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Fed could use reserves payments to stimulate U.S. economy: paper

JACKSON HOLE, Wyo. (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve could push banks to lend more by paying Wall Street smaller returns on money stashed at the U.S. central bank when inflation is low, according to an academic paper presented on Saturday. Show More Summary

For the Fed's Yellen 'conventional' unconventional policy is enough

By David Chance WASHINGTON (Reuters) - For all the talk of a radical shift in central banking policy, from the permanent use of negative rates to helicopter money drops, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen appears to believe she can tackle any future downturn using the tools currently at her disposal. Show More Summary

Yellen suggests rate hike is coming but offers no timetable

Federal Reserve chair offers a generally upbeat assessment of the U.S. economy in speech to conference of central banks

Bullard agnostic on timing of Fed hike; cites tech stocks: CNBC

(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve could hike U.S. interest rates this year, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said on Friday, noting the central bank would have to watch out for risky financial bubbles emerging in technology stocks and elsewhere in the market. Show More Summary

The bond market is about to cross a ‘line in the sand'

Bond yields remain abnormally low across much of the developed world as zero or even negative interest rate policies of the Bank of England, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, and US Federal Reserve keep rates anchored. That has kept...Show More Summary

Investors to seek any hint of Yellen timetable on rate hikes

When Janet Yellen steps to the microphone Friday morning at an annual central bank forum in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, investors will be listening for one thing above all: Any hint of the Federal Reserve chair's expected timetable for the next interest rate increase. … Click to Continue »

Upcoming Challenges for Federal Reserve Policy

Central banks are responsible for determining the monetary policy by setting the interest rates to balance investments and savings, which helps to keep economies fully employed and inflation stable. The natural rate is the interest rate...Show More Summary

Live Blog: ‘Fed Up Coalition’ to Challenge Federal Reserve Presidents Face-to-Face

2 days agoNews : Truthdig

Tonight, eight Federal Reserve Bank presidents and governors from throughout the country will answer tough policy questions from Black and Latino working class people. Truthdig will follow along here.

Recession Probabilities

Recession Probabilities O. Emre Ergungor Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, 08.23.16       Statistical models that estimate 12-month-ahead recession probabilities using the term spread have been around for many years. However, the reliability of the term spread as a predictor may have been affected by short-term interest rates being at zero. Show More Summary

Kansas City Fed Bank President Esther George Has Been Wrong About Inflation for Years

The New York Times had a good piece about how the Federal Reserve Board is responding to protests of Fed policy and insufficient concern about unemployment by the group Fed Up. (CEPR is affiliated with the Fed Up campaign.) At one point...Show More Summary

Libor rise, driven by U.S. money market rules, seen topping near 1.0 percent

By Richard Leong NEW YORK (Reuters) - Interest rates for banks to borrow U.S. dollars for three months are likely to rise further before topping out near 1.0 percent, unless the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by year-end, market watchers say. Show More Summary

Making the Federal Reserve Fully Public: Why and How

This paper describes why the Federal Reserve Bank should be fully public and proposes a set of sensible and nonpartisan legislative actions to create that change and enhance public accountability and transparency.

A New Policy Orthodoxy Is Emerging

There is a new debate emerging among policymakers in advanced economies. Two Federal Reserve Bank chief executives have taken the position that the natural rate of interest in the United States is much lower than previously assumed. These experts suggest the need for a slow pace of increases in short-term [...]

Eight Fed banks urge discount rate increase - minutes

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The number of regional Federal Reserve banks calling on the central bank to raise the rate it charges commercial banks for emergency loans rose to eight in July, minutes from the Fed's discount rate meeting released on Tuesday showed. Show More Summary

How the Federal Reserve can gird for the next crash

The central bank can no longer administer its preferred cure for America's economic woes -- is there an alternative remedy?

More Than Half-Million New Jobs Since June 1 Rebuts Recession Fears Stoked By CNBC And Trump

If the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank's current estimate of GDP growth at a robust 3.7 percent rate in the current quarter--which the Reserve Board's interest-rate setting Open Market Committee itself looks to for the best available sense...Show More Summary

Wall Street Losses/Main Street Gains

A new report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has the details.

Gold Dims Ahead of Fed Minutes; GDX falls 3.4%

Gold prices fell today as investors wait to scan the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s last meeting for clues as to whether the central bank will raise interest rates in 2016.  That drop was felt by gold-focused exchange traded funds with the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) falling 3.4% to $29.77 a share.

What Drives Forecaster Disagreement about Monetary Policy?

What Drives Forecaster Disagreement about Monetary Policy? Richard Crump and Stefano Eusepi Federal Reserve Bank of New York, August 15, 2016         What can disagreement teach us about how private forecasters perceive the conduct of...Show More Summary

10 things you need to know before European markets open

Good morning! Here's what you need to know. Asian shares took a breather. Stocks stepped back from a one-year high on Wednesday after the influential New York Federal Reserve Bank president said the Fed could raise interest rates as soon as September, prompting investors to pause after rallies in recent weeks. The US could raise rates soon. Show More Summary

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