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Alabama Election Results

The last polls close in Alabama’s U.S. Senate special election at 8 p.m. ET. Nate Silver: “Because Alabama rarely hosts competitive races, the benchmarks we might use in another state won’t be as reliable as usual. Furthermore, it’s not just [...]

Alabama Special Election Open Thread

Some early tweets – The tidbits from the early exit polls seem good for Jones — but early exits often overstate turnout among Dem-leaning groups. https://t.co/8UNMbwM1tG — Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) December 13, 2017 Full story: The Alabama state Supreme Court has stayed yesterday's order directing election officials not to destroy digital voting records. Meaning that […]

Keyword Research Beats Nate Silver’s 2016 Presidential Election Prediction

4 days agoInternet / SEO : SEOmoz Blog

Posted by BritneyMuller 100% of statisticians would say this is a terrible method for predicting elections. However, in the case of 2016’s presidential election, analyzing the geographic search volume of a few telling keywords “predicted”...Show More Summary

538.com: Moore is in Control of the Race

Nate Silver’s 538.com is following the race by benchmarking the vote total each candidate needs at county level. They see Moore making his targets. Given the exit polls and this, Moore seems to be the favorite at this moment. The post 538.com: Moore is in Control of the Race appeared first on RedState.

Roy Moore Is Probably Slightly Favored In Alabama

Nate Silver: “Because you’ve read so much detail about the polls, I don’t want to leave you without some characterization of the race. I still think Moore is favored, although not by much; Jones’s chances are probably somewhere in the [...]

Romney and Trump

Without at all questioning Nate Silver’s statistical analysis, it has seemed to me in the last year that he has been getting a bit high on that Beltway supply, wanting to believe that the reality of the Republican Party is not really the reality of the Republican Party. This is the latest moment I’ve felt […]

Armie Hammer Covers The Hollywood Reporter, Discusses Nate Parker & Casey Affleck

Armie Hammer soaks in a sunny California day with The Hollywood Reporter. The American actor links up with photographer Brian Bowen Smith at the Paramour Mansion in Silver Lake. Stylist Ilaria Urbinati outfits her client in casual pieces from brands like COS. Delving into the current hot topics in Hollywood, Hammer talks about Nate Parker... [Read More]

STATISTICIAN: Shady Poll By GOP Elites ‘Leaked To Get Judge Moore Out of the Race’

A new poll commissioned by the National Republican Senate Committee claims Alabama Democrat Senate candidate Doug Jones is leading Republican Judge Roy Moore by 12 points.  Statistician Nate Silver implies the numbers may have been manipulated to pressure Moore out of the race. Show More Summary

How This Year’s Elections May Change Next Year’s

Nate Silver: “While Tuesday’s results may not change the reality of the 2018 outlook all that much, it could change perceptions about it, and that could have some knock-on effects. (Politicians are often like Morning Joe panelists in how they [...]

Hillary Clinton Shrugs Off Reminder Of Comey Letter Anniversary: 'Oh Is That Today?'

Statistician Nate Silver said on Twitter Saturday that Clinton would “probably be president” if Comey had not sent that letter.

Russiagate Open Thread: Saturday Night Cold Dish

Today is the 1-year anniversary of the Comey letter, which was probably decisive in the election. https://t.co/FjiCZKHbdr — Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 28, 2017 CNN: Mueller’s arresting folksMSNBC: Mueller’s arresting folksNick...Show More Summary

FiveThirtyEight Debunks Left’s Gun Control Narrative

FiveThirtyEight, a website run by Nate Silver, published gun violence statistics that debunked many of the Left’s anti-gun, pro-gun control narratives. In their data, FiveThirtyEight pointed out that mass shootings are rare, perpetrators of mass shootings are different from one another, the majority of gun crimes are not mass shootings, and other factors contribute to […]

Nate Silver's World Series projection is out and the Cleveland Indians are heavy favorites

2 months agoLifestyle / Fashion : AOL: Style

The Cleveland Indians are the favorite to win the World Series, according to Nate Silver's model at FiveThirtyEight.com. Nearly 40% of all NFL players come from 18 schools There are 3 distinct classes of NHL teams this season and only...Show More Summary

Trump Only Hurts Himself When He Tweets

Nate Silver finds that when President Trump stays away from Twitter, his approval rate ticks upward. “If Trump never tweeted again, his approval rating would gradually rise to about 43 percent, the simulation estimates. Conversely, if he went on a [...]

Media Needs to Stop Rationalizing Trump's Behavior

Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight: No matter how cynical one is, it's hard to see what possible political benefit [President] Trump could get from criticizing [Carmen Yulín] Cruz, whose city was devastated by Maria and remains largely without power and otherwise in crisis. Show More Summary

Wednesday Morning Open Thread: Delicious!

This was a really bad day for Trump but a really really really bad day for Mitch McConnell. https://t.co/747y9R0FrY — Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 27, 2017 Asked RSC Chair if still has faith in McConnell- he said "our faith does wane sometimes"& if he can't deliver "all options are on the table" — Deirdre Walsh […]

New York Times’s Maggie Haberman Has Chosen To Be A Dick Today

3 months agoUS Politics / Liberal : Wonkette

How DARE Nate Silver suggest the New York Times's coverage of Hillary's emails was anything but PERFECT?

538’s Nate Silver Dings Media for Clinton Election Coverage

Nate Silver took a couple of swipes at the media on his FiveThirtyEight podcast — including his former employer, the New York Times — for screwing up the coverage of the 2016 election by creating a false narrative on Hillary Clinton. The main topic of the podcast was on Clinton’s new book, What Happened, in […]

LISTEN: Disgraced Pollster Nate Silver Turns On Hillary — Thrashes Her 2016 Campaign

You know things are bad when you have lost pollster Nate Silver. On Monday, the FiveThirtyEight founder told his podcast listeners that Hillary Clinton ran the “most negative campaign in history.” Coming from Silver, the statement is refreshing. Show More Summary

Nate Silver apologized for attempted Boston sports tweet meme gone horribly wrong

3 months agoSports : Awful Announcing

Nate Silver has been a strong addition to ESPN, and his website 538 is a go-to site for statistical analysis about everything from the presidential election to a ranking system of the major clubs in world soccer and everything in between. Show More Summary

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