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Here's How To Trigger A Bank Run

Submitted by Tim Price via, On August 6, 1979, Paul Volcker as the new Chairman of the Federal Reserve was determined to eliminate the terribly high inflation that had taken hold of the system. And he succeeded. The Fed’s primary interest rate stood at 11% when Volcker entered office. Show More Summary

Market Is Providing Insight Into Fed Rate Hike Now

Want To Know The Weather? One of the easiest ways to understand the weather is to look out the window. With the market assigning an “almost a done deal” probability of 78% that the Federal Reserve hikes rates on December 16, we will be able to gain insight into “how will the market react [...]

Declining Oil Prices And Withering Fed Stimulus Slowing US Pending Home Sales

Pending US home sales rose slower than expected in October, up 0.2% MoM. They also increased by 2.1% YoY, also less than expected. The culprits? Falling oil prices and withering monetary stimulus from The Federal Reserve. Boomtown to...Show More Summary

Enough is Enough: US to Curb Debt Issuance in 2016

The United States Treasury will cut next year's bonds issuance to soften the possible negative consequences to the US economy stemming from the looming US Federal Reserve’s hike in borrowing costs, still, the spread between the US and foreign bonds is bound to rise, further unbalancing the global economy.

Federal Reserve Votes to Stop Bailouts of Failing Firms

The decision will restrict the central bank's emergency lending powers

Imagine you are Federal Reserve Chairman: What Would You Do?

For this morning’s column, I want you to engage in a little thought experiment. Based on the e-mails readers have sent, many of you figure the Dec. 15-16 Federal Open Market Committee meeting is a no-brainer and that the central bank will raise its benchmark interest rate. Well, let’s put that thesis to the test. To do so,...Read More

Dallas Fed: Some Signs of Stabilization Even As Overall Sentiment Remained Negative in November

The Dallas Federal Reserve Bank reported some signs of stabilization in the manufacturing sector in November, even as overall sentimentRead the Rest...

Here comes the Dallas Fed ... (USD)

The November report on manufacturing activity in Texas from the Dallas Federal Reserve is set for release at 10:30 a.m. ET. Economists forecast that, remaining negative for an eleventh straight month, the index climbed to -10 in November, from -12.7 prior. Show More Summary

US Low Velocity Recovery: Black Friday sales fall 10% from last year

Yes, the USA is in a low velocity “recovery” despite the massive Federal Reserve monetary stimulus. The post US Low Velocity Recovery: Black Friday sales fall 10% from last year was originally published at The Wall Street Examiner. Follow the money!

The Federal Funds Target

(November 29, 2015 07:08 PM, by David Henderson) When I posted last week about monetary economist Bill Poole's incorrect claim that the Fed Reserve sets the Federal Funds rate, a number of commenters objected that my claim was trivial. Most argued that Poole's usage was close enough to... (0 COMMENTS)

The Unintended Consequences Of 'Lift-Off' In A World Of Excess Reserves

Submitted by Eugen von Bohm-Bawerk via, Barring a disastrous NFP print this coming Friday the US Federal Reserve will change the target range for the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank’s Funds rate from the current level of zero – 25bp to 25 – 50bp on December 16 th. Show More Summary

Schedule for Week of November 29th

The key report this week is the November employment report on Friday.Other key indicators include November vehicle sales, the November ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing indexes, and the October trade deficit.Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen will speak on the Economic Outlook. Show More Summary

Commodity Supercycle Dying As Monetary Stimulus Subsides

Commodity prices crashed during The Great Recession (as expected). However, commodity prices began to surge following The Great Recession, thanks in part to the massive monetary expansion by The Federal Reserve. The post Commodity Supercycle Dying As Monetary Stimulus Subsides was originally published at The Wall Street Examiner. Follow the money!

Review: Another “Minsky moment” may be on the way

Hyman Minsky didn’t just predict the global financial crisis 10 years in advance, a new book on him argues. The maverick economist also explained how the cure – bailouts by the Federal Reserve and other central banks - would drive the financial system to the brink yet again.

Investors Bailed On Gold Last Week

The threat of Federal Reserve policy change continues to hit precious metals funds. Gold and silver mutual and exchange-traded funds saw $1 billion in outflows in the week ended Nov. 25), the most in 17 weeks, according to Micheal Harnett, chief investment strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Both the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) […]

A downward trajectory for the US dollar

Despite indications of divergent action by the Federal Reserve and the ECB, market behaviour suggests there is growing downside risk for the US dollar.

Dilemmas, Trilemmas and Difficult Choices

by Joseph Joyce   Dilemmas, Trilemmas and Difficult Choices In 2013 Hélène Rey of the London Business School presented a paper at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s annual policy symposium. Her address dealt with the policy choices available to a central bank in an open economy, which she claimed are more limited than […]

Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 43 states in October

From the Philly Fed: The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released the coincident indexes for the 50 states for October 2015. In the past month, the indexes increased in 43 states, decreased in six, and remained stable in one, for a one-month diffusion index of 74. Show More Summary

Fed gives largest U.S. banks extra year for debt rule calculation

By Dan Freed NEW YORK (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve said on Wednesday that bigger U.S. banks would have an extra year to calculate a capital requirement known as the supplementary leverage ratio. Institutions subjected to the leverage ratio requirement will have to show regulators what the ratio would be in a stressed scenario beginning in 2017. Show More Summary

Not So Fast, Fed! Atlanta Fed Q4 GDP Growth Drops To 1.8% (As Core PCE Growth Drops As Well)

Not so fast there, Federal Reserve. Your December rate hike optimism might be premature. The post Not So Fast, Fed! Atlanta Fed Q4 GDP Growth Drops To 1.8% (As Core PCE Growth Drops As Well) was originally published at The Wall Street Examiner. Follow the money!

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