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538: Stop Freaking Out About Trump's Polls

Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight: Lately, pundits and punters seem bullish on Donald Trump, whose chances of winning the Republican presidential nomination recently inched above 20 percent for the first time at the betting market Betfair. Show More Summary

Who Will Pick Up the Pieces?

Nate Silver gives Donald Trump a 20% chance of winning the Republican nomination and tells the rest of us to stop freaking out. And, as usual, Silver brings some data...

Dear Nate Silver: The Media (and the GOP) Should Absolutely Be ‘Freaking Out’ About Trump’s Poll Numbers

4 days agoNews : Mediaite

Liberal Media darling and alleged prediction guru Nate Silver says that everyone in the media should just calm down and stop “freaking out” about Donald Trump’s amazing poll numbers.

Nate Silver gives only 6 teams a legit shot to win the Super Bowl

After 11 weeks of the NFL season, the New England Patriots are an overwhelming heavy favorite to win the Super Bowl, and only five other teams have a legit shot to beat them. Using Nate Silver's "2015 NFL Predictions," a model that rates...Show More Summary

Tuesday Morning News Feed: Russian Jet, Grease Live!, Nate Silver, Simpsons

4 days agoLGBT / Gay : Towleroad

SYRIA: Turkey shoots down Russian type SU-24 for violating Turkey’s airspace: “This is exactly the kind of incident that many have feared since Russia launched its air operations in Syria. The dangers of operating near to the Turkish bord… Read The post Tuesday Morning News Feed: Russian Jet, Grease Live!, Nate Silver, Simpsons appeared first on Towleroad.

Dear Media, you’re full of it. Yours, Nate Silver

Good morning. The illusion of pro-Trump polls Nate Silver, a data-driven maestro, says the media is wildly errant on Donald Trump's popularity. He breaks down Trump's supposed support by about 25 percent of self-identifying Republicans,...Show More Summary

Silver: Trump Supporters Equal In Number To Those Who Believe Moon Landing Fake

Nate Silver says we should stop freaking out about the number of Trump supporters and put it in perspective. In a column titled “Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls,” Silver reminded political reporters and pundits that the number of people currently supporting Trump are still, percentage-wise, roughly equivalent to the number of [...]

Nate Silver: Trump’s current supporters still outnumbered by people who think moon landing was faked

5 days agoNews : The Raw Story

Number cruncher and statistician Nate Silver said on Monday that people who are currently hyperventilating about real estate tycoon and former reality TV star Donald Trump’s poll numbers need to get some perspective on the issue. In a column titled “Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About...

Republicans in Disarray, but Democrats in Despair

Nate Silver is one of America's sharpest political analysts, so when he writes a piece like "Maybe Republicans Really Are In Disarray", it should raise some eyebrows. Silver doesn't come to a definite conclusion, but he does lay out a...

Nate Silver slams 'alarmist' New York Times report

FiveThirtyEight f ounder Nate Silver sharply criticized The New York Times, his former employer, for publishing what he saw as a misleading and "alarmist" article about rising crime rates in major cities. Silver, speaking at an event...Show More Summary

Nate Silver: 'I'm pretty worried' about the state of polling

Polling guru Nate Silver says he has serious concerns about modern polling. Speaking on a media panel hosted by Columbia University's student newspaper, the founder of the site FiveThirtyEight said Sunday that he largely agreed with the premise of a lengthy recent New Yorker article that posits modern polling is in a state of crisis. Show More Summary

Forecasting the 2016 election economy: in which I respond to Nate Silver

-by New Deal democrat Forecasting the 2016 election economy: in which I respond to Nate Silver As you all know, I have been writing a series about “Forecasting the 2016 election economy.” In general, good economic conditions at election time usually mean the return of the incumbent party to the White House, while a recession […]

Nate Silver: Unlike Vox, We Don't Do 'Hot Takes' On Wikipedia Entries

2 weeks agoNews : Huffington Post

FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver is accusing Vox of participating in “hot take” journalism and basing its articles on Wikipedia entries. He has been an outspoken critic of Vox, having in the past taken the explainer journalism site to task...Show More Summary

FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver: Vox Just Rewrites Wikipedia Pages

2 weeks agoNews : Mediaite

In an interview with the podcast Employee of the Month, FiveThirtyEight founder and editor-in-chief Nate Silver went after rival site Vox, saying they simply rewrite Wikipedia pages.

Sunday Evening Pop Culture Nostalgia Acts Open Thread

I will resist watching this I will resist watching this OH NO I WON'T WHY ISN'T IT DECEMBER 18th ALREADY??!! — Daniel Drezner (@dandrezner) November 6, 2015 — Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 8, 2015 Larry David is heckling Donald Trump. The universe is complete. — Ben Jacobs (@Bencjacobs) November 8, 2015 Based […]

A poll Nate Silver once said 'has no idea what they're doing' helped determine who made the GOP debate stage

Two high-profile Republican presidential candidates — New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R) — have been relegated to the lower-tier, "undercard" debate next week, in part because of a poll that has become notorious for wild week-to-week and month-to-month swings. Show More Summary

Wednesday Links: Rhizome Subject of Tom Moody’s Ire

3 weeks agoArts : Art Fag City

[caption id="attachment_75283" align="aligncenter" width="640"] Screen shot of Liam Gillick and Nate Silver's "Either We Inspire or We Expire" (2012), a web-based work that's part of their "First Look: New Work Online" monthly series currently running as the splash page for the new Rhizome.[/caption] Rhizome has relaunched its website. Show More Summary

Down Goes Grantland!! Up Goes Responsible, and at Least Somewhat Objective ESPN Sports Reporting?

Grantland was one of ESPN’s affinity sites along with Nate Silver’s Five-Thirty-Eight, and the still yet to be fully developed Undefeated. But though we bury Grantland today, it actually died months ago when ESPN parted ways with its inspiration Bill Simmons.

Jeb Bush’s Problem Is Jeb Bush

My colleague (and boss) Nate Silver believes Jeb Bush is “probably toast.” He isn’t alone: A bunch of pundits are saying Bush is finished. I’m not sure I would go that far; there is no clear front-runner in either the endorsement race (which Bush nominally leads) or the money race (which Bush also leads, if […]

NATE SILVER: New England Patriots and Green Bay Packers are the heavy favorites to go to the Super Bowl

After seven weeks of the NFL season, the New England Patriots and Green Bay Packers are the heavy favorites to represent their conferences in the Super Bowl, and only four other teams have a legit shot to win it all. Using Nate Silver's...Show More Summary

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