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Think Uncertainty Is A Bad Thing? It's Actually A Mark Of Sound Science

Health : Medical News Today

Scientists and research institutes are challenging the idea that uncertainty in research is a reason for people to worry about the reliability of findings. Researchers in climate science, disease modelling, epidemiology, weather for...

Warmest Year on Record Is Still Bad News for Climate Models

Academics / Political Science : Cato @ Liberty

Patrick J. Michaels Yesterday, Jason Samenow of the Washington Post asked me for a brief comment on NOAA’s upcoming pronouncement of the warmest year in their record. Jason runs CapitalWeather (or “CapitalWeatherGang” or “CWG” to th...

Peter Guttorp: Uncertainty, Knowledge, Statistics and Climate Change

Lifestyle / Green Living : Huffington Post: Green Blog

Statistics permeates all of science and society. Climate science is no exception. To answer the question about how precisely we know that a given year is the warmest on record, we need some kind of specification of the uncertainty i...

The uncertainty principle for climate (and chemical) models

Academics / Chemistry : The Curious Wavefunction

A recent issue of Nature had an interesting article on what seems to be a wholly paradoxical feature of models used in climate science; as the models are becoming increasingly realistic, they are also becoming less accurate and pred...

Climate: Throwing Uncertainty for a Loop?

US Politics / Conservative : Power Line

(Steven Hayward) Climate realists are routinely charged with bad faith or worse for pointing to uncertainties in climate science, and especially the computer climate models on which predictions of future warming are based. Right now...


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