Is it just my imagination, or are we starting to see a pattern here? A set of election surprises ranging from mild to shocking, with the right always coming out ahead. Polls making modest or even large errors—in some cases even exit polls. Thus the exit polls suggested that Netanyahu would lose last year’s election […]
LONDON (Reuters) - Ahead of Britain's May 7 election, the opposition Labour Party has a one percentage point lead over Prime Minister David Cameron's Conservatives, according to a YouGov poll for The Sun newspaper.
LONDON (Reuters) - Ahead of Britain's May 7 election, Prime Minister David Cameron's Conservatives took a one percentage point lead over the opposition Labour Party, according to a YouGov poll for The Sun newspaper.
enlarge It's really not hard to imagine human error in a case like this. It's just that there's a pattern. It's almost always Republican election officials making these critical mistakes, and they always seem to happen in strategica...
There are many ways, besides the well-known sampling error, to get things wrong in polling.