donald Trump's odds of winning are at their highest point in weeks

Politics : Business Insider: Politix

Renowned statistician Nate Silver's Wednesday election forecast gave Donald Trump his best odds of winning since late July. In his "Polls-plus" model, the Republican nominee has a 34.7% chance of winning in November. Democratic nomi...


Copyright © 2016 Regator, LLC