Trend Results : Chicago PMI


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'Soft' Survey Data Dumps In January, Chicago PMI Fades From 7-Year High

January has been broadly negative for survey-based sentiment as hopeful expectations have been dashed again and again, but Chicago PMI beat, printing 65.7 (64.0 exp) but dropped from December. The headline Business barometer rose atShow More Summary

Wednesday: FOMC Annoucement, ADP Employment, Pending Home Sales, Chicago PMI

From Merrill Lynch on FOMC announcement:The FOMC meeting on 31 January is likely to send a modestly hawkish signal, as FOMC officials become more convinced of the shift from the disinflation of 2017 and emphasize the momentum in the real economy. Show More Summary

Chicago PMI "Rises" in December "to Six-and-a-Half Year High"

From the Chicago PMI: December Chicago Business Barometer Rises to 67.6 The MNI Chicago Business Barometer rose to 67.6 in December, up from 63.9 in November, closing the year at the highest level since March 2011.On a calendar quarter...Show More Summary

Earlier: Chicago PMI "Softens" in November

Earlier from the Chicago PMI: Chicago Business Barometer Softens to 63.9 in November The MNI Chicago Business Barometer eased to 63.9 in November, down from 66.2 in October, to stand at the lowest level in three months.Despite receding from October’s six-and-a-half year high, optimism among businesses recorded the fourth highest outturn this year. Show More Summary

Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI

Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 240 thousand initial claims, up from 239 thousand the previous week.• Also at 8:30 AM, Personal Income and Outlays for October. Show More Summary

Chicago PMI Surges To Highest Since March 2011 (As Employment Falls)

Another day, another 'soft' survey shows improvement. Following Dallas Fed's surge yesterday, Chicago PMI printed a dramatically better than expected 66.2 (60.0 exp) - the highest since March 2011. This print is above the highest estimate...Show More Summary

US Economic Data Has Never Done This Before

While 'hope'-strewn survey data (see today's Chicago PMI) are staging a self-reinforcing resurgence in the last week or two, 'hard' economic data (that doesn't rely on the emotional responses of humans) has collapsed to its weakest since...Show More Summary

Chicago PMI Explodes Higher, Beats By 5 Standard Deviations

Everything is awesome again in Chicago apparently... Against expectations of a modest drop from 58.9 to 58.7, MNI's Chicago Business Barometer exploded higher to 65.2 in September... This is well above the highest analyst expectation...Show More Summary

Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI and More

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Trying to Find a CeilingMortgage rates were decidedly higher this morning, with most lenders back above last week's highs. At the time, those were the highest rates in more than a month, although the range has been relatively narrow. Show More Summary

A hurricane workaround for industrial production

A hurricane workaround for industrial production Last week I mentioned that the regional Fed surveys plus the Chicago PMI can be used as a workaround to account for the effects of hurricanes on Industrial Production. It isn’t pretty and by no means is it perfect, but for the (hopefully only) two or three months that […]

Chicago PMI Refuses To Bounce After July Plunge

Following Chicago PMI's collapse in July, August failed to provde any bounce in the soft survey data, printing unchanged at 58.9 (July was revised slightly higher). While marking the eighteenth consecutive above-50 reading, this month's...Show More Summary

Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI, Pending Home Sales

Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 237 thousand initial claims, up from 234 thousand the previous week. Note: The report tomorrow will be for the week ending Aug 26th. Show More Summary

Earlier: Chicago PMI decreased in July

Earlier from the Chicago PMI: July Chicago Business Barometer at 58.9 vs 65.7 in June The MNI Chicago Business Barometer fell to 58.9 in July from 65.7 in June, the lowest level in three months....“MNI’s July Chicago Business Barometer should be viewed in the context of the underlying, upward trend in business sentiment witnessed since early 2016. Show More Summary

Chicago PMI Crashes Most In 29 Months As Stagflation Strikes

After exploding to its highest since May 2014 in June, Chicago Purchasing Managers gave up hope in July. PMI plunged most since Feb 2015 to 58.9 - erasing all of July's "surprise" gains as new order growth slowed and prices paid accelerated. Only...Show More Summary

WTF Chart Of The Day - Chicago PMI Spikes To 3 Year High, Beats By 7 Standard Deviations

Even as the rest of the 'soft' survey data catches down to 'hard' data's ugly reality... Someone or something in Chicago is exuberantly celebrating Trumpmania as the city collapses under a hail of bullets. Beating expectations by 7 standard...Show More Summary

Chicago PMI Increases in June, Highest in Three Years

From the Chicago PMI: June Chicago Business Barometer at 65.7 vs 59.4 in May The MNI Chicago Business Barometer rose to 65.7 in June from 59.4 in May, the highest level in over three years....“June’s MNI Chicago Business Barometer Survey is a testament to firms’ expectations of a busy summer. Show More Summary

Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Highest in More Than a MonthMortgage rates are higher again today, with the average lender now back to levels not seen since May 16th, 2017. Unless you've been following every little day-to-day change in rates, the apparent drama over the past few days is laughable. Show More Summary

Updated: Chicago PMI Increases in May

Earlier, the Chicago PMI was reported at 55.2. That has now been corrected to 59.4. This was above the consensus forecast.Here is the updated report on the Chicago PMI: May Chicago Business Barometer at 59.4 vs 58.3 in April The MNIShow More Summary

Wednesday: Chicago PMI, Pending Home Sales, Beige Book

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Sideways Near Long-Term LowsMortgage rates remained relatively unchanged again today. This continues the sideways trend leading into Memorial Day weekend. As the current week...Show More Summary

Chicago PMI increases in April

Earlier, the Chicago PMI: April Chicago Business Barometer at 58.3 vs 57.7 in March The MNI Chicago Business Barometer increased to 58.3 in April from 57.7 in March, the highest level since January 2015.“The April Chicago report showcased another impressive month, with firms reporting solid growth. Show More Summary

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