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Daily Kos Elections 2016 forecast: Hillary Clinton's victory odds now back up to 83 percent

What a difference a week makes! When we looked at the model on Monday, September 26, (the day of the first presidential debate), Hillary Clinton’s odds of winning were 64 percent. There had been some subtle improvements in the previous week in Clinton’s national polling numbers (as Pneumonia-ghazi started to fade from view) but that hadn’t really trickled down into the state-level polls, which is what our model is based on.
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