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N.Y. Fed President Dudley: I’m More of a Fire Warden, Not a Cop on the Beat

Federal Reserve officials are infamous for their love of using metaphors to explain complex monetary policy. Think taking away punch bowls when the party gets swinging.

BOE Miles Sees Dangers in More Specific Rate Guidance

Providing more specific guidance on the future path of interest rates than the Bank of England currently offers would be technically difficult and likely to mislead, a member of the Monetary Policy Committee said in a speech published Friday.

The Fed Has No Idea How To Tell The Market It's Going To Raise Rates (DIA, SPY, QQQ, TLT, IWM)

The Federal Reserve just released the minutes from its latest monetary policy meeting. The market didn't seem that interested, as stocks were little changed after the release. And while there were some interesting headlines about how...Show More Summary

Here Come The FOMC Minutes... (DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, TLT, IEF, BND)

The minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest FOMC meeting are set for release at 2:00 pm ET. This is expected to be the market moving event on Wednesday. The minutes will document the Fed's debate at its last monetary policy meeting,...Show More Summary

In Which I Confess, Once Again, That I Do Not Understand the Argument for the Taper as Long as Inflation is Below Its Target...: Monday Focus

[Over at Equitable Growth][1]: Ryan Avent: [Monetary policy: Quite Enough]( "The Federal Reserve completed... >...its taper of the programme popularly known as QE3.... Show More Summary

The Risks to the Inflation Outlook

The Risks to the Inflation Outlook Vasco Cúrdia FRBSF Economic Letter 2014-34 November 17, 2014         Although inflation is currently low, some commentators fear that continued highly accommodative monetary policy may lead to a surge in inflation. However, projections that account for the different policy tools used by the Federal Reserve suggest...Read More

Grand Central: Yellen Is Getting the Fiscal Policy Bernanke Asked For

The Wall Street Journal’s Daily Report on Global Central Banks for Tuesday, November 18, 2014. Jon Hilsenrath considers the balance between fiscal and monetary policy, and finds the U.S. in a better place than Japan.

Why, Despite Its Failure, Abenomics Is "Still Working" For These People, In Quotes

If you were forced to admit that everything you believed about markets and monetary policy was in fact completely fallacious, as this week's Japanese GDP collapse proved of Abenomics and devaluing yourself to prosperity, could you do it? Or would you stick to your blinkered views of the world... Show More Summary

WSJ Survey: Economists Are Less Worried Fed Will Fall Behind the Curve

Economists are a little less worried that the Federal Reserve will wait too long to tighten monetary policy as the economy improves, according to The Wall Street Journal’s latest survey.

Please respond to our arguments

Saturos sent me a IEA paper on monetary policy, by Pascal Salin.  There’s a section discussing market monetarism: Let us assume that, because of excessive taxation and regulation, there is a real rate of growth of -2 per cent in a country. If, because of monetary growth of 3 per cent, there is a 5 per […]

IMF Annual Research Conference on “Cross-Border Spillovers”

The proceedings start tomorrow. My colleague Charles Engel covers “”, while other topics include ECB monetary policy spillovers, Fed policy and foreign bond yields, linkages...Show More Summary

Assorted links

1. Public transit use in the United States. 2. Women and pot legalization, redux. 3. What is new with ECB monetary policy? 4. When fish shout. 5. 9 Chinese marriage proposals. 6. Tim Geithner on Europe (caution: contains profanity).

Draghi’s ECB management: the leaked Geithner files

At a time Mario Draghi’s style of running the European Central Bank is under question – there’s reportedly been grumbling he’s setting monetary policy in off-the-cuff public remarks rather than in consultation with the bank’s board members...Show More Summary


last weekNews : Daily Chart

IN George Orwell’s "1984", there was "oldspeak", "duckspeak", "doublespeak" and "newspeak". In modern central banking, there is "Fedspeak". One of the Federal Reserve’s principal means of communicating its views on monetary policy is to issue a press statement after its regular Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy meetings. Show More Summary

Grand Central: Time for Some Tough Love?

The Wall Street Journal’s Daily Report on Global Central Banks for Tuesday, November 11, 2014. Paul Hannon writes about growing concerns among central bankers over the impact of easy monetary policy on the willingness of governments to undertake difficult reforms.

Everything You Wanted to Know About the ECB’s Latest Monetary Policy (But Were Afraid to Ask)

Once again, a great deal of confusion surrounds the European Central Bank's current policy objectives as well as the nearterm action expectations. Let's try to tackle the subject in a Q&A format.

Did the monetary policy environment change in 2011?

Lots of people have pointed me to an article on the zero bound by Eric Swanson: According to traditional macroeconomic thinking, once monetary policy hits the zero lower bound, there is nothing more the Committee can do to stimulate the economy – monetary policy is essentially ‘stuck at zero’. A corollary of this observation is […]

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