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Global economic pick-up on track

Incoming monetary and economic news is consistent with the central view here that US / global growth is gaining momentum and will prove stronger than policy-makers and the consensus expect over the next six to 12 months. This view implies that: 1) the Fed was wrong to defer raising rates in September (just as it was wrong to hike in December 2015 when monetary trends were signalling economic weakness); and 2) pressure for additional monetary policy relaxation in other major countries will ease, possibly benefiting investments that have suffered from moves towards low / negative rates (e.
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