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Trend Results : The Adjustment Bureau


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CPI unchanged in October; Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 291,000

From the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS): Consumer Price Index - October 2014The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in October on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Show More Summary

Housing Starts decrease to 1.009 Million Annual Rate in October

From the Census Bureau: Permits, Starts and CompletionsHousing Starts:Privately-owned housing starts in October were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,009,000. This is 2.8 percent below the revised September estimate of 1,038,000,...Show More Summary

Retail Sales increased 0.3% in October

On a monthly basis, retail sales decreased 0.3% from September to October (seasonally adjusted), and sales were up 4.1% from October 2013. Sales in September were unrevised at a 0.3% decrease.From the Census Bureau report:The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. Show More Summary

Housing Starts and Future Stock Market Returns [PREMIUM]

Each month, the Census Bureau announces and the financial media report U.S. housing starts (seasonally adjusted and annualized) as a potential indicator of future U.S. stock market returns. Release date is about two weeks after the month being reported. Show More Summary

Economist on the Jobs Report: ‘These Numbers Will Be Revised Up’

An unusually large seasonal adjustment by the Bureau of Labor Statistics has led some economists to argue that the unexpectedly small 214,000 October increase in nonfarm payrolls may be significantly understating the underlying trend in jobs growth.

If You Look At It This Way, The Jobs Report Totally Crushed Expectations

US companies added 214,000 payroll in October. This was a bit lighter than the 235,000 expected by economists. However, keep in mind that the 214,000 is the Bureau of Labor Statistics' seasonally adjusted number. In other words, it is...Show More Summary

3.5 percent third-quarter growth in GDP exceeds economists' consensus

Growth of real (inflation-adjusted) U.S. gross domestic product for the third quarter outpaced the consensus of analysts. The Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis announced Thursday that, on a seasonally adjusted, annualized...Show More Summary

Advance Q3 GDP Beats Expectation

Going in to this morning's Advance (the first of three) GDP report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Wall Street economists were expecting a 3.0% quarter-over-quarter, seasonally adjusted annual rate of growth. The report printed higher than that, registering a 3.5% increase in the third quarter. Show More Summary

Advance Q2 GDP Beats Expectations

Going in to this morning's Advance (the first of three) GDP report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Wall Street economists were expecting a 3.0% quarter-over-quarter, seasonally adjusted annual rate of growth. The report printed higher than that, registering a 3.5% increase in the third quarter. Show More Summary

New Home Sales increased slightly to 467,000 Annual Rate in September

The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 467 thousand. August sales were revised down from 504 thousand to 466 thousand, and July sales were revised down from 427 thousand...Show More Summary

BLS: CPI increases 0.1% in September, Core CPI 0.1%, Cost-Of-Living Adjustment 1.7%

From the BLS: The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.1 percent in September on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index...Show More Summary

Emily Blunt is Beautiful at the IWC Gala Dinner Honoring BFI

She’s always been easy on the eyes and last night (October 7) Emily Blunt reminded the world of what a stunner she is at Battersea Evolution in London. TheAdjustment Bureau” actress was in the house to attend the IWC Gala Dinner in...Show More Summary

Help wanted, but we're not hiring

Unemployment reports are complicated, and it really takes an extra two months to process all the data and nail the figures down - that's why significant "adjustments" to the last two reports are so often announced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics when each monthly report is issued. Show More Summary

Time to audit the hot records of the warmist Bureau

Maurice Newman does not trust the temperature adjustments of the warmist Bureau of Meteorology: Doctoring data or throwing inquirers off…

A Skeptics View Of The Census Bureau's August New Home Sales Report

By Dave Kranzler: The Government's Census Bureau released its new home sales report for August on Wednesday (September 24th). The Census Bureau is representing that new home sales - on the basis of its "seasonally adjusted, annualized rate" calculation was up 18% from July and 33% from August 2013. Show More Summary

New Home Sales increase to 504,000 Annual Rate in August, Highest Sales Rate since May 2008

The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 504 thousand. July sales were revised up from 412 thousand to 427 thousand, and June sales were revised down from 422 thousand toShow More Summary

Housing Starts decrease to 956 Thousand Annual Rate in August

From the Census Bureau: Permits, Starts and CompletionsHousing Starts:Privately-owned housing starts in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 956,000. This is 14.4 percent below the revised July estimate of 1,117,000, but...Show More Summary

Early Look at 2015 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base

From the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS): Consumer Price Index - August 2014The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) decreased 0.2 percent in August on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Show More Summary

BLS: Producer Price Index unchanged in August

From the BLS: The Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged in August, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices advanced 0.1 percent in July and 0.4 percent in June. On an...Show More Summary

Cold year: 2014 USA temperature record lows outpace record highs nearly 2-1

Record temperatures are absolute – no adjusments needed. One of the biggest complaints about climate science has to do with adjustments of temperature data, such as we’ve recently witnessed from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and have been long discussing here at WUWT about what NOAA does to US and global temperature data via techniques…

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