Nadia Hassan writes: Justin Wolfers and Nate Silver got into a colorful fight on twitter. Nate has 2 forecasts. Nate is doing a polls-only forecast in addition to a “traditional” one that discounts poll leads and builds in fundamentals. Show More Summary
Earlier this month, I wrote a story outlining the extremely narrow but not impossible path that Evan McMullin could take to the White House, and since then, McMullin has become a genuinely hot topic. Nate Silver followed up with a post about how our forecast model is handling Utah. And we’ve talked about how McMullin’s […]
I awake each morning at 6 to surf political web sites before stumbling into the shower. I check for new polls, six, seven, eight times a day. I click on big data guru Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight site morning, noon and night. Why, I...Show More Summary
_[Dylan Byers of the Politico Is Back! And Tweeting! And Meat's Back on the Menu, Boys!: Nate Silver Really Is a National Treasure Weblogging]_: >Dylan Byers @DylanByers: Honest Q: People are aware that RCP poll aggregate also predicted 49 of 50 states in 2008 & also missed Indiana, right? >Nate...
Nate Silver: “The nightmare scenario for the GOP is that high-information Republican voters, seeing Trump imploding and not necessarily having been happy with him as their nominee in the first place, feel free to cast a protest vote at the [...]
FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver and politics editor Micah Cohen talk about how much we still don’t know about the state of the presidential race in the latest installment of “Model Talk” from our Elections podcast. In Utah, for example, independent candidate Evan McMullin’s chances of winning have risen to 14 percent. Nate also answers listener […]
Colbert's live show after the Las Vegas Debate/Trumpster Fire featured the man who we all turn to when we want the most accurate polling compilation: FiveThirtyEight.com's Nate Silver. (Still laughing at one of the comments on the video...Show More Summary
Nate Silver: _[Hillary Clinton’s 3 Debates Left Trump in Ruins]_: "Writing after the third debate--a debate in which Trump said he would keep the nation "in suspense" about whether there would be a peaceful transition of power... [Hillary...Show More Summary
Nate Silver: “I’m not sure I need to tell you this, but Hillary Clinton is probably going to be the next president. It’s just a question of what ‘probably’ means.” “There are less than three weeks left in the campaign, [...]
If you were anything like us, you were curled up in an anxiety ball with your fingers over your eyes watching all the highlights from last night's debate, including Donald Trump arguing the finer points of puppetry, complaining about his Emmy snubs, and calling out "bad hombres" all over. [ more › ]
Election prognosticator Nate Silver joined Stephen Colbert on The Late Show following last night’s final debate between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton to talk about the debate, his predictions, where things stand, and what will happen if Trum… Read The post Colbert Asks Nate Silver to Predict What Will Happen if Trump Won’t Concede: WATCH appeared first on Towleroad.
Click here for reuse options! "You have been surprisingly accurate over the last few elections with one exception... who is that candidate you got wrong?" "Late Show" host Stephen Colbert had quite the introduction for fivethirtyeight founder...Show More Summary
According to the NYTimes, Hillary Clinton had a 92 percent chance of winning the election. According to Nate Silver, that number was 87 percent. That was before last night's third debate, before Hillary Clinton got under Donald Trump's thin skin,...
The polling guru behind FiveThirtyEight does some live post-debate analysis on The Late Show.
Popular vote tracker:Before 1° debate: Clinton +1.5Before 2° debate: Clinton +5.6Before 3° debate: Clinton +7.1https://t.co/WLXtJovjYd — Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 19, 2016 YouTube livestream here. Guardian liveblog here. Everybody ready? I feel like in the next 20 days America might get so far out on the stupid frontier we might never come back. — Bob […]
Because you're an anti-anti-anti-helicopter parent, check out today's end-of-day links: retired ballerinas, Nate Silver of Trump movement, rejected Hillary slogans, death of Bronx bookstores, and dog offers hug. Don't forget to follow Gothamist on Twitter, Instagram, YouTube, and Snapchat, and like us on Facebook. Show More Summary
Nate Silver: “The swing state map is broader than in 2012. Whereas by the end of that election, only a half-dozen states were really in doubt, there are 10 to 15 states that remain interesting this year. But Florida stands [...]
Checking the polls hour after hour isn't pointless... right? The post I Just Want Nate Silver to Tell Me It's All Going to Be Fine appeared first on WIRED.
Oh, Nate Silver, what have you started? The statistician's maps showing only women or only men voting inspires a comic craze that nosedives fast.
Click here for reuse options! Trump backers have finally found a poll they like: An imaginary electoral map with no women voters. Less than a month after the 96th anniversary of the 19th Amendment, which finally enshrined women’s right to vote in the U.S. Show More Summary