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NY Times Rolls Out ‘The Upshot’; Puts #GASen Race at 73% Republican

The Gray Lady apparently decided it needed a replacement for Nate Silver’s Five Thirty Eight political forecasting, so they brought in former Washington Bureau Chief David Leonhardt and a staff of 15 to do the Times’ political prognosticating, and decided to call it The Upshot. As part of today’s rollout, they looked at the chances […]

The New York Times' new data-driven explainery site, The Upshot, currently estimates that Democrats

13 hours agoPop Culture / Celebrity : Gawker

The New York Times' new data-driven explainery site, The Upshot, currently estimates that Democrats have a 51 percent chance of retaining control of the Senate. Bold projection, or not-too-subtle "FU" to Nate Silver? Or both? It's definitely not neither. Read more...

NYT and FiveThirtyEight Differ on Senate Prospects

15 hours agoIndustries / Media : FishbowlDC

The New York Times unveiled their new post-FiveThirtyEight, data-driven journalism project today, dubbed The Upshot. The site, edited by NYT Washington bureau chief David Leonhardt (aka Not Nate Silver) is supposed to fill the void left by Silver when he teamed up with ESPN to create his own site. And right off the bat, Leonhardt and Co. Show More Summary

The Upshot, NY Times’ Answer to FiveThirtyEight, Launches

17 hours agoIndustries / Media : FishbowlNY

The Upshot, The New York Times’ answer to the departure of Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight, is now live. The site is edited by David Leonhardt, the Times’ Washington bureau chief. Just like FiveThirtyEight, The Upshot is focused on the intersection of data and news. Show More Summary

Baseball games still take too long. Blame the Red Sox.

17 hours agoSports : The Early Lead

It’s a rite of spring. Baseball arrives and everyone notices that baseball games are getting longer and longer. Carl Bialik at Nate Silver’s site crunched the numbers and, sure enough, the trend is continuing. The worst offenders? Bialik says it’s the Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees — although the Bombers are […]

NY Times’ ‘Upshot’ Debuts, Challenges 538?s Senate Predictions

18 hours agoNews : Mediaite

The New York Times' new statistical vertical The Upshot debuted Tuesday morning, the third venture of its kind after Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight and Ezra Klein's Vox, and wasted no time distinguishing itself from Silver, former Times statistical wunderkind, via the great question of our age: who will win the Senate?

Nate Silver’s frivolous failure: What FiveThirtyEight can learn from Grantland

Because of a key existential problem, Nate Silver's 538 doesn’t meet its moment. But here's how it can be saved

Thursday Speed Read: North Carolina, Nate Silver, Rosemary Lehmberg, Brunei, Ohio, Oklahoma

5 days agoLGBT / Gay : Towleroad

BY LISA KEEN / Keen News Service TENTH CIRCUIT HEARS SECOND CASE: The same three-judge panel that heard the lawsuit challenging Utah’s ban on recognition of same-sex marriages today hears a lawsuit challenging Oklahoma’s. Jim Campbell, legal counsel from the...

Great Job, Internet!: Study the happy little numbers with a statistical analysis of Bob Ross’ Joy Of Painting

The statistical blog FiveThirtyEight is best known for founder Nate Silver’s spot-on political predictions. (And, now that it’s owned by ESPN, for really nerdy football analysis.) But with the relaunch of FiveThirtyEight in March, it’s...Show More Summary

Rumsfeldian Journalism

By James Kwak I still have Nate Silver in my Twitter feed, and I used to be a pretty avid basketball fan, so when I saw this I had to click through: Just how bad were the @DetroitPistons‘ Bad Boys? … Continue reading ?

Jill Abramson: The Times is always the prettiest girl at the party, not its famous staffers

Highlights from New York Times executive editor Jill Abramson’s podcast chat with Catie Lazarus: “[Nate Silver's lawyer] said to me, ‘[Repping Nate is] like representing the prettiest girl at the party.’ I looked at him with kind of a raised eyebrow and just in a deadpan voice, I said to him, ‘I’m very sorry, … Read More

NYTimes Exec Editor Jill Abramson on Tattoos, Anita Hill & Nate Silver

last weekLGBT / Gay :

The executive editor of the Gray Lady dishes on her legendary career (and body ink) read more

Nate Silver: Pulitzer-winning newspapers aren’t immune to circulation losses

FiveThirtyEight A newspaper’s Pulitzer Prize count has very little effect on its circulation losses, Nate Silver found after a spin through some data: Does that mean that newspapers might as well forget about quality as an economic strategy? That’s … Read more

Power List 2014: NATE SILVER

last weekLGBT / Gay :

Statistician/Journalist, 36Silver’s announcement that he would leave The New York Times and join ESPN, bringing his FiveThirtyEight blog with him and becoming its editor in chief, caused shockwaves. The new site’s focus is “data journalism,”...Show More Summary

Happy Hour Roundup

Nate Silver looks at polling data on immigration and discovers that Republican voters are far more moderate on immigration reform than is commonly supposed; it turns out there’s lots of room for a Republican to move to the center. In fact, if GOP voters are asked about a path to citizenship with requirements like […]

Does even Nate Silver have limits? What Big Data can — and can’t — tell us

Our election guru gets how groups are most likely to act over the long run. What else can we determine that way?

10 women whose digital startups deserve Vox-level plaudits

Even casual consumers of media news have heard of Ezra Klein and Nate Silver, two names that are now synonymous with the future of journalism. Their startups, Vox and FiveThirtyEight, are being closely watched as examples of what happens when journalists leave the mainstream-media nest and try to do things differently, on their own. But ask those same news consumers...

Henry Aaron and the Lucas Critique

No, not the Henry Aaron at the Brookings Institution.  I mean what the ten year old Tyler Cowen would have called “the real Henry Aaron.”  Nate Silver writes: What if Aaron had never hit a home run? What if those 755 round-trippers had fallen for base hits instead? (If we’re trying to isolate the effect […]

Cowen on Silver on Aaron

Tyler Cowen has an interesting post on baseball, which got a lot of positive reviews in his comment section.  So naturally I will disagree. He responded to a Nate Silver post that claimed Hank Aaron would have been a great baseball player even if all of his homers had been singles. Here’s Tyler: OK, here […]

Objectively bad: Ezra Klein, Nate Silver, Jonathan Chait and return of the “view from nowhere”

New work by Silver and two other influential reporters should have you worried about the future of journalism

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