FiveThirtyEight has a cool interactive up today by Nate Silver and frenemy of the program Reuben Fischer-Baum, calculating the Elo ratings throughout history for every team in the NBA. I’m a sucker for Elo ratings, so I love this. I’m also a sucker for the shitbag Knicks, so I pulled up their chart ready to cringe. That’s it up there. Read more...
It appears that Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), outgoing Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal and former New York governor George Pataki are on the brink of announcing their candidacies for president. While I’m no Nate Silver, my own proprietary computing aid (vodka) inspires me to calculate that these three men have no better than a.000117 percent […]
There is no good nationalism - Blanchot We recently finished the General Elections in the UK. The outcome, to say the least, was a huge surprise. Nate Silver, the American political forecaster made the claim that the Tories would win most of the seats, but that the end result might be a three-party coalition. Show More Summary
“The world may have a polling problem.” That’s the headline on a blogpost by Nate Silver, the wunderkind founder of FiveThirthyEight. It was posted on 9:54 ET the night of
A while back, Nate Silver and Allison McCann for FiveThirtyEight estimated age based on a person's name using a relatively straightforward calculation. Using data from the Social Security Administration, they… Tags: names, Randal Ol...
The last war.
Nate Silver: “Nowadays, of course, it’s become common to hear talk about the ‘blue wall’ — the set of 18 states that, along with the District of Columbia, have voted for the Democrat in each of the most recent six presidential elections, [...]
It is the birthday of Architect Daniel Libeskind (his work above) and political strategist Paul Begala (his work ahead). These are your Morning Reads In the UK, Nate Silver finally found an election he couldn’t predict (Quartz) An App...Show More Summary
(May 8, 2015 08:15 PM, by Scott Sumner) Back in 2012 there was a lot of discussion about how forecasters who relied on polls, such as Nate Silver, made much more accurate election predictions that many GOP pundits, who seemed engaged in little more than wishful thinking. I... (0 COMMENTS)
BBC: Polling council to open probe into #GE2015 surveys.
By Richard Barry In noting how poorly pre-election polls underestimated the Conservatives' performance in the U.K. general election and overestimating Labour's result, Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight writes that "it's becoming harderShow More Summary
Don't blame Silver, says Silver. He only processes the data he gets from polls done by other people."The World May Have A Polling Problem," Silver asserted. "In fact, it’s become harder to find an election in which the polls did all that well."... Show More Summary
Nate Silver “fared terribly in Thursday’s UK election: In his pre-election forecast, he gave 278 seats to Conservatives and 267 to Labour. Shortly after midnight, he was forecasting 272 seats for Conservatives and 271 for Labour. But when the sun [...]
By Nate Raymond NEW YORK, April 23 (Reuters) - U.S. prosecutors unveiled new charges against former New York State Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver on Thursday, accusing him of taking official actions on behalf of an investor who provided...Show More Summary
Our latest Freakonomics Radio episode is called “Nate Silver Says: 'Everyone Is Kind of Weird" (You can subscribe to the podcast at iTunes or elsewhere, get the RSS feed, or listen via the media player above. You can also read the transcript, which includes credits for the music you’ll hear in the episode.)
[MUSIC: Russell L. Howard III, “Get Busy”] Stephen DUBNER: Hey, Nate? Nate SILVER: Hey. DUBNER: Hey, it’s Stephen Dubner, how’s it going? SILVER: Good. Good to talk to you. DUBNER: First off, just tell us in 60 seconds or less, what you actually do now in a given day. SILVER: So I am the editor-in-chief […]
“I’ll bet $5.38 that if Clinton eventually loses, the first scene from Game Change III is set in a Chipotle.” — Nate Silver, when asked about the impact of candidates’ food choices in a Q&A on Facebook.
Nate Silver and Emily McClintock Ekins take a look at how many people have views that could be characterized as economically conservative and socially liberal (whom they label libertarians) or the reverse (whom they label “hardhats” or communitarians). Show More Summary
By Richard K. BarryNate Silver wants us to know that it's really too early to say anything much about who will win the presidency in 2016. He also wants us to know that it's a 50/50 proposition at this point, and "we're not likely to...Show More Summary
Statistics guru Nate Silver says that while Hillary Clinton will doubtlessly be the Democratic nominee, at present he gives her a 50/50 chance at becoming president. In a piece published yesterday on his FiveThirtyEight site, Silver lays out his case: Start with the fact that there’s no incumbent president running. Show More Summary