Including the cancellation bear's biggest miss of the season.
Nikita and The Carrie Diaries have both been renewed by The CW
The cancellation bear has been painted into a headlining corner. The renewals last week of Beauty & The Beast and Hart of Dixie (both predicted by the bear) means that The Carrie Diaries had to go back into the headline, since the only other undecided show, Nikita, was in the headline last week!
The CW announced a second season of Beauty and the Beast
The cancellation bear has had Nikita predicted as "likely to be renewed" all season. Once the show was renewed for a third season (the current one) a fourth season was required to satisfy the syndication gods. Now, with just two weeks before our final guesses, the change to "certain to be renewed" gives the bear an easy headline.
In what may be the only real disagreement this season between the cancellation bear's Renew/Cancel Index and Bubble Watch, the bear is once again moving Beauty & The Beast back to "likely to be renewed".
Beauty & The Beast ratings ticked up a tenth last week. Better than the alternative, but not enough to have me move my prediction.
After two 0.7 adults 18-49 ratings to start 2013 for Beauty & The Beast I moved it up to "likely to be renewed". Now after a 0.6 and a 0.5, I'm moving it back to a "toss up" with Hart Of Dixie and The Carrie Diaries.
All season I've been writing that the only way 90210 gets renewed is for a nostalgic short final season. Now, I think its recent ratings slide has likely made that nostalgia too painful for the CW.
The CW Network has given early pickups to three of its hit series for next season
In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king. And given the current ratings for shows on the CW, the last two weeks of 0.7 adults 18-49 ratings for Beauty & The Beast makes it at least a prince. For that reason, I have elevated my prediction for it to likely to be renewed.
Fans of 90210 better hope that the CW's Mark Pedowitz is still handing out short final seasons for old shows, because that's the only way 90210 survives. Its ratings are dreadful, even for the CW. Since reading Mr. Pedowitz's mind is the only way to know for sure, I'm keeping it as a "toss up".
The first two episodes of The Carrie Diaries produced ratings of 0.6 and 0.5 with adults 18-49. (although the second episode's ratings are not yet in the calculations above) That'll keep it in the "toss up" range for at least a week. Any lower than that and it's going to be dinner for the cancellation bear.
Since it premiered just last night, The Carrie Diaries ratings haven't yet been incorporated into my calculations, but with nothing else happening last week on the CW save the burn off the the doomed Emily Owens, MD, it's worth posing the question:
America's Next Top Model, the CW's longest running series, has been renewed for a 20th cycle
The CW Network has ordered new seasons for two of its new reality series
The CW proved particularly tricky this season.
all three renewed
More Sam & Dean coming.
CW ratings woes could claim another victim.