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2016 Electoral Map Forecast

The Upshot’s forecast for the presidential race, based on the latest national and state polls.
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“When the Electoral Map Governs Presidential Campaign Strategy”

Academics / Political Science : Election Law

John Harwood for the NYT: Donald J. Trump’s progress in national polls has done something in the 2016 presidential race that is unusual. It has made the Electoral College matter. Usually it doesn’t. Because voter preferences are dis...

Reuters Projects Clinton Has 95% Chance of Winning With 326 Electoral Votes

Politics / US Politics : Little Green Footballs

In order to win the presidential election, a candidate needs 270 electoral votes. Today the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project has released their latest results, and they're now giving Hillary Clinton a 95% chance of winning...

The 2016 Race: Red States, Blue States: Does This Map Look Familiar?

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If Upshot predictions for each state prove correct, 2016’s Electoral College map will resemble 2012’s in every way — except for North Carolina.

Clinton Far Ahead in Electoral College Tally

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A new Reuters/Ipsos 50-state poll finds Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in most of the states that Trump would need should he have a chance to win the minimum 270 votes needed to win the presidential race. She has a [...]

Latest Polls: Clinton, Trump Race Tight, Democrats Seen Taking Control Of U.S. Senate

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Despite a seeming inability to pull away to a 10-percent-plus lead in national poll averages tracked by Real Clear Politics, 2016 U.S. presidential candidate front-runner former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has continued to ma...


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