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How to read (and not over-read) the early voting tea leaves

Some Republicans may still harbor fantasies about replacing their presidential nominee, but ballots have been printed, absentee and early voting has started in many states, and hundreds of thousands of people have already voted. Early voting tea leaves will be a major part of the media coverage over the next month. But it will be important to resist making big predictions and reaching hasty conclusions from the available information.
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