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What to expect when you're expecting Trumpageddon

The state of the race is currently at a Category IV Trumpocalypse, as polls and forecast models struggle to catch up to current events. The effects of Donald Trump’s bragging about sexual assault have yet to fully percolate through the electorate, and it will take some time for them to do so. See, for instance, how it took weeks for Todd Akin’s “legitimate rape” comments to move the polls in the 2012 Missouri Senate race—and even then, the final polls badly understated just how big Akin’s defeat would be.
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