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The other story from the latest Ashcroft marginals’ polling – the sharp decline of UKIP

Like the GE10 LDs UKIP will be squeezed in the big party fights Apart from the problems facing Nick Clegg and the latest on the CON-LD battles a striking feature of the latest wave of Ashcroft seat polling was the decline of UKIP. These are all constituency fights where, with perhaps one possible exception, UKIP […]

Why doesn’t Osborne admit the link between the jobs miracle and slowing down deficit reduction?

Will George Osborne come ever clean about his successes? I caught up with the Chancellor in Leeds today and asked him about the Treasury’s role in the jobs miracle. I put… Continue reading The post Why doesn’t Osborne admit the link between the jobs miracle and slowing down deficit reduction? appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

David Herdson: The March PB Polling Average: it’s still neck-and-neck and Harry Hayfield’s by election preview

The squeeze is on the smaller players That cloud looks like a tree. Or a bird. Or a flower. It’s human nature to see patterns in chaos and further, to try to rationalise and explain those patterns. Hence earthquakes are still archaically ‘acts of God’. Hence also the interpretation of the four point Labour lead […]

Camilla Rutherford backs Ed Miliband’s 007 campaign

Yesterday Ed Miliband declared that it was high time the James Bond films moved with the times and cast a woman as the next 007. Although the comments were met… Continue reading The post Camilla Rutherford backs Ed Miliband’s 007 campaign appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

Nick Clegg’s picture caption election

Mock Nick Clegg all you like, but he is taking an impressively pragmatic approach to this General Election. The Deputy Prime Minister knows that he might not get as much… Continue reading The post Nick Clegg’s picture caption election appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

36 Days to Go! How Can We Bear It?

36 days to go ( as it says, menacingly, on the screen of BBC’s News channel broadcasts)! Can we possibly stay awake? Can we bear this lifeless battle of the blancmanges for all that tie? Today we have business men...

The last thing Yemen needs is more war. But that is what it’s getting

After years of hearing how terrible Western interventions are in the Middle East (Exhibits A, B and C the fiascos of Iraq, Afghanistan and post-Gaddafi Libya), it will be interesting… Continue reading The post The last thing Yemen needs is more war. But that is what it’s getting appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

David Cameron’s curiously sanitised Christianity

David Cameron has written a rather interesting piece for Premier Christianity magazine on his faith and the meaning of Easter. I use the word ‘interesting’ advisedly and in the sense… Continue reading The post David Cameron’s curiously sanitised Christianity appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

Tomorrow night is Nigel Farage’s big opportunity

Farage’s ratings for a third party leader are pretty poor With the seven way debate upon us shortly, I was trying to see the circumstances that led to the Cleggasm in April 2010. Using the Ipsos-Mori leader satisfaction ratings as a proxy,  we can see how Nigel Farage’s net ratings compare to Clegg in March […]

Dance has never addressed whether making money is a good or bad thing. It’s time to do so

A couple of weeks ago some dance instructors went to Westminster to coach MPs to shake their tushes for the cameras, while they promised to support a ‘dance manifesto’ for… Continue reading The post Dance has never addressed whether making money is a good or bad thing. It’s time to do so appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

Noel Gallagher’s High Flying Birds, Royal Albert Hall, review: who goes to a Noel Gallagher gig?

When people say Noel Gallagher is big-headed, they don’t know the half of it. He has what is known as a ‘classic rock-star build’ – that is, a tiny, fragile… Continue reading The post Noel Gallagher’s High Flying Birds, Royal Albert Hall, review: who goes to a Noel Gallagher gig? appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

A Cabinet of losers?

Here’s an interesting factoid. We have gone the longest time since any serving Cabinet Minister has lost their seat… ever. Seven were booted out in 1997, most famously Defence Secretary… Continue reading The post A Cabinet of losers? appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

Could Nick Clegg really lose his seat?

Will the Liberal Democrats avoid being wiped out at the upcoming election? In his latest round of constituency polling, Lord Ashcroft has revisited eight Liberal Democrat marginal constituencies he deems to… Continue reading The post Could Nick Clegg really lose his seat? appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

Jim Murphy’s popularity surges (in England)

There’s not much love for Labour in Scotland at the moment, with Mr S reporting this week that Jim Murphy has failed to mention his own party on campaign leaflets. As the… Continue reading The post Jim Murphy’s popularity surges (in England) appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

Lord Ashcroft finds Clegg in trouble in Sheffield Hallam but the LDs holding as well can be expected elsewhere

At this stage not naming the candidates becomes a defect Ashcroft detail from Sheffield Hallam where Clegg in trouble LAB GAIN pic.twitter.com/P9zLFxGFmc — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 1, 2015 Ashcroft Cambridge LD HOLD 9% lead...Show More Summary

Will there be a late swing to the Tories?

Perhaps, the biggest question of this campaign is whether the Tories will gain support in the next five and a bit weeks. If they don’t, Cameron will almost certainly lose… Continue reading The post Will there be a late swing to the Tories? appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

Podcast special: competition is key as the airports debate comes in to land

The debate over the future of Britain’s airports will reach a conclusion in just four months. In this View from 22 podcast special, The Spectator’s Fraser Nelson discusses the current state… Continue reading The post Podcast special: competition is key as the airports debate comes in to land appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

A shocking Scottish opinion poll reveals that Labour aren’t dead yet.

When is a disaster also a miracle? When it allows Scottish Labour to simultaneously endure its worst result since 1931 and live to fight another day, that’s when. Yesterday’s ComRes/ITV poll… Continue reading The post A shocking Scottish opinion poll reveals that Labour aren’t dead yet. appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

Should Labour dismiss a letter from 100 business chiefs?

The Labour reaction today to the Telegraph’s high-volume splash on 100 business leaders warning about the dangers of a Labour government has largely been along the lines of ‘how interesting,… Continue reading The post Should Labour dismiss a letter from 100 business chiefs? appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

The Spectator at war: National concentration

From ‘National Concentration‘, The Spectator, 3 April 1915: A WORD or two of explanation seems necessary in regard to the attitude which we and others have taken up towards football… Continue reading The post The Spectator at war: National concentration appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

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