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Fed dot chart illusions: James Saft

Sept 17 (Reuters) – Like one of those old Op-Art posters beloved of hippies, staring too long into the Fed’s dot chart of interest rate expectations can make you see things which aren’t there. The Fed’s monetary policy statement on Wednesday has to be read as dovish, retaining as it does the “considerable time” language […]

People At The Fed Sure Do Talk A Lot

In its ongoing efforts to improve the clarity and transparency of monetary policy, the Federal Reserve has ramped up how much it reveals to the world. In recent years, the Fed tweaked its communications policy so that we now regularly get a Summary of Economic Projections, which includes Fed members' forecasts for interest rates. Show More Summary


The US dollar rallied and stocks finished little changed on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve made its latest monetary policy announcement. The Fed took another $10 billion off its QE program and kept interest rates pegged near 0,Show More Summary

Stock Markets Go To New Highs On Federal Reserve Policy Decisions

By John M. Mason: As long as investors believe that the Federal Reserve is not going to tighten up on monetary policy, they will continue to keep stock prices moving on up. Today, September 17, 2014, the Federal Reserve did not disappoint...Show More Summary

Federal Reserve Sets Principles for its Exit Strategy

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) began laying out its framework for “normalizing” monetary policy moving forward. In particular, theRead the Rest...

Here Comes Janet Yellen...

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen is set to hold a press conference at the bottom of the hour. Yellen's press conference follows the latest monetary policy decision from the Fed, which saw the Fed keep interest rates unchanged and take...Show More Summary


Here we are. The Federal Reserve is set to announce its latest monetary policy decision at the top of the hour. The announcement will be followed by a press conference with Fed Chair Janet Yellen, which is set to begin at 2:30 pm ET. Expectations...Show More Summary

Get Read For The Fed's New Dots

Get ready for the newest Fed dot plot. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce its latest monetary policy decision at 2:00, with Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen will also holding a press conference at 2:30. Additionally,...Show More Summary

Fed Expected to Clarify Course

The Fed remains the market’s sole preoccupation today as investors look for clues to the future course of monetary policy in the central bank’s official statement this afternoon. The ‘considerable time’ debate has been dominating market participants’ discussion of the Fed.

BLACKROCK'S RIEDER: 'Considerable Time' Is Not The Most Important Phrase In The Fed Statement (DIA, SPY, QQQ, TLT)

On Wednesday, the Fed is set to announce its latest monetary policy decision, and everyone is looking for two words: "considerable time." Specifically, they'll monitor whether or not the Fed decides to drop that phrase. In recent statements,...Show More Summary

Here Are Two Tricks For Watching Today's Fed Announcement Like A Pro

The Fed is coming out with its latest monetary policy statement today at 2 PM. Then at 2:30 PM, Janet Yellen will give a press conference to discuss the Fed's moves. Parsing Fed statements is always a tricky exercise, but if you want to play at home, there are basically two things to watch today. Show More Summary

How To Play The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Against Fed Funds Rate Forecast Risk

By Markos Kaminis: Last week I published an article entitled "Buy this Trough as the Latest Fed Scare is Unfounded". I continue to expect the Federal Reserve's FOMC monetary policy decision and press conference to reflect the mild message conveyed by Janet Yellen in her Jackson Hole speech and for stocks to move higher. Show More Summary

These Are Officially The Nerdiest Cupcakes Of All Time

Jeanna Smialek at Bloomberg tweeted this photo of some cupcakes they have at the office in honor of today's Fed meeting. Do those patterns look familiar to you? They should, if you're paying attention to monetary policy. These are the so-called dot plots. Show More Summary

Follow or Break the Rule?

Lars Christensen plots a version of the Taylor rule I proposed some years ago (published here). I suggested this rule as an approximate description of Alan Greenspan's monetary policy in the 1990s. Here is the plot: Click on graphicShow More Summary

Futures Little Changed As Fed Statement Awaited

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures were little changed on Wednesday ahead of a key statement by the Federal Reserve which is expected to provide clues on the next monetary policy move by the U.S. central bank. The S&P posted...Show More Summary

Bank Of England: Still No Need To Rush To Raise Rates

By Dr. Duru: The Bank of England released its Minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee (NYSE:MPC) Meeting held on September 3rd and 4th. The minutes show that the same two members as last time, Ian McCafferty and Martin Weale, voted against keeping the bank rate at 0.25%. Show More Summary

Fed Monetary Policy: Join The Dots

By Evariste Lefeuvre: Wednesday's FOMC may come out with more questions raised than solved. Not only the future of the "considerable period" wording remains highly uncertain, but the level and dispersion of the dots will be of utmost importance. Show More Summary

DOW GAINS 100: Here's What You Need To Know (DIA, SPY, QQQ, TLT, IWM, MCP, AAPL, TSLA)

Stocks rallied on Tuesday as the Federal Reserve kicked off its latest two-day FOMC meeting, with the Fed set to announce its latest monetary policy decision on Wednesday afternoon. First, the scoreboard: Dow: 17,134.70,+100.8, (+0.6%) S&P 500: 1,999.40, +15.3,(+0.8%) Nasdaq: 4,554.38, +35.5,(+0.8%) And now, the top stories on Tuesday: 1. Show More Summary

A Fed dove does Broadway

If Fed monetary policy were a 1974 Broadway tune remake, Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota offers some new lyrics.

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