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Nate Silver Has Projected The College Football Final Four And There Is One Big Surprise

Alabama vaulted to the top of the College Football Playoff rankings this week after handily beating Mississippi State and now the Crimson Tide are the heavy favorites to win the national championship according to Nate Silver's model....Show More Summary

The Patriots And Cardinals Are Now The Overwhelming Favorites To Reach The Super Bowl

With just six weeks left in the regular season, the New England Patriots and Arizona Cardinals are the heavy favorites to play in this year's Super Bowl, according to the latest model by Nate Silver. Using a rating system that accounts...Show More Summary

Only 6 Teams Still Have A Realistic Shot At Winning The Super Bowl

Heading into week eleven, the Denver Broncos, New England Patriots, and Arizona Cardinals are the overwhelming favorites to win this year's Super Bowl according to the latest model by Nate Silver. Using a rating system that accountsShow More Summary

Links of the Day: What You Might Have Missed This Weekend

last weekOdd : The Daily What

Watch Out Nate Silver. Bing Accurattly Predicted 95% of the Mid-Term Elections [Bing] Reddit Was on TV Sunday Night, But Not in a Good Way [WaPo] Nude Subway Rider Proves New York is Becoming More and More Like Jerry Seinfeld's New York [New York Post] Matt Groening's Worlds Continue to Collide with "Simpsons"/"Futurama" Crossover Episode [EW]

THE NEW NATE SILVER: Grover Norquist wins The Hill’s 2014 elections pundits predictions….

THE NEW NATE SILVER: Grover Norquist wins The Hill’s 2014 elections pundits predictions.

How did Nate Silver’s forecasts stack up against midterm results?

Last night's results brought some high-profile upsets for Silver's FiveThirtyEight

Still Ticked Off

Even after last night's results, Nate Silver still seems to have the last months' criticism and second-guessing a bit under his skin.

Nate Silver nailed the midterm elections -- almost

Democrats got whooped in the midterms, losing virtually every toss-up race except New Hampshire, where Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) eked out the win. It was a stunning result — but not necessarily an unthinkable one. As of Wednesday morning, Republicans hold 52 Senate seats. Show More Summary

Nate Silver Has Been Predicting This Since March

The media seems to be converging on this idea that Democrats are about to lose the Senate, but as usual, it was Nate Silver who was ahead of the curve. read more

When it comes to elections, data journalism without context is noise

2 weeks agoWeb / Web Videos : NewTeeVee

Nate Silver and his ilk have proven they can predict elections with high accuracy, so maybe it's time to move on from focusing on the forecasts. I know Republicans will likely…

FiveThirtyEight Debuts Studio for Elections

2 weeks agoIndustries / Media : FishbowlNY

It’s election day in America, which means it’s time to remind you of Nate Silver and his site, FiveThirtyEight. Silver and FiveThirtyEight now have a new studio from which to cover today’s activities. The New York studio will be Silver and his team’s headquarters throughout the night. Show More Summary

Nate Silver breaks down the battle for the Senate: “It might be an election week or month”

The FiveThirtyEight founder forecasts a GOP Senate, but still sees a path to victory for the Democrats

The rise of Joni Ernst -- and the return of the Bush-era GOP

Mother. Soldier. Conservative. Senator? Republican Joni Ernst has consistently cast herself as the first three during her heated Senate race in Iowa against Democrat Bruce Braley. And with Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight giving Ernst a 70 percent chance of winning tonight, adding senator to the list seems like a good bet. Show More Summary

Nate Silver: Republicans have a 3 in 4 chance of winning control of the Senate

Nate Silver has released his final predictions for tonight's midterm elections, and he estimates Republicans have a 76 percent chance of winning the Senate. Silver notes, however, that the race may not be "called" for Republicans onShow More Summary

Pollster Nate Silver: ‘It might be an election week or month, not an election day’

2 weeks agoNews : The Raw Story

FiveThirtyEight.com founder Nate Silver said on Monday that, though the odds favor Republicans on election night, the actual elections are not likely to be settled soon. “The GOP has a 75 percent chance to win — eventually,” Silver told MSNBC host Chris Hayes. “That might...

FiveThirtyEight Has Some (Possible) Good News For Pat Quinn

Nate Silver's band of warlock statisticians believe Pat Quinn will be re-elected by the slightest of margins. [ more › ]

Republicans Are Probably, Definitely, Almost Certainly Going to Take the Senate

2 weeks agoNews : Truthdig

Shutterstock Depending on which stat blog you’re reading, Republicans have anywhere from a 63 to a 96 percent chance to win the Senate and take total control of Congress. FiveThirtyEight (of Nate Silver fame) puts the likelihood of a GOP majority at 75.1 percent. Show More Summary

In Tuesday’s Sun: Obama’s bad night, Harper’s bad year

Nate Silver, the Oracle, has spoken. Silver – the U.S. statistician and political analyst, the Warren Buffett of modern politics – said over the weekend that President Barack Obama’s Democrats are facing a 75 per cent chance of losing control of the Senate Tuesday night. Given that the Republicans already control the House, this is no […]

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