Trend Results : Nate Silver

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Presidential Candidates Have Spent Less Than 1% of the $5.5 Billion They're Expected to Rack Up

The 2016 race to the White House might seem like it's already zooming full speed ahead, but in terms of dollars signs, it's only just begun. Speaking at Advertising Week, FiveThirtyEight founder and election data pundit Nate Silver said candidates have only spent around $20 million to $30 million on ad buys so far. Show More Summary

There are now 9 teams with a legit shot to win the Super Bowl

After three weeks of the NFL season only nine teams still have a legit shot to lift the Lombardi Trophy, and the New England Patriots are still the heavy favorite. Using Nate Silver's "2015 NFL Predictions," a model that rates each team...Show More Summary

We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate

We had so much fun live-blogging the second Republican debates last night that we woke up this morning still yammering about them. Editor-in-chief Nate Silver, senior political writer Harry Enten and two editors, Micah Cohen and Simone Landon, jumped into a Slack chat room to discuss where Carly Fiorina goes from here and whether last […]

How Fox News and CNN screwed Scott Walker

(Paul Mirengoff) Before we complete the post-mortems on Scott Walker’s campaign, I want to note how unfairly he was treated during the debates. According to Nate Silver, Walker spoke for only 13.7 minutes in the two debates. This was the the least for any candidate on the main stage in both events. Show More Summary

The Patriots are now an overwhelming favorite to win the Super Bowl

The NFL season is only two weeks old and a lot can happen, but in reality there are only eight teams that have a legit shot to lift the Lombardi Trophy, and the New England Patriots are the heavy favorites. Using Nate Silver's "2015Show More Summary

Nate Silver Reveals His ‘Editorial Bias’ About Racism

2 weeks agoNews : Mediaite

For weeks, the mainstream media has contorted itself like a pretzel in a yoga class in order to avoid identifying racism as the key factor in Donald trump's success. and finally, their golden boy has admitted why.

Hillary Rodham Clinton’s Affective Death-Spiral

Nate Silver has a talent for slicing and dicing data. I don’t always agree with his interpretation, but I enjoy watching him marshal his arguments. Today he makes a point I tangentially agree with. He argues that while Hillary Rodham...Show More Summary

It's Official: Hillary Clinton Is Just Being Hammered by the Press

Nate Silver takes a quantitative look at Hillary Clinton's headlines since July 24 and concludes that she's just getting hammered. The calendar on the right shows the near-daily punches she's taking: Since Friday, July 24 — I’ll talk...Show More Summary

How HRC Can Break Out of the Negative Feedback Loop

If you have pretty much had it with any discussion of the Republican presidential field for the week, check out Nate Silver's excellent piece at FiveThirtyEight on the "feedback loop"...

Clinton Stuck In a Poll-Deflating Feedback Loop

Nate Silver: “Candidates can just as easily get caught — or entrap themselves — in self-reinforcing cycles of negative media attention and declining poll numbers. Hillary Clinton looks like she’s stuck in one of these ruts right now.” “The Washington [...]


IT LOOKS LIKE YOU’RE GOING TO NEED A BIGGER ALGORITHM: ? Hillary Clinton Is Stuck In A Poll-Deflating Feedback Loop. —Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEightPolitics. ? Jake Tapper to Jimmy Kimmel: Hillary Could Get Coverage Like Trump’s If She’d Do Interviews. —Jeffrey Meyer, NewsBusters. How bad is Hillary as a retail politician? As with Al Gore in […]

Sept. 30 matters more than tonight’s debate

Pollster/analyst Nate Silver does a public service — although few will pay attention — in reminding us that “there’s so much interest in this election, in this campaign, people forget that polls five months before Iowa historically have told you very, very little.” Especially in a campaign where cable TV’s and talk radio’s financial interests […]

Nate Silver: 'Stop Comparing Donald Trump And Bernie Sanders'

Nate Silver took a look at the media's comparisons of Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders and found them lacking. He makes ten points, each of which are blockquoted below and followed by my own reactions, but you'll have to click through to read the entirety of Silver's analysis. 1. Show More Summary

Here's how many games Nate Silver's model thinks your favorite NFL team will win this season

Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight has tackled the 2015 NFL season and the Seattle Seahawks are a slight favorite to win the Super Bowl, winning it all in 15% of the simulations, followed closely by the New England Patriots at 14%. The Patriots,...Show More Summary

Nate Silver: 'Calm down,' Donald Trump won't win the GOP nomination

One of the nation's top polling analysts says that real-estate magnate Donald Trump is unlikely to win the nomination. Nate Silver, the founder and editor in chief of the data journalism site FiveThirtyEight, told an audience at an event...Show More Summary

Why Bernie Sanders Isn’t Like Donald Trump

Nate Silver: “You can call both ‘outsiders.’ But if you’re a Democrat, Sanders is your eccentric uncle: He has his own quirks, but he’s part of the family. If you’re a Republican, Trump is as familial as the vacuum salesman [...]

Taxis, Ubers, and Subways

Nate Silver published an interesting post on Taxis, Ubers, and Subways this past week. This graphic is from that post: What you can see from this graphic is that most New Yorkers don’t use taxis or Uber. They use the subway, and to a lesser extent buses. This is from Nate’s post: How big is […]

Nate Silver on Common Big Data Problems

by Angela Guess Brandon Butler recently wrote for Network World, “when data gets big, big problems can arise. That’s the message from Nate Silver, who works with data a lot. Silver is the founder of data-driven journalism site FiveThirtyEight...Show More Summary

The World’s Greatest Troll

Nate Silver: “What’s interesting is how Trump seemed to go out of his way after the debate to ensure that he’d remain the center of attention, with his tirade against Fox News anchor Megyn Kelly (a feud that he’s since [...]

Masters in Business: Nate Silver of

This week we have a special statistical election edition of Masters in Business radio podcast, speaking with Nate Silver of Silver received his Bachelors in Economics in 2000 from University of Chicago, and is the author of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail–but Some Don’t. Show More Summary

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