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The Real Financial Monster: Low Interest Rates

Financial markets live in terror of the day the Federal Reserve raises interest rates. However, we should fear exactly the opposite: a persistent nightmare of low interest rates. Chronically low interest rates signal trouble, and they inflict financial pain. Show More Summary

Two experts warn correction could total 60%

This crash will be precipitated, [Tice] said, by a disillusionment with the Federal Reserve's "confidence game," which will then see inflation rise, and the Fed scramble to raise rates. At that point, Tice added, "the Fed starts to lose control."

Shaken not Stirred

Bond. Shames bond. Domestic equities haven't taken a licking, but bonds aren't still ticking with the 30 year bond off sharply. Why have speculators decided precipitously that the Federal Reserve is withdrawing from the game?The Wall Street Journal profiles physician dissatisfaction. Show More Summary

CBO, Fed Growth Forecasts Unattainable, Northwestern’s Gordon Says

The Congressional Budget Office’s projection of modest annual U.S. output growth of 2.2% in the coming decade is unattainable, as is the Federal Reserve’s expectation of growth near 3% in the next two years, according to a new paper by Northwestern University economics professor Robert Gordon.

One Little Change for the Federal Reserve

Congress has been abdicating its own responsibilities for improving the economy to the Fed.

Rising Risks In The Quest For Yield

By Eric Parnell, CFA: Income oriented investors have been traveling through a yield desert over the last several years. Thanks to extraordinary monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve that has included keeping interest rates pinned...Show More Summary

Federal Reserve Is Getting Ready For The End Of Tapering

By John M. Mason: Only two more months to go until the Federal Reserve ends its tapering exercise. This month the Fed is expected to add only $15.0 billion to its securities portfolio. Then $5.0 billion in October. Then…well we really don't know. Show More Summary

Venture Capital Trends Updated

Four years ago I posted ( a presentation I had made at a workshop at Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland on trends in the venture capital industry. In the intervening period, a number of people have asked me for updated slides. Show More Summary

Real Fiscal Responsibility 2; Carter: Stagnation and Unemployment

This post continues my series evaluating the fiscal responsibility/irresponsibility of the Governments of the United States (mostly the Congress, the Executive Branch, and the Federal Reserve) by Administration periods beginning in 1977 with the Jimmy Carter period. Show More Summary

This QE Bower My Prison

By Eric Parnell, CFA: The Federal Reserve's persistently aggressive monetary policy has had a paralyzing effect for many investors over the last several years. Like a skillet of boiling hot milk being emptied on one's foot, repeatedShow More Summary

History Repeats: Car Loans To People Who Don't Qualify?

By Profit Confidential: Between the first quarter of 2012 and the second quarter of 2014, auto sales in the U.S. economy have increased 16%. (Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis web site, last accessed August 21, 2014.) And auto sales this year have been stellar, too. Show More Summary

Here's An Ideal Way To Earn High Yields And Prepare Your Portfolio For Rising Rates

By Hawkinvest: The stock market is trading near all-time highs and the real estate market is looking speculative in many regions once again. The Federal Reserve has certainly accomplished the goal of re-inflating asset values and that means it is time for the Fed to start pulling back, hopefully before things get too frothy. Show More Summary

5 Things to Watch on the Economic Calendar

Next week it is the jobs data’s world, we just live in it. At the Jackson Hole conference, Federal Reserve chairman Janet Yellen highlighted central bank research on labor-market conditions that depends on up to 24 different labor-related series. Show More Summary

Janet Yellen Owns A Very Expensive Collection Of Stamps (DIA, SPY, QQQ, TLT, IWM)

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen has an expensive stamp collection. According to Yellen's latest financial disclosure, her stamp collection is worth $15,001-$50,000. Yellen, however, did not appear to sell any stamps, as income related...Show More Summary

Inflation Stays Below the Fed’s Target for 27th Straight Month

Consumer prices rose modestly in July, a sign inflation remains in check as the Federal Reserve winds down its bond-buying program.

Grand Central: Fed Job Index a Year Away From Normalcy

The Wall Street Journal’s Daily Report on Global Central Banks for Friday, August 28, 2014 Sign up for the newsletter: An index of labor market conditions watched by Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet...Show More Summary

For Bonds, It's Not About the Fed Anymore

Jim Watson, AFP/Getty ImagesFederal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen By Alex Rosenberg | @CNBCAlex It used to be common knowledge that the Treasury trade was all about the Federal Reserve. Once the Fed stopped buying bonds and started talking...Show More Summary

The Credit Gradient

by Keith Weiner The United States, and every country, is subject to a monetary authority and legal tender laws. Here in the U.S. we have the Federal Reserve, a central bank that plans money and credit. The Fed thought they had perfected their planning (but of course it cannot be perfected). Show More Summary

Regional Manufacturing Surveys suggest Solid August ISM index

From the Kansas City Fed: Growth in Tenth District Manufacturing Activity Slowed Slightly The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City released the August Manufacturing Survey today. According to Chad Wilkerson, vice president and economist...Show More Summary

Kansas City Fed Launches New Job Market Index, Sees Improvements

The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City launched Thursday a new gauge to track labor market conditions, which signaled in its first outing a hopeful outlook for hiring in the U.S. economy.

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