After Nate Silver's ongoing FiveThirtyEight burrito bracket named La Taqueria's offering the best burrito in the country, the lines have gone full-on Cronut in San Francisco. Eater SF reports that queues 30 to 40 people deep are now snaking...
Welcome to Eater Tastings, where Eater SF editor Allie Pape shares the best restaurant and bar news of the week. Le Marais Bistro. MISSION—Via an exhaustive bracket sponsored by Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight folks, El Farolito has earned the...
Sam Wang: Is Nate Silver a little too excited about his model?: "Really, the GOP has an 25% chance (3-1 odds)... >...of getting 54 or more seats? I’d put it at more like 5%. Even 53 GOP seats is a fairly outside outcome. If a betting person were offered the chance to put up $3000 against Nate Silver’s $1000 on that outcome... that would be taking his money...
In 2012, as I remember, Silver and Wang’s election forecasts remained close to each other. But right now they are considerably apart. Silver says Republicans have a 63.8 percent chance of winning a majority. Wu says Dems have a 79 percent chance of keeping the Senate. Where do they differ? Silver thinks Pat Roberts of […]
TMZ scores with Ray Rice video clip. ESPN Films and Nate Silver. New seasons at KCET. New editor for Los Angeles Magazine's driving blog. Plus more.
The latest round of polling analysis from HuffPo and Nate Silver shows a Republican-run Senate in 2015 still likely
Republicans should be smiling right about now.
NOT all the major polling models give Republicans a clear edge to capture the Senate this autumn, but most do. The New York Times’ “The Upshot” puts the chances at 65%, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight most recently called it “in the neighborhood of 60-40” and the Washington Post’s “Election Lab” gives the GOP a 51% shot. Show More Summary
Douglas Mataconis, Christian Science Monitor: Unlike pretty much every other polling analyst out there -- ranging from Nate Silver to The New York Times's Upworthy to more traditional analysts, like Larry Sabato, Charles Cook and Stuart...Show More Summary
A Los Angeles auction house has sold a slice of cake from Princess Diana's wedding to Prince Charles for $1,375 The 33-year-old slice of cake was sold online by Nate D. Sanders Auctions. It is still in its original white and silver presentation...Show More Summary
Will the Republicans retake the Senate? At this point we have really no way to tell and we probably won’t until the polls close in November. As Nate Silver points out only about 10% of the population actually respond to polling which means that political polling is all but useless. A majority of the Republican [...]
[Over at Equitable Growth:] Apropos of: Cosmos Elysée (2009): [On the Certainty of the Bayesian Fortune-Teller], Brad Delong: [Elementary Philosophy of Probability and the War on Nate Silver], Sky Masterson: [An Ear FullShow More Summary
Nate Silver, a man frequently hailed as the future of journalism, gave a master class this evening on How Not To React To The News That Doesn't Involve You (Ferguson edition). In short, don't make it an occasion to tell the story about That Time You Were Arrested (as a white man) and the cops were actually nice and let you eat a burrito. Read more...
The town of Ferguson, Missouri is turning into a warzone before our eyes. After Michael Brown was shot and killed by police, the city burns while journalists are being arrested in McDonalds and protestors are met with brute force and tear gas. They are terrible, disturbing scenes for anyone that cares about their homeland. Five Thirty […]
Over at Grasping Reality: Elementary Philosophy of Probability and the War on Nate Silver: The (Not Very) Honest Broker for the Week of August 2, 2014: "Of all the weird things that have happened in the American public sphere in my life,...Show More Summary
According to FiveThirtyEight.com, a polling and blogging website created by well-known statistician Nate Silver, State College has the eighth-highest used transit system per capita in the country.
In various Senate forecasts, North Carolina has looked tough for Republicans. Earlier this week Five Thirty Eight's Nate Silver gave Republican nominee Thom Tillis only a 50/50 chance of beating Senator Kay Hagan, the Democrat incumbent who rode the Obama wave to unseat Republican Elizabeth Dole in '08. Show More Summary
Shorter Jed Perl: Ezra Klein and Nate Silver are killing American art. As Roy says, the essay is not merely pretentiously incoherent but is written it a level of abstraction so high that it renders serious engagement impossible. At least the right-wing version of this cliched screed uses some extraordinarily dated concrete examples — […]
Someone who wishes to remain anonymous writes: I believe you are aware that Nate Silver spoke at last year’s JSM and that he began a publication under ESPN (http://fivethirtyeight.com/). Do you have any opinions on the publication? Maybe some you wish to share with the public. Show More Summary
Nate Silver: [W]e continue to see Republicans as slightly more likely than not to win a net of six seats this November and control of the Senate.... A late swing toward Republicans this year could result in their winning as many as 10 or 11 Senate seats. Show More Summary