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What's happening to Trump's popularity? Parsing the polls with Nate Silver

9 hours agoHumor / odd : Boing Boing

Silver's predictions of the election outcome took much of the shine off the statistician-pollster-guru, and no amount of statistical spin ("we were expressing our confidence that the unpredictable wouldn't happen, but we left open the...Show More Summary

Which Poll Should You Believe?

I choose Rasmussen: As Nate Silver notes, Trump’s recent approval ratings vary from a high of 55 percent (with 45 percent disapproval) in the aforementioned Rasmussen poll to a low of 39 percent (with 56 percent disapproval) in a survey from Pew Research. Show More Summary

Why the polls are so 'all over the place' about Trump

The 2016 election was the one that broke the polls. Politicians, journalists, and even Nate Silver got it wrong. Now just over a month into the Donald Trump Administration, polls are back and making headlines. This time, it's presidential approval ratings. Show More Summary

Why Polls Differ on Trump’s Popularity

Nate Silver: “Here’s what we can say for sure: It’s unprecedented for a president to face so much opposition from the electorate so soon. Recent polls show that anywhere between 43 and 56 percent of Americans disapprove of President Trump’s [...]

Trump’s Supporters Should Have Taken Him Literally

Chicago Tribune columnist Clarence Page called it “the most pithy, profound and requoted explanation of the many who have tried to explain the president-elect’s surprising success.” While FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver deemed it “a runaway...Show More Summary

Nate Silver Explains How MSM Helped Hillary Lose Election

Sometimes your best friends can inadvertently become your worst enemies. Such was the case of Hillary Clinton and the mainstream media according to Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight. Most observant people knew that the MSM was all in for Hillary this past election to the extent of acting like cheerleaders for her. Show More Summary

HEH: “Nate Silver has a model. Nate Cohen has a model. Tom Brady has Gisele Bundchen.” Plus: “H…

HEH: “Nate Silver has a model. Nate Cohen has a model. Tom Brady has Gisele Bundchen.” Plus: “His name is Nate Silver because his winners always come in second place.”

Extra, Extra: Nate Silver Now Into Writing Harrowing Trump Fanfic

Because Kellyanne is sparring with Chelsea Clinton now, check out today's end-of-day links: Kristen Gillibrand takes off, Ivanka & Jared care about LGBTQ rights, Arkansas gets worse, Nate Silver writes Trump fanfic, Wall Street loves Trump and dogs demand attention. Show More Summary

Nate Silver Shuts Down Women’s March With One Statistic

Nate Silver is considered by many to be a “fair-minded liberal,” a title that he wears proudly on his FiveThirtyEight blog, which has blossomed into a harder news site over the last five years since he correctly predicted the Mitt Romney-Barack Obama showdown of 2012. Show More Summary

A Series You Really Should Read -- How the Media Got the Election Wrong

Over at FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver is running a fascinating series of pieces explaining the “real” story of 2016 — with an emphasis on explaining how and why so many people looking at the same data and made the same mistakes. For example,...Show More Summary

Nate Silver, Then and Now

“The ‘fundamentals’ models, in fact, have had almost no predictive power at all. Over this 16-year period, there has been no relationship between the vote they forecast for the incumbent candidate and how well he actually did.” — Nate Silver, [...]

Ways To Take Effective Action Following The Magnificent Women's March

Hundreds of thousands of people—over 3 million, if you listen to Nate Silver—took part in Women's marches across America on Saturday. The marches were among the largest mass protests in American history, and they were inspiring for a lot of us who've been feeling despondent since November 9th. Show More Summary

Nate's Take

Anderson Layman's Blog has a tantalizing portion of Nate Silver's analysis of why most journalists were wrong about the outcome of this election. I see no sign that they are learning from the experience.

Nate Silver lists Tom Brady, New England Patriots as favorite to win Super Bowl LI

2 months agoLifestyle / Fashion : AOL: Style

Led by quarterback and three-time Super Bowl MVP Tom Brady, the New England Patriots are heavily favored to win Super Bowl LI, according to Nate Silver's latest model. Wednesday updates to FiveThirtyEight's NFL team-by-team forecastShow More Summary

After Trump Tweet, Bitter Pollster Nate Silver Posts Nuclear Survival Electoral College Map

Nate Silver has been the establishment press's designated polling hero since 2008, when he correctly predicted the outcome of that year's presidential contest in 49 of 50 states. He also had a great year in 2012, predicting all 50 states' presidential preference results. This year's election? Not so much. Show More Summary

MELTDOWN => Nate Silver FAILS on Election Predictions; becomes INTERNET TROLL!

  FiveThirtyEight website’s Nate Silver is apparently still sore from his inaccurate ‘prediction’ that Hillary was going to be elected... The post MELTDOWN => Nate Silver FAILS on Election Predictions; becomes INTERNET TROLL! appeared first on The Gateway Pundit.

Nate Silver Makes Joke With Post-Apocalyptic Electoral Map

On Friday, election guru Nate Silver poked fun at President-elect Trump’s call for expanded nuclear capabilities with a tweet about an electoral...

Tech can help us spot fake news, but there's only one real way to stop it

In the days after the election, apoplectic progressive journalists spent their time writing boiling hot takes, trying to find the one CNN chyron or Nate Silver tweet responsible for handing democracy over to a Putin-loving creamsicle. Show More Summary

Two Unexpected Lessons Business Decision Makers Should Take From Election 2016

2 months agoTechnology : Forbes: Tech

There is a big lesson to learn when an outcome surprises the world. Numbers guru Nate Silver gave both Trump and the Cubs a 1 in 3 chance of coming true, yet the Cubs felt inevitable, and Trump was a huge surprise. What can business decision makers learn from the predictable but unexpected election?

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