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FiveThirtyEight Debunks Left’s Gun Control Narrative

FiveThirtyEight, a website run by Nate Silver, published gun violence statistics that debunked many of the Left’s anti-gun, pro-gun control narratives. In their data, FiveThirtyEight pointed out that mass shootings are rare, perpetrators of mass shootings are different from one another, the majority of gun crimes are not mass shootings, and other factors contribute to […]

Nate Silver's World Series projection is out and the Cleveland Indians are heavy favorites

The Cleveland Indians are the favorite to win the World Series, according to Nate Silver's model at FiveThirtyEight.com. Nearly 40% of all NFL players come from 18 schools There are 3 distinct classes of NHL teams this season and only...Show More Summary

Trump Only Hurts Himself When He Tweets

Nate Silver finds that when President Trump stays away from Twitter, his approval rate ticks upward. “If Trump never tweeted again, his approval rating would gradually rise to about 43 percent, the simulation estimates. Conversely, if he went on a [...]

Media Needs to Stop Rationalizing Trump's Behavior

Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight: No matter how cynical one is, it's hard to see what possible political benefit [President] Trump could get from criticizing [Carmen Yulín] Cruz, whose city was devastated by Maria and remains largely without power and otherwise in crisis. Show More Summary

Wednesday Morning Open Thread: Delicious!

This was a really bad day for Trump but a really really really bad day for Mitch McConnell. https://t.co/747y9R0FrY — Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 27, 2017 Asked RSC Chair if still has faith in McConnell- he said "our faith does wane sometimes"& if he can't deliver "all options are on the table" — Deirdre Walsh […]

New York Times’s Maggie Haberman Has Chosen To Be A Dick Today

How DARE Nate Silver suggest the New York Times's coverage of Hillary's emails was anything but PERFECT?

538’s Nate Silver Dings Media for Clinton Election Coverage

Nate Silver took a couple of swipes at the media on his FiveThirtyEight podcast — including his former employer, the New York Times — for screwing up the coverage of the 2016 election by creating a false narrative on Hillary Clinton. The main topic of the podcast was on Clinton’s new book, What Happened, in […]

LISTEN: Disgraced Pollster Nate Silver Turns On Hillary — Thrashes Her 2016 Campaign

You know things are bad when you have lost pollster Nate Silver. On Monday, the FiveThirtyEight founder told his podcast listeners that Hillary Clinton ran the “most negative campaign in history.” Coming from Silver, the statement is refreshing. Show More Summary

Nate Silver apologized for attempted Boston sports tweet meme gone horribly wrong

Nate Silver has been a strong addition to ESPN, and his website 538 is a go-to site for statistical analysis about everything from the presidential election to a ranking system of the major clubs in world soccer and everything in between. Show More Summary

Despite Trump's Unpopularity, Democrats Face Long Road Back Into Power

There are a handful of hopeful signs for 2018, but the GOP's grip is deep and vast. The political forecasting industry has turned into a seesaw over the Democrats’ future. Nate Silver says Trump’s base has maxed out, lifting blue hopes. Show More Summary

How the ‘Skinny Repeal’ Bill Becomes Law

Nate Silver: “There’s not much reason to doubt that Ryan will go to conference. While there are no legal assurances of this, to fail to do so would be extremely damaging to House-Senate relations. The GOP still has a lot [...]

Health Care Confusion Won’t Help The GOP

Nate Silver: “In reading Heller’s statement for why he’d support for the motion to proceed — part of a series of shifting positions that Heller has taken on health care — I was struck by how confusing all of it [...]

State Department Says No One Cares Anymore About Hillary’s Stupid Emails

Nate Silver undertook an interesting what-if project this week with a story on what would things be like if Hillary Clinton had been elected president. Merrick Garland is on the Supreme Court, and Neil Gorsuch is not. Brian Fallon is the press secretary, and Sean Spicer is not. It is Hillary Clinton under investigation for […]

NBA GMs and Fed Governors

Here is Nate Silver, discussing the growing accuracy of NBA mock drafts: Mock drafts — and rumors/reporting about who would go where — were shockingly accurate this year. There aren’t a lot of dumb teams in the NBA anymore, and it’s getting harder to find picks that come out of nowhere. I suppose one could […]

Tuesday Evening Open Thread: No Pressure, Though, Mr. Ossoff…

Overrated: GA-6's importance as an electoral bellwether.Underrated: GA-6's impact on whether AHCA gets passed.https://t.co/JIJnRLShgV — Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) June 20, 2017 … Here’s the thing, though: Sometimes dumb things matter if everyone agrees that they matter. Show More Summary

How GOP Reacts to Special Election Matters More

Nate Silver: “Everything we know about the Georgia 6 special election, from the polls, to the first-round results, to the results of special elections in other districts, to the shifting politics of Georgia 6, suggests that the race ought to [...]

Trump’s Poll Numbers Crater Even Further As GOP Support Slips

An AP poll confirms Nate Silver’s earlier analysis. Lost amid all the dramatics of Jeff Sessions’ testimony,Trump’s ranting and ravings, and his reported desire to fire Special Counsel Robert Mueller, (which we all know he will eventually...Show More Summary

U.K. Turnout Models Ignored Surge In Youth Vote

Nate Silver: “The 2017 election therefore seems to be a case of an overcorrection. The pollsters apparently did a good enough job of weighting the raw samples properly, which got them fairly close to the right outcome. Then on top [...

Montana Polls Close

The polls in Montana’s special congressional election race between Greg Gianforte (R) and Rob Quist (D) are now closed. Nate Silver: “Yeah, my back-of-the-envelope math is that Gianforte is winning the early vote by somewhere in the high single digits [...]

Nate Silver: Donald Trump’s Base Is Eroding

5 months agoLGBT / Gay : Joe. My. God.

Nate Silver writes at FiveThirtyEight: A widely held tenet of the current conventional wisdom is that while President Trump might not be popular overall, he has a high floor on his support. Trump’s sizable and enthusiastic base — perhaps...Show More Summary

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