Trend Results : Chicago PMI


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Chicago PMI Surges To Highest Since March 2011 (As Employment Falls)

Another day, another 'soft' survey shows improvement. Following Dallas Fed's surge yesterday, Chicago PMI printed a dramatically better than expected 66.2 (60.0 exp) - the highest since March 2011. This print is above the highest estimate...Show More Summary

US Economic Data Has Never Done This Before

While 'hope'-strewn survey data (see today's Chicago PMI) are staging a self-reinforcing resurgence in the last week or two, 'hard' economic data (that doesn't rely on the emotional responses of humans) has collapsed to its weakest since...Show More Summary

Chicago PMI Explodes Higher, Beats By 5 Standard Deviations

Everything is awesome again in Chicago apparently... Against expectations of a modest drop from 58.9 to 58.7, MNI's Chicago Business Barometer exploded higher to 65.2 in September... This is well above the highest analyst expectation...Show More Summary

Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI and More

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Trying to Find a CeilingMortgage rates were decidedly higher this morning, with most lenders back above last week's highs. At the time, those were the highest rates in more than a month, although the range has been relatively narrow. Show More Summary

A hurricane workaround for industrial production

A hurricane workaround for industrial production Last week I mentioned that the regional Fed surveys plus the Chicago PMI can be used as a workaround to account for the effects of hurricanes on Industrial Production. It isn’t pretty and by no means is it perfect, but for the (hopefully only) two or three months that […]

Chicago PMI Refuses To Bounce After July Plunge

Following Chicago PMI's collapse in July, August failed to provde any bounce in the soft survey data, printing unchanged at 58.9 (July was revised slightly higher). While marking the eighteenth consecutive above-50 reading, this month's...Show More Summary

Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI, Pending Home Sales

Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 237 thousand initial claims, up from 234 thousand the previous week. Note: The report tomorrow will be for the week ending Aug 26th. Show More Summary

Earlier: Chicago PMI decreased in July

Earlier from the Chicago PMI: July Chicago Business Barometer at 58.9 vs 65.7 in June The MNI Chicago Business Barometer fell to 58.9 in July from 65.7 in June, the lowest level in three months....“MNI’s July Chicago Business Barometer should be viewed in the context of the underlying, upward trend in business sentiment witnessed since early 2016. Show More Summary

Chicago PMI Crashes Most In 29 Months As Stagflation Strikes

After exploding to its highest since May 2014 in June, Chicago Purchasing Managers gave up hope in July. PMI plunged most since Feb 2015 to 58.9 - erasing all of July's "surprise" gains as new order growth slowed and prices paid accelerated. Only...Show More Summary

WTF Chart Of The Day - Chicago PMI Spikes To 3 Year High, Beats By 7 Standard Deviations

Even as the rest of the 'soft' survey data catches down to 'hard' data's ugly reality... Someone or something in Chicago is exuberantly celebrating Trumpmania as the city collapses under a hail of bullets. Beating expectations by 7 standard...Show More Summary

Chicago PMI Increases in June, Highest in Three Years

From the Chicago PMI: June Chicago Business Barometer at 65.7 vs 59.4 in May The MNI Chicago Business Barometer rose to 65.7 in June from 59.4 in May, the highest level in over three years....“June’s MNI Chicago Business Barometer Survey is a testament to firms’ expectations of a busy summer. Show More Summary

Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Highest in More Than a MonthMortgage rates are higher again today, with the average lender now back to levels not seen since May 16th, 2017. Unless you've been following every little day-to-day change in rates, the apparent drama over the past few days is laughable. Show More Summary

Updated: Chicago PMI Increases in May

Earlier, the Chicago PMI was reported at 55.2. That has now been corrected to 59.4. This was above the consensus forecast.Here is the updated report on the Chicago PMI: May Chicago Business Barometer at 59.4 vs 58.3 in April The MNIShow More Summary

Wednesday: Chicago PMI, Pending Home Sales, Beige Book

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Sideways Near Long-Term LowsMortgage rates remained relatively unchanged again today. This continues the sideways trend leading into Memorial Day weekend. As the current week...Show More Summary

Chicago PMI increases in April

Earlier, the Chicago PMI: April Chicago Business Barometer at 58.3 vs 57.7 in March The MNI Chicago Business Barometer increased to 58.3 in April from 57.7 in March, the highest level since January 2015.“The April Chicago report showcased another impressive month, with firms reporting solid growth. Show More Summary

Chicago PMI Bucks Recent 'Soft' Data Trend, Jumps To 27-Month Highs

With 'soft' survey data having plunged to 10-week lows, as 'animal spirits' fade... Chicago Purchasing Managers' Survey saved the day with a resurgent 'bucking the trend' leap to 58.3 - the highest since Jan 2015. At the high end ofShow More Summary

Friday: GDP, Chicago PMI

From the Altanta Fed: GDPNowThe final GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2017 is 0.2 percent on April 27, down from 0.5 percent on April 18. The forecast of first-quarter...Show More Summary

Chicago PMI increases in March

Chicago PMI: March Chicago Business Barometer at 57.7 vs 57.4 in February The MNI Chicago Business Barometer was broadly stable at 57.7 in March, following a hefty rise of 7.1 points in February to 57.4.Following a strong February, firms...Show More Summary

Chicago PMI Jumps To 2 Year Highs Despite Plunge In Employment Index

The good news - another 'soft' survey data item inches to a new post-Trump high as Chicago PMI rises to 57.7 - highest since Jan 2015. However, the bad news is that exuberant hope is not translating into hard reality as the employment...Show More Summary

Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI

Friday:• At 8:30 Personal Income and Outlays for February. The consensus is for a 0.4% increase in personal income, and for a 0.2% increase in personal spending. And for the Core PCE price index to increase 0.2%.• Also at 9:45 AM, Chicago Purchasing Managers Index for March. Show More Summary

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