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The Cops and the Kids

The clashes between police and demonstrators began as calculated maneuvers by The National Mobilization Committee to End the War in Vietnam, and the Youth International Party. The strategy was to confront the Chicago police, and thereby demonstrate that America was a police state. Show More Summary

Clinton’s ‘Alt-Right’ Attack on Trump Is a Calculated Risk

By describing Trump as the candidate of a racist “fringe element,” she can energize her base. But she’s making a gamble.

Absorption Rate - Get a Jump on Trend Changes

Might as well start with the boring definition: "Absorption rate is the rate at which homes sell in a given area during a given time period. Absorption rate is calculated by dividing the number of sales in a given month by the number of available homes for sale. Show More Summary

Rainy Day Fun by Calculating Pi

If you need a truly random event generator, just wait till your next rainstorm. Whether any given spot on the ground is hit by a drop at a particular time is anyone’s guess, and such randomness is key to this simple rig that estimates...Show More Summary

The new Zika outbreak could sink Trump's chances in Florida

By almost anyone’s political calculation, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump’s increasingly problematic drive for the White House will be practically impossible to pull off in November unless he can carry Florida, the premier...Show More Summary

With Corporate Defaults Surpassing Last Year's Total, Even Citi Can't Believe What Is Going On

Just over a month ago, the total number of global defaults hit 100 according to S&P calculations, rising by 50% from the number of bankruptcies at this time last year and the highest level since the financial crisis. By total debt notional,...Show More Summary

500px’s new Splash tool lets you search through images simply by making a sketch

Search capabilities have come on leaps and bounds over the last few years. As processing power increases, so does the speed at which software can run. This means more complex calculations can be performed in a much shorter amount of time. Which brings us to this. 500px’s new search feature which lets you search simply [...]Show More Summary

Mike's Blog Round Up

EclectaBlog: Young voters have a message for the GOP and the “repeal Obamacare” crowd. Calculated Risk: The percentage of American homeowners “underwater” has dropped by almost two-thirds over the past five years. Mainly Macro: After comparing Trump and BREXIT voters, the U.S. Show More Summary

Could Planet Nine be Causing Solar Obliquity Changes?

Solar Obliquity Induced by Planet Nine: Simple Calculation Authors: Lai et al Abstract: Bailey et al.~(2016) and Gomes et al.~(2016) recently suggested that the 6 degree misalignment between the Sun's rotational equator and the orbital plane of the major planets may be produced by the forcing from the hypothetical Planet Nine on an inclined orbit. Show More Summary

Cosmology: Lore of lonely regions

A research group led by Ludwig-Maximilians-Unversitaet (LMU) in Munich physicist Nico Hamaus is calculating the dynamics of cosmic voids and deriving new insights into our entire universe. read more

Why Did Guccifer 2.0 Evolve from Sloppy Hacktivist to Professional Leaker?

The hacker persona, likely created by Russian spies, has become much more calculated in the last few weeks.

Ask Larry: Why Hasn't My Wife's Benefit Increased?

Today’s Ask Larry column explores how benefit amounts and time requirements are calculated by the Social Security Administration as well as other topics.

Does the Aerospace Decline Explain the Kansas Collapse?

Ironman at Political Calculations thinks so. Unfortunately, in his calculation of Kansas GDP excluding agriculture and manufacturing, he made an error by simply subtracting (chain weighted) real agricultural output and real manufacturing from real GDP (as discussed in the addendum to this post). I’ll re-examine the importance of the shocks to the aerospace industry in […]

The Little Engine That Couldn't: My Worst Day On The Road

2 weeks agoVehicles / Cars : Jalopnik

It had somehow narrowed down to hours, how I was measuring time. It wasn’t a question of days or weeks anymore. I was doing hour and mile calculations to see if I’d make it back in New York by the time I needed to be back for work. And stuck on the side of the road again, New Mexico heat all around, it felt like I’d let my chances of making it slip away. Read more...

Does Drought Explain the Kansas Collapse?

Ironman at Political Calculations asserts it does. Unfortunately, he makes a mistake in calculating Kansas GDP ex.-agriculture by simply subtracting chained agriculture from chained state GDP (discussed in the addendum to this post). Here in Figure 1 is properly calculated GDP ex.-agriculture plotted against a drought index (lower values is a more severe drought). Figure […]

Trump shocks GOP by withholding endorsements

Philip Rucker, reporter for the Washington Post, talks with Rachel Maddow about his interview with Donald Trump and the degree of calculation behind Donald...

Sexist Language In Political Dialogue

I am outraged by the sexist treatment that Hillary Clinton receives, particularly from members of the Republican Party. She is called "cold and calculating" time after time by them, and I am sick of seeing people get away with this.Show More Summary

Comparing the Martian Winds With Models Using Dust Devils

Comparing wind directions inferred from Martian dust devil tracks analysis with those predicted by the Mars Climate DatabaseAuthors:Statella et alAbstract:We have calculated the prevailing dust devil tracks direction as a means of verifying the Mars Climate Database (MCD) predicted wind directions accuracy. Show More Summary

Observational Equivalence? Conspiracy Theory Kooks vs. Statistical Incompetence

Remember this Political Calculations blogpost asserting that BEA, by virtue of releasing statewide GDP figures, was unwittingly telegraphing a massive downward revision in GDP come the July 29th benchmark revision. That development failed to occur. In fact GDP was on average revised up release [pdf]. First, let’s review the original graph asserting wildly different stories […]

Ben Inker: This Is The "Shocking Hole" That Will Be Blown In Equities If Rates Spike By 1.5%

In early June, we presented a Goldman analysis which calculated what the market impact on fixed income securities would be as a result of even a modest 1% move higher in interest rates. The conclusion: a rather staggering $2.4 trillion...Show More Summary

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