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The Data

Nate Silver wrote the definitive story on Donald Trump and nobody knows it. That’s right, America’s favorite statistician, the diviner of data, the man who makes sense out of chaos, analyzed the polls and found out that while Trump had the highest rating, his unfavorables were through the roof. In other words, only a small […] The post The Data appeared first on Lefsetz Letter.

Trump Leads the Polls But Isn’t Very Popular

Nate Silver: “Despite what you may have read elsewhere — or heard from the man himself — Donald Trump is not all that popular with Republican voters. Sure, he’s in first place in many polls. But Trump is near the [...]

Why Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight blog is wrong about teacher evaluation

FiveThirtyEight is a blog created by Nate Silver, a famous statistician who developed a system for forecasting player performance in Major League Baseball and accurately predicted the winner of 49 out of 50 states in the 2008 presidential election. A few years ago, he was asked during an online Q & A session at Reddit […]

Nate Silver Slams Vox For Aggregating Bill Cosby Story

5 days agoNews : Huffington Post

The feud between stats guru Nate Silver and continues. On Sunday, Vox writer German Lopez published an aggregated post about New York magazine’s Bill Cosby exposé -- a stunning photo essay recounting the stories of 35 women who...Show More Summary

With Jason Whitlock out of the way ESPN is going all out for The Undefeated

Two of the three high-profile ESPN vanity sites have uncertain futures – Grantland and The Undefeated.  While Nate Silver still mans the 538 masthead, Grantland and The Undefeated are facing significant questions about their longterm leadership. Show More Summary

Nate Silver Takes Shot at Vox for Aggregating NYMag’s Cosby Story

5 days agoNews : Mediaite

New York released the bold and unavoidable cover last night, quickly capturing the attention of the Twittersphere. Vox had it aggregated before long, which to some was a gaudy condensation of months of work into quick clickbait.

Weight on the Edge of the Debate Stage

While awaiting a promised Nate Silver post on Donald Trump's base of support, I noticed that FiveThirtyEight's Harry Enten had a fresh look at the battle for spots on the...

Have Republicans Stopped Falling in Line?

Nate Silver recalls a famous Bill Clinton quote: “You know the difference in Democrats and Republicans? In every presidential election, Democrats want to fall in love. Republicans just fall in line.” “But this year, the historical trend has reversed itself. [...]

Stats wiz Nate Silver: For black Americans, US is about as dangerous as Rwanda

2 weeks agoNews : The Raw Story

For black and white americans, the difference between life and death is literally worlds apart. Although we may know this on some level, Nate Silver, the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight, has the startling statistics that demonstrate this reality. As he explained to me on the latest...

Revealed: the documentary the BBC don’t want you to see

Nate Silver has a lot to answer for. Yes, he called the US general election correctly – but he then led the fashionable view that opinion polling technology is now so… Continue reading The post Revealed: the documentary the BBC don’t want you to see appeared first on Spectator Blogs.

News: Bernie Sanders, Japan, Bees, Bill Cosby, Blue Bell

3 weeks agoLGBT / Gay : Towleroad

 Nate Silver on how Bernie Sanders could win Iowa and New Hampshire and then lose everywhere else. “Put another way, Iowa and New Hampshire aren’t representative of the more diverse electorates that Democrats will turn out elsewhere. It just so… The post News: Bernie Sanders, Japan, Bees, Bill Cosby, Blue Bell appeared first on Towleroad.

Sanders Could Win in Iowa and New Hampshire

Nate Silver says Sen. Bernie Sanders could beat Hillary Clinton in Iowa and New Hampshire and lose everywhere else. “Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa and Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire are really liberal and really white, and that’s the core [...]

The US is suddenly an underdog in the Women's World Cup

The United States women's national team beat China 1-0 in their quarterfinal match at the Women's World Cup, but their chances of winning the entire tournament have actually gone down, according to the latest model from Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight. Show More Summary

There are just 6 teams with a legit shot to win the Women's World Cup going into the knockout stage

Now that the 16 spots in the knockout stage of the Women's World Cup have been set, the number of teams with a realistic shot to win it all has dwindled to six, according to the latest model by Nate Silver. The United States is the favorite with a 33% chance to win the World Cup. Show More Summary

Which airline flies the fastest?

Statistical guru Nate Silver — who correctly predicted an Obama win in the 2012 election when other media were calling it a toss-up — has come out with a new analysis of U.S. airline on-time data, concluding that Virgin America continues...Show More Summary

What Nate Silver's Analysis Misses About 2016

Psychology matters in elections. Throughout my career I've seen how having confidence from start to finish impacts campaigns. Understanding your strengths puts the wind at your back. It emboldens candidates and allies, and energizes volunteers, donors and supporters. Show More Summary

There are 7 countries with a legit shot to win the Women's World Cup

The United States and Germany are the overwhelming favorites to win the World Cup but the gap between the top teams and the rest of the world is narrowing, according to the latest model by Nate Silver. In addition to the two favorites,...Show More Summary

NATE SILVER: The US and Germany are the heavy favorites to win the Women's World Cup

The United States is the favorite to win the upcoming Women's World Cup with a 28% chance, just edging out Germany (27%) according to Nate Silver's World Cup prediction model published in ESPN the Magazine. The U.S., who last won the...Show More Summary

Bill Simmons has now been taken off’s homepage

2 months agoSports : Awful Announcing

If you visited over the weekend, you may have noticed a slight change.  The face of Bill Simmons is no longer present in the featured space that is given to Grantland.  You can still see Nate Silver’s portrait as the face of FiveThirtyEight, but no sign of The Sports Guy. Show More Summary

Every NBA team rated over several decades

Which NBA basketball team is the greatest ever? Instead of a circular debate at the bar, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight used the Elo rating system to rank… Tags: basketball, FiveThirtyEight

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