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Israel, Britain, Spain, Colombia . . . Trump?

Is it just my imagination, or are we starting to see a pattern here?  A set of election surprises ranging from mild to shocking, with the right always coming out ahead. Polls making modest or even large errors—in some cases even exit polls. Thus the exit polls suggested that Netanyahu would lose last year’s election […]
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Ahead of Britain's election, Labour has one point lead: YouGov poll

News : Reuters: World News

LONDON (Reuters) - Ahead of Britain's May 7 election, the opposition Labour Party has a one percentage point lead over Prime Minister David Cameron's Conservatives, according to a YouGov poll for The Sun newspaper.

Ahead of British election, YouGov poll puts Conservatives ahead of Labour

News : Reuters: World News

LONDON (Reuters) - Ahead of Britain's May 7 election, Prime Minister David Cameron's Conservatives took a one percentage point lead over the opposition Labour Party, according to a YouGov poll for The Sun newspaper.

GOP-Controlled Election Board in Ohio Mails Out Wrong Date

US Politics / Liberal : Crooks and Liars

enlarge It's really not hard to imagine human error in a case like this. It's just that there's a pattern. It's almost always Republican election officials making these critical mistakes, and they always seem to happen in strategica...

When You Hear the Margin of Error Is Plus or Minus 3 Percent, Think 7 Instead

Business & Finance / Economics : NYTimes: The Upshot

There are many ways, besides the well-known sampling error, to get things wrong in polling.

Voting Has Started, and Electionland Is on the Case

News : Truthdig

By Derek Willis / ProPublica Much of the country will vote before Election Day. Starting this week, ProPublica’s Electionland project has begun looking for problems that prevent people from voting.

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