If you’re to believe Nate Silver, Malcolm Gladwell, or any of the other data wonks in journalism nowadays, numbers can unlock something invisible but unifying about an experience or event. Look at a spreadsheet of numbers at the right angle and you can predict who might be our next president or craft the perfect baseball team. Show More Summary
In his hunt for a libertarian center, he comes off as less angry about the state than many Republicans. The piece is interesting throughout. Yesterday Nate Silver tweeted: Could very easily wind up with an outcome like Clinton 47%,Show More Summary
To trump Trump, Hillary Clinton will need Bernie supporters, the "Berners," to be motivated enough to come to the polls to vote for her on Election Day. Hardly a secret -- pollster Nate Silver says Trump has a 25% chance of beating Clinton. Show More Summary
Nate Silver is making sense: It’s an emblematically annoying ending to the Democratic campaign, one that reflects both the acrimony between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders and the fact that Clinton, in the end, is winning her party’s nomination by every available measure. At 8:20 p.m. EDT on Monday night, the Associated Press declared Clinton […]
Go hear Nate Silver and his political wonk staff sound off about this effed up election at this event later this month. [ more › ]
I’m excited to announce that the FiveThirtyEight elections podcast is headed to California for a mini-tour at the end of June. We’ll talk about the latest political news, and Harry Enten and Nate Silver will continue their obscure-election-trivia battle while Clare Malone and I roll our eyes. And we’ll probably eat some burritos. After we […]
Harry Enten and Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight: As [Bernie] Sanders fans claim that the Democratic primary system is rigged against their candidate and that Sanders wins when turnout is higher, they fail to point out that Sanders has benefited tremendously from low-turnout caucuses.... Show More Summary
Nate Silver: "I Was Just Using You To... Nate Silver is dating millions of people so that he can accurately predict the next election, but only one voter has caught his eye Submitted by: David Guzman Regular Keywords: nate silver election polls election humor political humor nate silver joke nate silver parody nate silver she's all that nate silver funny or die Views: 6
by Dan Savage Not that it matters: Primaries are more democratic than caucuses. And remember... The system is rigged in favor of the candidate who's won 3 million more votes. Unbelievable. https://t.co/TqMXrY3rw0— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) May 24, 2016 [ Comment on this story ] [ Subscribe to the comments on this story ]
ROCKING IT OLD-SCHOOL: Trump Eschews Using Voter Analytics In His Campaign, Will Rely On Personality, Rallies To Win Presidency. The “analytics” guys — like Nate Silver — have been notably poor performers in predicting Trump’s rise, so maybe that makes sense.
Paging Nate Silver! The folks at My Poetic Side have teamed up to compile a few well known poets’ MVP words. While some of your favorite writers’ choices have more to do with subject matter and intention, for example Maya Angelou’s frequent use of the word “rise,” others like Emily Dickinson’s “word cloud” say more […]
Matt Lewis: “As of this week, Nate Silver — FiveThirtyEight founder, political prognosticator, and wunderkind — is giving Donald Trump just a 25 percent chance of defeating Hillary Clinton in November. I’m considering putting a few benjamins down on Trump.” [...]
At FiveThirtyEight this week, statistics guru Nate Silver wrote a major apologia about his 2016 predictions called "How I acted like a pundit and screwed up on Donald Trump." Its ostensible purpose was to explain a string of apparent misdiagnoses from a statistician famed for getting things right. Inadvertently, though, it...
This piece is only available to Political Wire members. The latest Economist/YouGov poll finds that 61% of Bernie Sanders voters have an unfavorable view of Hillary Clinton, while just 38% with a favorable one. As Nate Silver notes, this has [...]
DNCE BOP OF THE DAY. “Toothbrush”. NEBRASKA. ACLU receives complaints that group homes are rejecting gay kids. “The American Civil Liberties Union of Nebraska said in the letter sent Wednesday that it has recently fielded complaints… Read The post DNCE, Star Trek, Nate Silver, Noses, Bob the Drag Queen, Monsanto, Kanye West: NEWS appeared first on Towleroad.
A few weeks ago, as Donald Trump became the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, Nate Silver admitted that his data-driven site, FiveThirtyEight, "got the Republican race wrong." Silver's post, which was discussed here, was something of a mea culpa. Show More Summary
The master of predicting election outcomes admits getting it very wrong in the Republican primary.
Trump won the nomination, but that shouldn't blind us to the fact that his odds were low from the beginning
Nate Silver: “Trump is one of the most astonishing stories in American political history. If you really expected the Republican front-runner to be bragging about the size of his anatomy in a debate, or to be spending his first week [...]