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Betting Markets Take Trump Seriously

The political betting markets give Donald Trump 8-1 odds of winning the Republican presidential nomination, behind only Jeb Bush (8-5), Marco Rubio (7-2) and Scott Walker (4-1).

Who Will Make the Cut for the GOP Debate?

First Read has the latest polling averages from the last five national polls — Quinnipiac, CNN, WaPo/ABC, Fox, USA Today/Suffolk — to see which Republicans will be on stage at the first GOP debate: Trump: 19.4% Bush: 13% Walker: 11.8% [...]

Republicans May Force Shutdown Over Abortion

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) said Republicans “should do everything they can” to eliminate federal money for Planned Parenthood — “even if it means a government shutdown fight this fall,” Politico reports. In addition, 18 House Republicans told leadership that they [...]

Trumps Tops Another National Poll

A new Quinnipiac poll finds Donald Trump is the clear leader in the crowded Republican presidential primary field with 20%, followed by Scott Walker at 13% and Jeb Bush at 10%. No other Republican tops 6% and 12% are undecided. [......

Christie Not Selling Well in New Hampshire

New York Times: “Despite Chris Christie’s intense focus on winning New Hampshire, many local Republicans are not exactly enamored with the New Jersey governor. Interviews over the last month with dozens of current and former New Hampshire Republican Party town [...]

Trumps Surges In New Poll

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Donald Trump way ahead of the GOP presidential field with 25%, followed by Jeb Bush back at just 12%. Key finding: “The five-day rolling online poll had Trump at 15% among Republicans on Friday before [...]

Gilmore Is Running for President

Former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore (R) has filed paperwork with the Federal Election Commission to run for president of the United States, NBC News reports. His entry into the 2016 race makes him the 17th major Republican candidate for president.

Trump Leads the Polls But Isn’t Very Popular

Nate Silver: “Despite what you may have read elsewhere — or heard from the man himself — Donald Trump is not all that popular with Republican voters. Sure, he’s in first place in many polls. But Trump is near the [...]

Things are About to Get Crazy in Congress

Greg Sargent: “Hillary Clinton has signaled that she hopes to run for president in part by painting the GOP-controlled Congress — and, by extension, the Republican Party — as a divisive, destructive, hidebound, reactionary force… And it looks as if [...]

Republicans Brace for Trump in Debate

“Next week’s Republican presidential debate in Cleveland marks not only the inaugural formal gathering of the expansive GOP field but the start of a new and unpredictable chapter in an already raucous 2016 race,” the Washington Post reports. “Under the [...]

How Gerrymandering Has Hurt Democrats

A Smart Politics analysis finds there are 16 U.S. Senators who currently serve states with a majority of its U.S. House seats held by the opposing political party; only one of these 16 is a Republican – Mark Kirk of [...]

The Wilderness

Here’s a must-read: The Wilderness: Deep Inside the Republican Party’s Combative, Contentious, Chaotic Quest to Take Back the White House by McKay Coppins.

Walker Says GOP Primary Could Drag on for Months

Gov. Scott Walker “suggested that Republican primary could drag on for months, driving up the importance of states that vote later in the spring — states like Pennsylvania, which doesn’t vote until the end of April,” Politico reports. Said Walker: [...]

Will Trump Be Ratings Gold for Fox News?

“Donald Trump’s celebrity — and intrigue as to how the other Republican candidates will deal with his presence — could deliver a ratings boost for the first GOP debate, set for Fox News on Aug. 6,” The Hill reports. “The [...]

Jeb Bush Positions Himself as the Grown Up

Rick Klein: “This hectic week-plus before the first Republican debate may be remembered for Mike Huckabee’s Auschwitz memoires, Lindsey Graham’s new cell phone, and maybe even Donald Trump’s trip across the pond to catch some golf. It might also be [...]

Indictment Frames Mississippi Judicial Race

Justice Court Judge Bill Weisenberger (R) “isn’t just facing an upcoming legal battle. He’s also facing five challengers in the Aug. 4 Republican primary,” the Jackson Clarion Ledger reports. “Weisenberger, the Republican incumbent, was indicted in February for felony simple [...]

Republicans Alter Script on Abortion

New York Times: “With help from a well-funded, well-researched and invigorated anti-abortion movement, Republican politicians have refined how they are talking about pregnancy and abortion rights, choosing their words in a way they hope puts Democrats on the defensive.” “The [...]

Republicans Scramble to Make Debate Stage

“The race is on for the final spots on stage for the first Republican debate. With the highly-anticipated showdown less than two weeks away, candidates with low polling numbers are in a high-stakes scramble to qualify for an event that [...]

Where Does Trump Stand on the Issues?

Politico: “Over the past two decades he was a Republican, then an independent, then a Democrat, then a Republican. Now, registered as an independent, he leads the Republican 2016 presidential field.” “But what does Donald Trump really believe on policy? [...]

Marco Rubio Leads Field in Missed Votes

Politico: “As the Florida Republican has catapulted to the top tier of the crowded GOP presidential field, Rubio has been absent more often than other senators seeking the White House. Since announcing his run in mid-April, Rubio has missed 42 [...]

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