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How opinion on Brexit has moved since the referendum

Prospect The biggest move has been from the 2016 non voters to Remain The above chart, by professor John Curtice, is in the latest edition of Prospect magazine and is designed to show how opinion on Brexit has moved on since the referendum period As can be seen by a whisker more Leave voters than […]

'We're already pretty pessimistic': Britain's leading pollster John Curtice says leaked Brexit forecasts won't sway Leave voters

Pollster John Curtice says the publication of leaked government papers detailing the damage of Brexit is unlikely to sway voters. He says the country is "already pretty pessimistic" about the consequence of leaving the EU. "It's notShow More Summary

Britons gloomier about Brexit but no change of heart: pollster Curtice

EDINBURGH (Reuters) - British pessimism on the economic consequences of leaving the European Union is growing, but Britons have not broadly changed their minds about how they voted, Britain's leading pollster John Curtice said on Tuesday.

Arise Sir John Curtice

It has been described as one of the most popular awards in this year's New Year Honours List, the knighthood for Strathclyde professor and elections analyst John Curtice. I first met John when he was a postgraduate at Nuffield and we had some interesting conversations about Cornish politics (which is where he comes from). Show More Summary

The restoration of hanging, corporal punishment & blue passports – the key post-Brexit priorities for Leave voters

What YouGov found earlier in the year The point that Professor John Curtice made yesterday about the big dividing politics British politics has become between social liberals and social conservatives is very much backed up by the above polling published by YouGov earlier in the year. All the options that the sample was offered are […]

Move over right v left: John Curtice says the new political divide is social liberal versus social conservative

Good insight by John Curtice. After Brexit, it's no longer about "left" and "right"—it's now social liberals vs social conservatives via @prospect_uk — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 18, 2017 How politics...Show More Summary

The man behind the exit poll that predicted a hung parliament says Corbyn could easily become PM

Leading pollster John Curtice says May's failure to win a majority was not surprising. Curtice says Corbyn's campaign transformed the political landscape. Labour now has a "pretty straightforward" path to power. Next PM will not be Theresa...Show More Summary

May's refusal to debate Corbyn could damage the Tories' enormous lead

LONDON — Pollster John Curtice says Theresa May's refusal to debate opposition leaders could damage the Tories' lead in the polls if it becomes part of a wider narrative of unstable or flip-flopping leadership. The prime minister has...Show More Summary

Pollster John Curtice: Liberal Democrats will struggle to win back most of the seats they lost in 2015

LONDON — Pollster John Curtice said the Liberal Democrats will struggle to win back most of the seats they lost in the 2015 general election  despite widespread talk of a "Lib Dem fightback." He said that local elections on May 4 would...Show More Summary

Pollster John Curtice: Labour candidates will distance themselves from Corbyn to avoid wipeout

LONDON — Polling expert John Curtice expects many Labour MPs running in the snap June election to distance themselves from unpopular leader Jeremy Corbyn and run instead on local issues. Curtice told Business Insider: "Don't expect the...Show More Summary

Denying Scotland an independence referendum would be 'politically catastrophic' for the UK government

Polling expert John Curtice: Downing Street blocking a fresh independence referendum would risk "suggesting that Scotland cannot decide for itself whether it wishes to remain inside the Union or not." Indyref2 would be "one hell of a...Show More Summary

POLLING EXPERT: A survey showing a surge in support for Scottish independence was probably caused by a 'sampling error'

LONDON — A poll indicating a surge in support for Scottish independence was likely the result of a "sampling error," according to leading pollster John Curtice. A BMG poll published by the Herald newspaper on Wednesday indicated a 3.5%...Show More Summary

EU membership referendum: No exit polling in UK today before polls close

The exit polls at general elections, which are run for the BBC, ITV and Sky by Professor John Curtice of Strathclyde University, have built up a reputation for getting the result right over many election cycles. The polls work by asking people how they voted at sampling points across the country, and comparing that with […]

Domino Effect: Brexit May Trigger Referendums in Italy and Netherlands

To what extent was this result predicted, or not so much predicted, by the polls and why? Sputnik discussed this with the polling expert Professor John Curtice.

LEAVE back in the lead with YouGov while ORB phone sees gap get narrower

Still to come the big National Centre survey – an academic project led by Professor John Curtice. This is embargoed until midnight although it has been widely reported showing a 6% REMAIN lead.

Rock of Gibraltar

An interesting observation by John Curtice at a conference in London today. He noted that Gibraltar was likely to be the first place to declare in the UK referendum as it was one hour ahead of the UK. In a very tight contest, it could decide the result. Show More Summary

Brexit or Fixit: Can We Trust the Polls?

Professor John Curtice is a renowned UK poll expert who has commented on UK elections for decades. In this programme he explains what a poll actually is, before commenting on how we can analyse contemporary polls on the EU referendu...

The GE2015 polling fail put down to “unrepresentative samples”

Too many LAB supporters interviewed – not enough Tories A new report just published today by NatCen Social Research and authored by leading psephologist, Prof John Curtice, suggests that the polls called the General Election wrong primarily because the samples of people they polled were not adequately representative of the country as a whole.   […]

Will a #Brexit trigger an #IndyRef2?

2 years agoNews : Slugger O'Toole

Fascinating as ever John Curtice looks at what polling says about Scottish attitudes towards Brexit, and much of it hinges on the SNP’s nationalist pro EU outlook… …in Scotland, those wanting to remain substantially outnumber those who wish to leave. Survation reported as many as 51 per cent said they would vote to remain, while more...

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