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The 2015 General Election: Will the Liberal Democrats make net gains?

  Yes, you did read that headline correctly, it wasn’t a typo, I am going to discuss whether the Lib Dems can make net gains in parliamentary seats at the 2015 General election, which might seem odd, given the Lib Dems current travails in the polls. Since the start of April, of the 37 polls [...]

Clegg now leads a party of happy warriors. They must be ignoring their poll ratings

Which main party would best handle a general election tomorrow? It will remain a hypothetical question but, remarkably considering their situation a few months ago, it might just be the Lib Dems. Today's events were a reminder why. While David Cameron had to cope with questions about the unity of his party troops, no one [...]

The Liberal Democrats, the natural party of government?

If four years ago, a Liberal Democrat politician had attempted to portray the Lib Dems as the natural party of government we all would have laughed. But that is just… Continue reading The post The Liberal Democrats, the natural party of government? appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

UKIP Scores Record Poll High Of 19%

Support for the UK Independence Party has reached a record 19% according to the latest opinion poll.Labour was down three points to 35%, the Conservatives were down one to 29% and the Lib Dems were unchanged on 8%.The ComRes poll for...Show More Summary

Ministers aren’t just preparing for Coalition divorce, they’re organising arguments with their partners too

Reports today that the Conservatives are wargaming end-of-Coalition scenarios in the event of the Lib Dems leaving early won’t come as a surprise, given the bickering over the past few… Continue reading The post Ministers aren’t just preparing for Coalition divorce, they’re organising arguments with their partners too appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

Reports of the coalition's death are exaggerated

From my Morning Briefing email. Sign up here The Times (£) report that Dave's aides are discussing the possibility of the Lib Dems leaving coalition before 2015. The favoured option is an "amicable divorce" whereby the Lib Dems support next year's budget before returning to opposition for the last six to ten months of the [...]

Local By-Election Preview : May 16th 2013

Harry Hayfield’s guide to the action Coker on Somerset (Deferred Election) Last Council Election (2013): Con 28, Lib Dem 18, Lab 3, UKIP 3, Ind 2 (Conservative majority of 2) Last Ward Election (2009): Lib Dem 1,454 (45%) Con 1,365 (43%) Green 249 (8%) Ind 131 (4%) Last Ward Election (2009 Notional): Lib Dem 1,687 [...]

'When, not if' — Nick Clegg says an EU referendum is inevitable. But what sort?

"It's a question of when not if." That's Nick Clegg on an EU referendum in the Commons, where Tory MPs lined up to shoot at him over the Lib Dem position on Europe. Mr Clegg, of course, is refusing to allow Government time for the Conservatives' legislation promising an in/out referendum by 2017. Instead of [...]

Tory EU turmoil allows Labour and Lib Dems to develop strong message discipline

The dizzy behaviour of the Tory party on Europe is allowing its opponents to develop an incredibly strong message discipline. This is ironic because the Labour party has its own… Continue reading The post Tory EU turmoil allows Labour and Lib Dems to develop strong message discipline appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

Childish childcare bickering continues

Last winter, the surest way to get a Lib Dem to ring you back was to mention the word ‘boundary changes’. Better still to write a piece criticising the party’s… Continue reading The post Childish childcare bickering continues appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

Latest Letter from Nick Clegg

Below is a copy of the latest of Nick Clegg’s letters to Lib Dem members that you might like to read:  Dear Les, Fair pensions. Decent care in your old age. A tax cut for small businesses taking on staff. A major new high speed railway. Energy investment to keep lights on and bills affordable. [...]

Nick Clegg's coffin-lid is creaking: are we witnessing the resurrection of the Lib Dems?

Labour isn’t going to win the next election. That’s not my assessment, but an analysis by the YouGov pollster Peter Kellner, published in today’s Guardian. According to Wintour: Labour has a mountain to climb to win the next election outright, and is still failing to chalk up big enough leads on image or leadership to [...]

Gay marriage and missed opportunities: no wonder Tory membership has fallen

Coalition politics tore out most of what might have made The Queen's Speech into a winning manifesto for the Conservatives and a loser for the Lib Dems. Nor is there any easy escape route by way of an early election either. That is not to say that there were no interesting or even possibly promising ideas [...]

What is Nick Clegg for? Blocking Conservative plans is logical for the Lib Dems, but risky.

What is Nick Clegg for? The question arises from Lib Dem opposition to plans to relax child care rules. And from Lib Dem opposition to the so-called Snoopers’ Charter. And from Lib Dem efforts to block various Tory ambitions on Europe and married couples’ tax allowance and – though no one mentions it any more [...]

Lib Dems seeking a fresh start for Cornwall with a 'One and All' administration

Since the election last week produced a council in which no single party has overall control, there has been much speculation about how an administration might be formed. The Liberal Democrats have said that we are seeking to be part...Show More Summary

The revolt of the Shires: Cameron’s last warning

But should UKIP have done even better? Thursday’s elections represented a resounding raspberry to all three main parties.  Indeed, they reinforced that even talking of three main parties is an anachronism.  The Lib Dems did win more than twice as many councillors as UKIP but in all other respects they finished well behind.  In the [...]

Cambridgeshire Tories lose control

In an extraordinary election the Conservatives have lost control of Cambridgeshire for the first time in 16 years. The Lib Dems said they were hopeful of gains across the county in what is traditionally a Lib Dem versus Conservative battleground. Show More Summary

Local elections 2013: in numbers

335: total councillors lost by the Tories 291: seats gained by Labour 124: losses sustained by the Lib Dems 139: seats gained by UKIP 147 UKIP council seats after today’s results 10… Continue reading The post Local elections 2013: in numbers appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

Ukip election gains: eastern England is in rebellion. This has happened before

Ukipalypse. The Faragasm. Call it what you like (“a total bloody nightmare” if you are a Lib Dem), it’s already clear from last night’s partial results that Something Is Happening. The docile towns and muted suburbs of middle England are finally in revolt; the smallholders have pulled their muskets from the thatch, and they are [...]

Lib Dems try to avoid their own local election jitters

The dominant narrative in the build-up to these local elections has been all about UKIp vs the Tories, with a bit of angst about Labour’s southern mission thrown in. The… Continue reading The post Lib Dems try to avoid their own local election jitters appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

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