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What I Learned Losing a Million Dollars

(Photo: Ariel H.) “One of the rare noncharlatanic books in finance.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb, author of The Black Swan and Antifragile “There is more to be learned from Jim Paul’s true story of failure than from a stack of books promising to reveal the secret formula for success…this compact volume is filled with a […]

Celebrity Real Estate: Actress Mila Kunis (That '70s Show,...

Actress Mila Kunis (That '70s Show, Black Swan) just sold her five-bedroom, 4,900-square-foot "bachelorette pad" in L.A. for $3.825M, after listing it for $3.995M back in early August. Now she and beau Ashton Kutcher—who also sold off his old pad—can...

Monochrome swans

I have a request[^1] for help from scientifically literate readers. A lot of my research work is focused on the problem of unforeseen contingencies, popularly, if ethnocentrically, described as “black swans”. In particular, I’m interested in the question of how you can prepare for such contingencies given that, by definition, you can’t foresee exactly what […]

The Russian Black Swan May Have To Wait

By The Panoramic View: It seemed like war was inevitable only a few weeks ago. The Russian rebels were losing and a Russian armored division was destroyed in Ukraine. The Ukrainian government publicly stated that Russia was unofficially invading the country. Show More Summary

The Black Swan Of Scotland

It appears The UK government's approach to Scotland has shifted dramatically from threats (we can't guarantee your saefty against terrorists) to hugs and kisses.. as David Cameron begs Scots not to tear apart Britain's "family of nations." "I would be heartbroken if this family of nations... Show More Summary

The Scottish Referendum May Already Be A Black Swan

By Christopher Mahoney: Last week, I discussed the financial implications of a Scottish "Yes" vote in the referendum on September 18th. Today, I would like to discuss the risk that exists today because of the referendum. There is noShow More Summary

Ilargi: The Black Swan Of Scotland

Yves here. The way that England's leaders, as well as pundits and investors generally, failed to recognize that Scotland really could vote for secession, is even more significant than it seems, and as Ilargi tells us below, it's plenty significant. Show More Summary

HERE IT IS: SocGen's Famous Chart With The Black Swans

Societe Generale is out with its latest quarterly chart of "swan" risks. "Black swans" characterize unforeseen and unlikely events that have the potential to rock the economy and financial markets. While the sharp slowdown in EuropeShow More Summary

Whiplash Is Black Swan Meets Full Metal Jacket On The Drums

I’m not sure I’ve ever been as terrified by an actor’s hand as I was by J.K. Simmons’ tempo-setting mitt in the meticulous, driving musician drama Whiplash. After a failed attempt to see an early press screening of The Judge (long story),...Show More Summary

The Government Could Build You Faster Internet, But Cable Companies Won't Let It

The telecom industry is putting many cities in a double bind: They won't improve Internet service and are doing their very best to block a city's right to do it themselves. With Hollywood credits to its name such as Black Swan and Captain...Show More Summary

Update: Poseidon Nickel Acquires Another Nickel Project In Australia

By The Investment Doctor: After acquiring the Black Swan nickel mine and processing plant earlier this year, Poseidon Nickel (OTC:PSDNF) seems to have big plans with the Australian nickel sector as it has now entered into an agreement to acquire the Lake Johnston nickel project from Norilsk Nickel (OTCPK:NILSY). Show More Summary

These Activists Swim with Sharks So You'll Stop Killing Them

Black Swan shows Julie Andersen dancing with a oceanic whitetip shark. All videos by Paul Wildman Sharks and crocodiles have a bum rep. Their advocates are few and far between, but a pair of intrepid camera-wielding scuba divers are on a mission to prove that they’re better off alive than dead. Show More Summary

How Movies Trick Your Brain Into Empathizing With Characters

There’s a scene near the end of Black Swan, where Nina finally loses her grip on reality. And when people watch it, their brain activity bears some resemblance to a pattern that’s been observed in people with schizophrenia, said Talma...Show More Summary

Swans Feeding Fish

2 weeks agoOdd : Neatorama

(Video Link) Here's an unexpected event! But I suppose that, in retrospect, it shouldn't be. These two black swans reach into the trough and drop food for their friends, the koi. They're all residents at the Swan Lake Resort in Kenting, Taiwan. -via Lustik

Two Black Swans Generously Feed Multiple Hungry Koi Fish

2 weeks agoOdd : Laughing Squid

In 2012, a man named Joey Delsordo documented the beautiful sight of two black swans appearing to generously feed multiple hungry Koi in a pond at Swan Lake Resort in Kenting, Taiwan. via Steve Garfield

Breaking Down the Barre Craze: Which Ballet-Inspired Workout is On Pointe for You?

Ballet dancers have flexible bodies conditioned from hours of training. Their specialized workouts create long and lean frames — think Natalie Portman in Black Swan. Their shapely legs, abs, thighs and buttocks come through hybrid weight training, Pilates and cardio workouts with some straight-up ballet pole (barre) stretching. Their moves are spreading like wildfire, and [...]

Nighttime Must-Read: Scott Sumner: DeLong on the Mother of All Black Swans

Scott Sumner: Black Swans: "Brad DeLong... is mildly critical of Shiller... >...in almost precisely the same way that I am.... DeLong and I think... the real mystery [is] not so much why stocks were so high in 1929, 2000, and now, but rather why they were so low 90% of the time. Show More Summary

Winona Ryder, Alfred Molina & Jon Bernthal Join HBO Miniseries ‘Show Me A Hero’

Winona Ryder (The Iceman, Black Swan), Alfred Molina (Chocolat, Raiders Of The Lost Ark) and Jon Bernthal (The Wolf Of Wall Street, Snitch) have been cast opposite Oscar Isaac and Catherine Keener in HBO's six-hour miniseries Show Me A Hero from The Wire co-creator David Simon. Show More Summary

DeLong on the mother of all black swans

Brad DeLong has a post that is mildly critical of Shiller’s stock market model in almost precisely the same way that I am critical of Shiller’s stock market model.  The only difference is that DeLong knows more finance than I do, and makes the case far more effectively than I can.  I was intrigued by […]

Brad DeLong is relatively optimistic on stock returns

There are many interesting charts and graphs in the post, and he argues against a belief in mean reversion, along with a discussion of “the original Black Swan.”  It is a difficult post to excerpt, best to read and view the whole th...

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