In the wake of last night's House vote to sue the President, new data from Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight suggests that Democrats are actually talking about the possibility of impeachment of President Obama more than Republicans. Eleven...Show More Summary
A new survey of cable news transcripts by Five Thirty Eight finds that MSNBC mentions impeachment more than four times as often as Fox News. Nate Silver compiled data via a Lexis-Nexis search of the two networks' use of the word "impeach" or "impeachment" over the past several months. Show More Summary
In response to the NYT’s pro-pot announcement, Nate Silver calculates that around 77 percent of Americans who fit the NYT editorial board’s demographic profile support legalization: [P]eople with this demographic profile are somewhere around 25 or 30 percentage points more supportive of marijuana legalization than the average American. That implies that back in 2000, when […]
Environmental studies professor Roger Pielke, Jr. has quit Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight blog over a controversy that arose after he wrote a post denying that global warming is responsible for the increasing costs of recovery from natural disasters. Show More Summary
Talking Points Memo relates the short and unhappy career of Roger Pielke Jr. at Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight blog, as inquisitors of the Church of Global Warming turned up with a wooden stake and plenty of kindling to burn the heretic...Show More Summary
(Paul Mirengoff) The Upshot, the New York Times’ successor to Nate Silver’s 538, gives the Republicans a 60 percent chance of winning a majority in the Senate. This assessment is similar to the one Silver rendered in June. Both assessments are based on poll averages. Show More Summary
A correspondent writes, apropos of : >Nate Silver's extraordinary and unique excellence is to take a look at a complicated but relatively unsophisticated spreadsheet model of a situation and then, every day, telling an excellent narrative story about a piece of the model. Show More Summary
Nate Silver has already dubbed the 2014 election as "the least important in years." But this year's midterms are still breaking records for at least one thing: secret political spending. A historically unprecedented amount of dark money has already been spent to influence the outcome of the elections. Show More Summary
In November 2012 as we were heading into another national election, a relatively unknown blogger by the name of Nate Silver made a prediction. Based upon the information available to him, and everyone else, Silver believed that he could...Show More Summary
Watching Bill Maher tonight, and man is he all-in for Israel. That’s not the point of this post. The point of this post is that you absolutely have to watch the panel with some wingnut from the Daily Caller on the left, Nate Silver in the middle, and Jane Harman on his right, and Silver [Read more...] This space reserved for your ad.
This weekend's TV concerns itself with La Toya Jackson's chattier body parts, Nate Silver and Bill Maher discussing absolutely nothing controversial going on in the world this week probably, and the provocative (and procreative!) lives of the Amish. Read more...
Celebrity Big Data scientist Nate Silver can step aside. And so can Paul the Octopus (anyone remember him?) for that matter. There’s a new god of football predictions in town, and it goes by the name of Cortana. Microsoft’s answer … Continue reading ?
Remember that number-cruncher extraordinnaire Nate Silver, whose FiveThirtyEight blog for The New York Times became the go-to spot for electoral prediction and numerical analysis in 2012? Well, Silver has since moved on to his own broader...Show More Summary
Useful, thought-provoking and random links for the entrepreneurially-minded that caught our eye on Friday, July 11: How did Nate Silver get the Brazil/Germany game so wrong? This new LinkedIn feature looks pretty handy. You're sitting on your standing desk. Show More Summary
(Paul Mirengoff) Germany and Argentina will play tomorrow in the World Cup final. Germany is the betting favorite. Nate Silver’s team estimates that the Germans have a 63 percent chance of winning. That sounds about right to me. Ever since it settled on its current lineup, Germany has been the best team on display in Brazil. Show More Summary
So Nate Silver's site FiveThirtyEight blew a World Cup prediction. Time for some data realism.
Nate Silver calls Brazil’s utter humiliation in yesterday’s 7-1 loss to Germany the “most shocking result in World Cup history.” Michael Goodman wonders if it will lead to unrest: The immediate question is whether Brazil’s exit will serve as a flashpoint for an immediate revival of the previous protests, or in an even uglier scenario, […]
Brazil is still the heavy favorite to win the World Cup. But thanks to Neymar's injury, the home team is now more likely to lose one of their final games than win both according to Nate Silver's World Cup model. If Brazil was at full strength for their final two matches, they would have had a 54% chance to win the World Cup. Show More Summary
There are just eight teams still alive at the World Cup and Brazil is still the heavy favorite to win it all, with a 39.7% chance of lifting the trophy according to Nate Silver's World Cup prediction model. However, Brazil's road will not be easy. Show More Summary
Some beautiful soul made @TimHowardGK the Secretary of Defense on Wikipedia. #accurate — @JadeReindl Nate Silver: After losing 2-1 to Belgium on Tuesday, the U.S. men’s national team will be left to contemplate its future; after years of steady improvement, there are hints U.S. Show More Summary